The weekly Morgan multi-mode poll finds the Labor primary vote slipping three points to 38.5% and the Greens up 1.5% to 10.5%, with the Coalition up half a point to 41.5%. That translates to 52-48 to Labor on respondent-allocated preferences, down slightly from 52.5-47.5 last week. The change is sharper on the generally more useful two-party measure which distributes preferences according to the previous election result, with Labor’s lead down from 52-48 to 50.5-49.5.
Meanwhile, today’s Essential Research has the Coalition down a point for the second week in a row to 44%, with Labor steady on 39% and the Greens up two to 9%. After shifting a point in Labor’s favour on the basis of little change in the published primary votes last week, two-party preferred remains at 51-49 despite more substantial change this week, suggesting the result has moved from the cusp of 52-48 to the cusp of 50-50.
Essential also finds 61% approval for the government’s new asylum seekers policy against 28% disapproval, and concurs with Galaxy in having the two parties almost equal as best party to handle the issue. Labor is favoured by 25% (up eight on mid-June), Coalition by 26% (down 12) and the Greens by 6% (down one). Asylum seeker arrivals are rated the most important election issue by 7%, one of the most important by 28%, quite important by 35%, not very important by 16% and not at all important by 8%. The poll also has Malcolm Turnbull rated as best person to lead the Liberal Party by 37% against 17% for Tony Abbott and 10% for Joe Hockey, and also includes further questions on workplace productivity.
Abbott in the election campaign will make Hewson’s unloseable election lost, seem ot be a memory
abbott will lose the election once again
Poroti
I left out BB King … whom I also liked, and Mahalia Jackson too … and Dylan obviously …
plus Tricot, rudd is almost certainly going to win the debate/s?
How many campaign debates are there going to be?
http://www.independentaustralia.net/2013/business/media-2/rupert-murdochs-pisspot-pirate-returns/
Looks like we are going to get the full tea party treatment from “the australian”.
pithicus
Posted Monday, July 29, 2013 at 5:47 pm | PERMALINK
How many campaign debates are there going to be?
———–
If the pro coalitiion media had its way 0
RUA !!
This side of Fran is refreshing and bringing back memories of the great guitarists of the 60’s. if only I could jig the way I did then without suffering for days after. Ahh memories.
Number of debates will be zero, Abbott has walked away from every thing else. If you want to bet on something that is unknown go for the excuse.
The purpose of the visit of Mrs Rudd to Afghanistan with Kevin – which would be both uncomfortable and not without risk – is a question to be posed.
That Mrs Howard went with Mr Howard might be some kind of precedent, but other than giving R&R to both men, what role have/had either women in being there?
Does anyone know?
I think “unwinnable” or “unlosable” are adjectives that can no longer be applied to this election. Of course, after the last 3 years, a victory would be very sweet for Labor (like it was for Keating) because up until June it was looking like a forgone conclusion but, now, anything could happen.
I. Anderson, eh, Fran.
izatso
Kultured is me. 😆
Carey Moore
I think abbott and the coalition were expecting to win by the opinion polls
Barnaby joyce certainty did
He keep on saying the polls says coaliton will win easily , this was 2 years ago
[How many campaign debates are there going to be?]
One probably, and it will get buried on a Sunday night against popular programming.
[ julia baird @bairdjulia 20m
Where did the $200 bn from the mining boom go, PNG and leadership tonight on @ABCthedrum with Nathan Rees, Ross Cameron, @StephenLongABC 6pm]
About 3 billion has been pissed up agains the wall locking up boat people.
Overly red elephant on christmas island. Thanks Mr Howard.
[I think abbott and the coalition were expecting to win by the opinion polls
Barnaby joyce certainty did
He keep on saying the polls says coaliton will win easily , this was 2 years ago]
Of course and I agree completely. In fact, I take a little schadenfreude watching them all change their attitudes now they realise they’re going to have to actually work to win the election.
…. better that than german Art.
BW,
I don’t think things will end well for Hird or Essendon.
I expect they’ll lose all their points for 2013 and Hird and Corcoran will be suspended.
Carey DLOTO is still a promotion.
[izatso?
Posted Monday, July 29, 2013 at 5:55 pm | Permalink
…. better that than german Art.]
?
Fran,
There was a New Zealander cricketer by the name of Bob Cunis in the early 70s.
The English commentator thought it a strange name. Being neither one thing nor the other.
GG,
I blame Collingwood. You know it makes sense.
[Carey DLOTO is still a promotion.]
Joyce wouldn’t be DLOTO if he’s elected Nat Leader. Sure, if they Coalition win government, he’d become Deputy PM but the Deputy Leader of the Liberal Party is DLOTO if they’re in opposition.
Behave GG 🙂
Fran Barlow
[and Dylan obviously ]
Woah Stop. Dylan is a bridge too far. Never liked him .Never got past his nasal whine. He is up there for me with Van Morrison and Neil Diamond. Fine musicians all but they left me cold. Not sure why though.
Anyway a song.
[My God – Jethro Tull Live at the Isle of Wight 1970]
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1BJoLD6eG-4
By the way, was there feedback of any kind, anywhere other than PB, on the joust between Rudd and Bolt a day or two ago?
If Rudd had been nailed with a “gotcha” I don’t suppose we would have heard the end of it.
Meanwhile Rudd 10 = Bolt 2?
True Carey silly me 🙁
Poroti Dylan music is all I can sing without sounding like I’m singing out of tune.
Why did Mr Abbott have his wife answer questions on childcare policy today. I realise she is probably a wonderful wife and mother and that she runs a community day care centre, but surely Sussan Ley should have got the gig?
Nationals Leader is still a promotion though 🙂
thick as a brick still my all time fave album and artist.
davidwh
[ if only I could jig the way I did then without suffering for days after. Ahh memories.]
I learned the difference between singing and what I could manage trying to sing along with Clare Torry (sp?) in That Great Gig in the Sky.
Some guy (who shall be nameless) I was around at the time suggested he could hear me sing like that all day … which was a borderline creepy sort of complement 😉
Memories indeed
oops … compliment …
And now, according to current new item “The Coalition expects the government to go to the elections in September”.
What happened to the certitude of “Rudd will go to an August election” stuff?
Where are you Andrew Probyn?
davidwh
Never looked at it that way. Very good point.
The last time I saw Dylan was when he toured with Tom Petty, I will never bother again.
Tom Petty on the other hand, any time he is near.
poroti
Hooray! I’ve finally found someone else who doesn’t appreciate Neil Diamond’s whiny phrases. One of the few serious disagreements I have with my OH.
davidwh,
Dennis Commetti has promised me that this suggestion would get a run if it ever happened.
Nat Fyffe star Fremantle midfielder goes in to a pack, cops a head high tackle and reels out with blood trickling from his mouth.
“Well! That’s one tooth free for Fyffe”.
I don’t recall mrs howard having anything said about her because she went to timor
what is wrong with people
do u know what I think jealousy
my mother use to get jealous of people in her gen, who had the returned serviced gold card when they didn’t
when dad acquired it she told everyone.
get my meaning.
my husband travelled with his work for 10 years our marriage went through a couple of rough patches
if I could of travelled just and again with him I think it would of been great for
us we marry to be with each other so good on therese
and Jeanette
——————————the polls
there will be polcies from labor, that none of know about
and as far as we know the liberals have little to offer
so why do some people think this is where the election polls will be , this is just the start
sickens me to read all the negative stuff
I think some people want us to lose
\
to say well I told you so,,,,blah blah
glory at the beginning of every new poll headline you are usualy first with some negative word
and confession at the begining of the last one
something about moving to turnbull
my goodness we don’t need that anther hurdle
makes one wonder sometimes
we have ad about two and half years of horror polls and depression, its about time the depressing people pulled their heads in
and gave thanks and rejoiced at where we are now
[Dylan is a bridge too far. Never liked him .Never got past his nasal whine. ]
Yes but like David, he doesn’t make it seem as if your singing is too bad. I also fancied (when I was 10) I could paint like Picasso in his cubist period or (later) perhaps Jackson Pollock …
Of course, that was because I simply didn’t understand what I was seeing. Dylan spoke with his lyrics and his paradigm. I think he borrowed a fair bit from Woody Guthrie of course.
[So, there are only 17% of Australian voters who, given a free choice, prefer Abbott as prime minister.]
The shockjock callers continue to say Abbott isn’t trying hard enough. I heard a snippet of the Chris Smith show today where a caller said Abbott was a shy person who should be encouraged to visit more schools and shopping centres!
[
…like I’m singing out of tune.
]
Do your friends stand up and walk out on you?
Jethro Tull invented the seed drill and died in 1741.
Is there another Jethro Tull?
Agree with you on Neil Diamond and Van Morrison though.
Neil Young on the other hand …
Newman news:
http://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/together-union-to-hold-mass-rally-as-lastminute-pay-offer-of-22-per-cent-is-rejected/story-fnihsrf2-1226687488459
http://johnmenadue.com/blog/?author=1
Greens have taken a “holier-than-thou” political position and have sided with Tony Abbott in the Senate on the key issue of the agreement with Malaysia. The Greens and many NGOs have wanted the government to undertake a political ‘mission impossible’.
=========================================================
for peg,, for fran and jv
lizzie,
Hands, touching hands, reaching out, Touching you. Touching me……..
What was that all about?
Tricot *143 surely you jest?
Tricot,
You’d have to be thick as a brick not to know the answer to that!
lizzie
Yay, another that knows it was “Red red whine” 😆