GhostWhoVotes reports the Galaxy poll of 800 Queensland respondents which gave us state results on Saturday now brings us federal results, indicating a 59-41 Coalition lead in the state from a swing of about 4%. This compares with a 55-45 result in the last such poll in February, which seemed a little favourable to Labor at the time. On the primary vote, Labor is down five to 28% and the Coalition is steady on 46%.
There has also been Queensland state polling over the weekend from Galaxy and ReachTEL, which you can read all about here.
UPDATE: Essential Research has Labor down a point on the primary vote to 34%, with the Coalition and the Greens steady on 48% and 8%. Two-party preferred is unchanged at 55-45. Other questions find Joe Hockey leading Wayne Swan as more trusted to handle the economy 37-28, out from 35-32 before the budget; 43% believing Tony Abbott should accept the Gonski reforms against 34% who favour the existing model; 51% saying climate change is caused by humans against 35% opting for normal fluctuation; support on opposition for carbon pricing tied at 43% all, the most favourable result yet recorded; 39% favouring it against 29% for the Liberals’ “direct action” policy (at least with respect to the policies as described in the question); and only 26% believing Tony Abbott will fulfill his promise to remove both the mining and carbon taxes while keeping the carbon tax compensation measures.
The weekly Morgan multi-mode poll has Labor up 1.5% to 33.5%, the Coalition steady on 45.5% and the Greens down half a point to 9.5%. Both respondent allocated and previous election two-party preferred measures have shifted from 55-45 to 54.5-45.5, providing further evidence that Morgan’s new methodology has resolved the inexplicable discrepancy between these measures which bedevilled the old face-to-face series (as well as its Labor bias).
confessions
‘This is the niece of a friend of mine.’
good stuff.
Just reading an article where it is being said that high wages in mining/gas will stifle the industry and that Canada is better investment due to lower salaries
Canada salaries
Mining and quarrying, and oil and gas extraction $1,952
Battle Turkeys
I dont think saying Abbott is incompetent is hateful, abusive or disgusting
its a fact
he is offering no reason why he should be in government
Another day, another broken promise by The Emperor:
[Households in Perth and the South West are facing further electricity price rises after the Barnett Government increased the cross-subsidy paid to remote power customers by almost $170 million.]
So much for his pre-election promise that electricity would only rise in accordance with inflation.
@thomwoodroofe: Australia’s Prime Minister confesses to being a die-hard Game of Thrones fan: http://t.co/NelcEB2GTO
[I see that Cormann or Cory, I mix them up, has asked on his website for readers to say whether or not they would like to see muslim immigration stopped.]
I would imagine that most people in Australia would not only want to see it stopped but wish it had never started. But of course their opinions on their own country are to be dismissed and ignored and the glorious multicultural future will continue to be imposed on them by the enlightened elite who know better than the grubby racist Australian people.
MB
[I dont think saying Abbott is incompetent is hateful, abusive or disgusting
its a fact]
Leaving aside for a second that it is not a fact, but is rather your opinion, I think the things said about Tony Abbott here go a little further than just remarks relating to his competence.
Battle turkeys
Abbott has claim Gillard and others are liars, and tries to make out he doesnt lie
Which is a lie , Abbott brings it on himself
BT
Remarks here have nothing to do with the article. The article is about Mr Abbott and his team.
Your look over here attempts will not change that fact
[Remarks here have nothing to do with the article. The article is about Mr Abbott and his team.]
Guytaur perhaps all of you here should lead by example. At the very least it would make your criticisms of the coalition less breathtaking.
BT
You fail again. Read the article about the LNP. Bludger comments have nothing to do with that article.
No distraction. This is not about PB its about the LNP Parliamentary team
Opposition leader Tony Abbott’s budget reply pledge to discontinue the Low Income Earners Superannuation Contribution (LISC) will hit the retirement savings of thousands of low-paid Australian workers.
This scheme, which provides a credit of up to $500 directly back to the superannuation accounts of workers earning less than $37,000 per year, would be scrapped if the Coalition is elected in September “because that’s also funded from the (mining) tax that isn’t raising any revenue”.
Ironically, although Tony Abbott keeps sledging the Government about not implementing measures recommended by the Henry tax Review, he is planning to axe one of the few changes that can be traced back to the findings of that Review.
The superannuation system is not a fair system. The heart of superannuation policy is the link to what people earn, with a proportion of current earnings set aside for retirement. Therefore the value of tax concessions on superannuation increases as a person’s current marginal tax rate and superannuation contributions increase.
In April 2012 Treasury estimated that 23.4% of superannuation tax concessions would go to the top 5% of earners.
BT
Here is an excerpt from the article just so you understand this is not about PB.
[
Reflecting the language of the Fourth Estate, particularly the Murdoch press, Mr Denmore’s first paragraph reads: “’The nation is drowning in debt. The federal government has lost control of public finances. The NBN is a disaster. Business is struggling because union thugs are destroying productivity growth. We are being overwhelmed with illegal boat arrivals. Refugees are living on welfare and bleeding us dry.’” Note how these themes, although gross misrepresentations and distortions of the facts, accentuate the ‘incompetence’ line. Here is his piece in full.
The strategy adopted by the Coalition and echoed by a largely compliant and supportive Fourth Estate, and by many in business and industry, is not new or unique. In Germany in the early thirties of the last century, the Nazi Party used the prevailing anti-Semitic sentiment to ‘blame’ the Jews for the loss of the First World War, (the ‘stab in the back’ myth) and for the poverty, the hyperinflation, and the unemployment that beset the republic at that time. Hatred and loathing of Jews was thereby accentuated. This was heightened by institutionalized persecution of Jews and Jewish businesses, which were subject to increasing vilification and restrictions. So much loathing of this group of people was generated that the obscenities of the Holocaust were able to take place under the nose of the German people with scarcely a murmur of protest. Therein was the terrible toll of hatred.
Joseph Goebbels oversaw that propaganda campaign. Here are some of his sayings. Read them and reflect.
The background to his campaign against Jewish people is encapsulated here: “A Jew is for me an object of disgust. I feel like vomiting when I see one. Christ could not possibly have been a Jew. It is not necessary to prove that scientifically – it is a fact.”
The basis of his propaganda strategy is captured by: “If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it.” and “The bigger the lie, the more it will be believed.” Goebbels went on to say: “The lie can be maintained only for such time as the State can shield the people from the political, economic and/or military consequences of the lie. It thus becomes vitally important for the State to use all of its powers to repress dissent, for the truth is the mortal enemy of the lie, and thus by extension, the truth is the greatest enemy of the State.” Reflect on: ‘the truth is the greatest enemy of the State’.
Reflect now on two other statements Goebbels made: “The most brilliant propagandist technique will yield no success unless one fundamental principle is borne in mind constantly – it must confine itself to a few points and repeat them over and over.” and “Think of the press as a great keyboard on which the government can play.”
I need add no comment for these statements to be understood; nor need I spell out any comparison with what we are witnessing in this country day after day. It is all too obvious. Note though that I am NOT labeling the Coalition as ‘Nazi’;]
[The nation’s leading TV news network, Channel Seven, will deliver political fact-checking into the homes of millions of Australians after signing an historic deal with PolitiFact Australia.]
That assumes PolitiFact itself honest and reliable.
From what I have seen recently, it’s a bit woolly on both.
If it’s on the 7 Network – considering the 7 Network’s political agenda to get rid of the governmment – don’t expect too much in the way of truth.
Simply calling something “PolitiFact” is like calling a Tea Party ersatz think-tank the “Institute Of Public Affairs”. The IPA isn’t an “institute” unless you consider a small clique of right-wing nutjobs that are secretive about their funding from Big Oil and Big Tobacco and get on ABC TV regularly without any disclosure of their wacky agenda being mentioned, in order to spout their pro-Pollution and pro-Tobacco policy platforms an “institute”.
I have yet to see proof that PolitiFact is anything else but a smarmily-named bunch of pro-Coalition shills that have hijacked the word “fact”.
AussieAchmed
Its all labor , the only thing news ltd/Abbott coalition has is the hypothetical media driven polls , which wont put them into government, because reality is there is no federal election being held now
So THIS thread is where the action is this morning. Here are the Dawn Patrol links that I posted in the Denison thread.
Good morning Dawn Patrollers.
What a waste of time! We will have copper undere] Abbott.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-05-27/jake-sturmer-yarn-for-monday/4713788
And much, much further than Abbott’s thought bubble.
http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/ofarrell-out-to-trump-pm-on-sports-betting-20130526-2n5e4.html
Ross Gittins has a crack at Hockey. Just check out the last sentence.
http://www.smh.com.au/business/hockey-fails-his-own-honesty-test-20130526-2n54o.html
Today is Pell day at the inquiry. Bring it on!
http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/pell-camp-offensive-in-letter-reply-20130526-2n5ar.html
A rather sombre contribution from Alan Moir.
http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/opinion/cartoons/alan-moir-20090907-fdxk.html
Pat Campbell on the possible 12000 APS jobs to go under Abbott.
http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/opinion/cartoons/pat-campbell-20120213-1t21q.html
David Rowe has PMJG as a steward at the races. There must be some significance to the detail in the bum of Abbott’s horse!
http://www.afr.com/p/national/cartoon_gallery_david_rowe_1g8WHy9urgOIQrWQ0IrkdO
[Possum Comitatus @Pollytics 22m
The Qld public dislikes state gov but has no time for ALP. Getting non-major party votes of 35%-55% in some non-Bris LNP held seats
Mr Denmore @MrDenmore 18m
@Pollytics Prelude to federal election?
Possum Comitatus @Pollytics 17m
@MrDenmore Probably not – Fed politics in Qld is much more major party oriented than the state level here]
And from the Land of the Free –
Some cartoons on Apple’s taxation “arrangements”.
http://thepoliticalcarnival.net/2013/05/26/cartoons-of-the-day-apple-taxes/
MUST READ! Paul Krugman on the closed mindedness of conservatives. Totally apposite for Australia.
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/05/25/the-closing-of-the-conservative-mind/
Repug public spiritedness.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/05/26/tom-coburn-disaster-relief_n_3339498.html
Adam Goodes made the Huffington Post.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/05/26/adam-goodes-racism_n_3339704.html
Bushfire bill @ 164
Thats why i wrote it will be a test for the media
To see if they will change or continue to push the pro coalition media agenda
If they are slightly honest
Its bad news for news ltd/abbott coalition
Similarly to PolitiFact, the new version of the Guardian seems to be guarding little else but the careers of displaced groupthinkers from Fairfax.
I mean, Katharine Murphy – so obsessed with her own belly-button as to be almost completely incomprehensible? Lenore Taylor, who, after all the fanfare, runs a story with the headline that begins… “Julia Gillard refuses to commit…”?
Still obsessed with polls, making excuses for why journalists are the true gatekeepers (and we’d better take notice), and running gotcha lines on politicians who “refuse to commit…”
Sheesh.
Someone ought to tell the Guardian that the inmates have invaded the asylum.
guytaur
[Here is an excerpt from the article just so you understand this is not about PB]
Guytaur obviously I didn’t actually do more than skim the article (it only took that much to realise it wasn’t worth my time) but seeing your excerpt it is even worse than I had supposed. References to the holocaust, to Goebbels – I mean really. I couldn’t have written it better if it was a parody.
Bushfire
Unfortunately it seems you are correct on Politifacts. Several strong critics and (to me) there is a slight bias (won’t say in what direction, but Ch7???)
Broken promise – Abbott – “no household will be worse off”
Removing the $500 superannuation contribution will not make the household worse off?
Remove the Schoolkids payment but no household will be worse off
Introduce PPL and the subsequent interest rate rises and cost of living increases and increase in inflation but no household will be worse off.
Direct Action paid for out of the budget that is made up of peoples and business taxes – something will have to be cut – but no household will be worse off.
BT
‘ I see that Cormann or Cory, I mix them up, has asked on his website for readers to say whether or not they would like to see muslim immigration stopped.
I would imagine that most people in Australia would not only want to see it stopped but wish it had never started. But of course their opinions on their own country are to be dismissed and ignored and the glorious multicultural future will continue to be imposed on them by the enlightened elite who know better than the grubby racist Australian people.’
My view is that we should export the race hate merchants, not their targets.
[My view is that we should export the race hate merchants, not their targets.]
It would probably be easier to just export people like yourself Boerwar. If we put it to a vote I’m sure the people would agree with who they’d rather have stay. But of course we aren’t allowed to have democracy when it comes to immigration. We have to do what we’re told by an elite progressive minority who think they are both smarter and more moral than the rest of us.
I feel sick. More detail in the article. The agreement to “outlaw” protest takes us into heavy Kennett/Bjelke territory.
[In the coming weeks, Forestry Tasmania will begin to log the old trees on Bruny Island that the endangered swift parrots nest in. There are only 1000 breeding pairs of the swift parrot remaining and they can only nest in the hollows of old trees. But, while the so-called peace deal means that Schneiders will be silent, it does not mean that the chainsaws will be.
Disagreement and dissent go hand-in-hand with democracy. It’s understandable that some of the big environment groups might run out of steam. They are adamant that they have done the best they could and there is no evidence to suggest they were capable of more. But what is incomprehensible is why any environment groups would agree to silence and bankrupt groups that have the mettle to fight on.
It’s hard to predict where the actions of some of the best known environment groups in Australia will take them, or take our democracy. Who knows whether it will be unions, human rights groups or welfare campaigners that will next be faced with legislation that promises to do less of what they want if they have the audacity to ask for more.]
Read more: http://www.canberratimes.com.au/comment/silence-on-peace-deal-is-telling-20130524-2k70g.html#ixzz2URlsGATT
[If the LNP win, I give them one term. They will wreck the joint and, as the unemployment rate races past 15%, property drops by 25%, petrol passes $2.50/litre, and the deficit roars past $80 billion, voters will dump the LNP at the very first opportunity.]
A Meguire Bob stupidity level prediction from you there Briefly, please try harder.
I don’t think the economy will be much different in 2 years then what it is now.
BT
Typical response by you. Ignore the last sentence. It was about propaganda techniques. Expert happens to be Goeabbels.
An historic fact.
• Wrecking ball through economy.
• Whyalla wipe out
• Climate change is crap
• $100 roasts
• Cobra strike
• Python Squeeze
• Why not have a simple tax?
• WorkChoices is dead buried & cremated
• Gold plated coffee machines
• Budget emergency
• It is so bad we will keep the concessions but not the tax
• Debt, debt, debt
• Australia is doing well
• RBA rate cut means we are in serious trouble
• RBA rate rise means we are in serious trouble
• Our NBN faster, cheaper and sooner
• Of course Telstra won’t charge for their copper network
• Labor’s NBN will cost $100b
• Our $34b NBN is $10b cheaper than Labors
• Direct Action will provide compensation
• There will be no compensation under our Direct Action plan
• Direct Action is $3.2b
• Actually its now only $2b
• A 5% target is crazy
• The governments 5% target is the same as ours
• Direct Action will work
• We will raise a 15,000 strong volunteer army
• Direct Action is supported by science
• The CSIRO are wrong
• Carbon dioxide cannot be weighed
• The Liberal Party does not subscribe to class warfare
• We will remove low income super concessions
• We will remove penalty rates
• We will remove the school kids bonus
• We will stop the boats
• We will turn boats around
• TPV’s will work
• Refugees are Illegal
• 20,000 more bureaucrats
• This government is illegitimate
• I did not try to bribe the Independents
• I would sell anything except my arse
• We will lower taxes for business
• We will not support the governments business tax cut
• We will introduce a new tax on business
• The Howard government was not profligate
• The GFC was a northern hemisphere thing
• We agree to the new paradigm
• We do not agree to the new paradigm
• This government lied to the people
• It was a proper audit
• Treasury and the government are in cahoots
• These figures are fudged
• I know Treasury gives the government a range of figures
• The head of Treasury would say that wouldn’t he
• I have confidence in Treasury
• Economists are wrong
• The IMF is wrong
• Science is wrong
• Everybody is wrong
• I am prepared to give Treasury the benefit of the doubt
• The government’s NBN should not be off budget, this is a con.
• Our NBN will be off Budget
• This budget is so terrible we will apply all its measures
• No worker will be worse off
• Not registering 7 directorships was merely inadvertent
• The throat slitting action is denied… the matter is now at an end
• My chief of staff had viva voce conversation with him
• Actually she didn’t
• The MRRT will destroy investment by over taxing miners
• The MRRT doesn’t raise any taxes
• This government is the worst
• We are like Spain and Greece
• We must repair confidence
• We will cut 12,000 jobs
• BHP pulled out of Olympic Dam because of the Carbon Tax
• I did read the report
• Actually I didn’t read the report
• I have no specific knowledge
• I do not recall
• Farmers should not be forced to cede to CSG miners
• Miners have a right to CSG mining in the national interest
• We will give WA a greater share of GST
• No we won’t
• There will be no change to the GST
• The GST should be looked at
• We will raise the migrant intake to 20,000
• No we won’t
• It was my surplus and his surplus and her surplus and his…
• It is not this government’s money it is the people’s money
• You shouldn’t believe anything I say unless it is written
BK
I wondered what happened to you? 🙂
An embarrassment for the Coalition, Treasury estimates that Australia sank into structural deficit in the last budget of the Howard government, in 2007-08, and was already deep in structural deficit when the global financial crisis hit in 2008-09.
Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/string-of-tax-cuts-blamed-for-budget-shortfalls-20130522-2k09y.html#ixzz2URo1ddky
24 informs Cardinal Pell due to give evidence at around 1:30 and will attempt to cover.
So a good leadup for QT
Gecko @ 179
You are hurting the coalition supporters with the truth
Has this mob EVER blamed itself?
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-05-27/david-jones-reports-further-fall-in-sales/4714606
[Gecko @ 179
You are hurting the coalition supporters with the truth]
Fuck ’em
BT
.My view is that we should export the race hate merchants, not their targets.
It would probably be easier to just export people like yourself Boerwar. If we put it to a vote I’m sure the people would agree with who they’d rather have stay. But of course we aren’t allowed to have democracy when it comes to immigration. We have to do what we’re told by an elite progressive minority who think they are both smarter and more moral than the rest of us.’
I would prefer to export race hate merchants.
Re. PolitiFact – just who are they?
They seem to have been welcomed without too much examination of their credentials… of which they have none.
They have sprung up from nowhere, out of the blue and have been granted insta-cred by the 7 Network simply by virtue of doing a deal to – allegedly – be the “honest broker” in Australian politics.
Actually, the insta-cred is mutual when you think about it: 7 News is not known for its reliability to get a story right on anything much more than the crudest tabloid terms.
They can now point to PolitiFact as “proof” they’ve got it right. PolitiFact can point to 7 News as “proof” they’re serious organization.
Sounds a bit circle-jerky to me, somewhat of the familiar closed loop we are so used to seeing in Australian journalism.
Who fact-checks the fact checkers?
Geko – nice list.
There will be no response from Lib bloogers its hard to argue against the truth of your list
[This scheme, which provides a credit of up to $500 directly back to the superannuation accounts of workers earning less than $37,000 per year, would be scrapped if the Coalition is elected in September “because that’s also funded from the (mining) tax that isn’t raising any revenue”.]
Under Howard it used to be $1500 Co-Contribution till Labor cut to the bone.
Gecko @ 185
You have to stop holding back. Tell us what you really think 😉
Pell to answer to the secular authorities today?
I wondered when the catholic church would finally render unto Caesar his due instead of raping children and covering it up.
Pell is, coincidentally, also an expert on AGW. That isn’t happening either.
“@MayneReport: Rupert Murdoch has brazenly broken his promise to appoint a “super-majority of independent dierctors” (ie 75%) to both companies in demerger”
Boerwar
ABC24 is trying to get a live cover of Pell’s appearance due at 1330 EST.
I just checked out PolitiFact for the first time and it generally looks accurate and balanced.
davidwh
Sortius has found them to be wrong on an NBN fact.
Also Politifact in US has been under attack by Maddow a few times. So if related that could indicate some problem.
From 1 July 2002, a Government superannuation co-contribution will be introduced in place of the existing rebate for personal superannuation contributions made by eligible low income earners. The co-contribution will match personal undeducted contributions by low income earners made on or after 1 July 2002.
A maximum co-contribution of $1,000 will be payable in respect of individuals whose assessable income and reportable fringe benefits do not exceed $20,000 per annum. The maximum co-contribution will be reduced by 8 cents for each dollar of assessable income and reportable fringe benefits over $20,000 (up to $32,500). The co-contribution will be treated as an undeducted contribution for tax purposes.
There is one thing the government should change is where
the saying you are innocent until proven guilty
in reality its not the way
Its more like you are guilty until you are proven innocent
Sean Tisme
Posted Monday, May 27, 2013 at 10:20 am | Permalink
This scheme, which provides a credit of up to $500 directly back to the superannuation accounts of workers earning less than $37,000 per year, would be scrapped if the Coalition is elected in September “because that’s also funded from the (mining) tax that isn’t raising any revenue”.
Under Howard it used to be $1500 Co-Contribution till Labor cut to the bone.
———————————————————
Having attacked the baby bonus the Liberals will complete the removal of another Howard initiative
Obviously admitting Howard was wrong to implement them
My reasons why its you are guilty until you are proven innocent by a court is
1- Police issue you a fine, they have found you guilty its up to you to prove your innocence
2- if the person was innocent until proven guilty, the police should issue breaches notices not fines
3- The person who has alledge to have commit an offence can lose their points or license without going to court
if you were innocent until proven guilty, you would be issued with intention of losing points or license
4- The police is the Prosecutor and Judge , when they issue on the spot fines
Well scrolling through very quickly the pages this morning and seeing the assorted Right wingers lining up, think will just go and enjoy the day, which is beautiful up here.
Notice though MOD LIB is posting (when do you ever work I wonder?) Still running from my serious question about Europe. Quite disappointed in you running like your leader Tony Abbott :devil: