Galaxy: 59-41 to federal Coalition in Queensland

Galaxy follows up Saturday’s state poll with federal voting intention results for Queensland, painting the usual grim picture for Labor.

GhostWhoVotes reports the Galaxy poll of 800 Queensland respondents which gave us state results on Saturday now brings us federal results, indicating a 59-41 Coalition lead in the state from a swing of about 4%. This compares with a 55-45 result in the last such poll in February, which seemed a little favourable to Labor at the time. On the primary vote, Labor is down five to 28% and the Coalition is steady on 46%.

There has also been Queensland state polling over the weekend from Galaxy and ReachTEL, which you can read all about here.

UPDATE: Essential Research has Labor down a point on the primary vote to 34%, with the Coalition and the Greens steady on 48% and 8%. Two-party preferred is unchanged at 55-45. Other questions find Joe Hockey leading Wayne Swan as more trusted to handle the economy 37-28, out from 35-32 before the budget; 43% believing Tony Abbott should accept the Gonski reforms against 34% who favour the existing model; 51% saying climate change is caused by humans against 35% opting for normal fluctuation; support on opposition for carbon pricing tied at 43% all, the most favourable result yet recorded; 39% favouring it against 29% for the Liberals’ “direct action” policy (at least with respect to the policies as described in the question); and only 26% believing Tony Abbott will fulfill his promise to remove both the mining and carbon taxes while keeping the carbon tax compensation measures.

The weekly Morgan multi-mode poll has Labor up 1.5% to 33.5%, the Coalition steady on 45.5% and the Greens down half a point to 9.5%. Both respondent allocated and previous election two-party preferred measures have shifted from 55-45 to 54.5-45.5, providing further evidence that Morgan’s new methodology has resolved the inexplicable discrepancy between these measures which bedevilled the old face-to-face series (as well as its Labor bias).

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,883 comments on “Galaxy: 59-41 to federal Coalition in Queensland”

Comments Page 35 of 38
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  1. Barnaby will be elected the member of New England and he will have the Australian Labor Party and Julia Gillard to thank for it.

    Another Gillard/Labor success.

  3. Looks like another back flip with two and half twists and pike

    [THE Coalition has dropped its long-held objections to Labor’s proposed cut to the 30 per cent health insurance rebate, citing emergency budgetary conditions.

    The opposition has also resolved not to oppose legislation abolishing the baby bonus, or the proposed rise in the Medicare levy to help fund the national disability insurance scheme.

    The change in the opposition’s position on the health rebate, agreed to in the Coalition partyroom today, will allow it to book a $700 million budget saving over the next four years.

    Tony Abbott told the meeting the decision was contrary to the Coalition’s ingrained position but because of the “budget emergency” the opposition felt it must support the measure.]

    http://tinyurl.com/od8n75g

    Vote the Redhead not the Dickhead
    Vote Broadband not Fraudband

  4. [BBC World discussing Australia China relationship due to hackling report]

    They still want out coal and iron ore, and we still want to sell it to them.

    Is there anything else we need to know?

  6. For anyone wailing over the Chinese, allegedly, pinching plans of ASIO HQ it is pot and kettle time.

    [….that ASIO had managed to riddle China’s palatial embassy on the other side of the lake with fibre optic cables. It was one of the great bugging efforts – the cables had been secreted throughout the building as it was being constructed. No word uttered, no telephone call nor transmission of data between China’s diplomats and their masters in Beijing would be missed.]

    http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/chinas-payback-to-asio-the-latest-in-a-tradition-of-spookery-20130528-2n8wm.html#ixzz2Ua57E5Kw

  7. ABC. 7.30….Oooooo!..Bad AFP. !…..naughty AFP….what else have those devious little bassturds been up too?

  11. BB

    Also remember that the so called end of the mining boom is actually the end of the construction phase and what comes after that ? The mining production phase. Something I look forward to as the hyper inflated market value of tradies will plummet to sane values.

  13. [A Confidence motion has been selected for debate next Mon seeking the full support of Hse of Reps in Depts of Treasury & Fin]

    Any thoughts that this will be a field day for the Govt and Indies to simply beat the living crappers out of Abbotts Wabble? Their every utterance bagging Treasury and Finance will get repeated in scornful tone by, well, EVERYBODY not in the Coalition, probably several times, and they will be repeatedly called on to repudiate those public positions already taken and support the motion.

    Of course, the cowards will probably just run away like the nasty wimps they are and not be in the house. And where is :monkey: ‘s No Confidence motion after all???

  14. BB,

    The AFP wanted to blow the whistle on Labors incompetence in regards to their Asylum Seeker management.

    They pulled out of Christmas Island… and then there were the riots

  15. OOO! Tiche…you just don’t get it…it is not up to a federal appointed authority to “test” anyone!….I would trust there will be a degree of ‘teeth baring” in the DPP. tonight and a degree of “sphincter tightening” in the AFP. tonight!
    But don’t YOU fret, tiche, being such an important Lib., I’m sure you’ll be kept informed!

  17. To quote, BB. the senior management pulled the riot squad out of christmas Island so as to “…manufacture a situation…” that ended in the riot.
    Probably just a warm-up for future AFP. operations under a perceived different govt’!

  18. [Is there any thing that isn’t in the coalition’s DNA,]

    A pre-disposition to rationality and sound policy development seems to be blatantly missing? Not so much a gene pool for these guys as a gene sewer full of nasty recessives that (hopefully) only get expressed when Tories mate.

    Lookin at you ST. 🙁

  19. Joe,

    It’s the Federal agencies job to perform their duties, but sometimes you have to blow the whistle on gross incompetence which is what the AFP were doing by putting the governments lack lustre interest in dealing with security problems at Christmas Island.

    The AFP is not meant to be the security at Australian detention centres thats the job of SERCO and the Government.

  21. I have lately spoken to a recently retired AFP officer of extremely senior rank who confirms the AFP management are politically motivated against Labor.

    He’s appalled.

  24. ST

    [The AFP is not meant to be the security at Australian detention centres thats the job of SERCO ]
    Serco being a disgraceful infection that the rodent inflicted upon Australia.

  27. So the useless opposition are copying ANOTHER labor policy by backing the means testing of the medicare rebate?
    What a gutless lot they are.
    There is simply no reason to vote for them at all.

  28. briefly@1539

    [You are seriously over-estimating the respective market shares of the Greens and Labor. In WA at the recent election, the Green vote was 8.3% and the ALP vote was 33.1%. This may not turn out to be very different from the result in September. We are very far from appealing to 20% and 55/65% respectively. Very far indeed.]

    I’m not suggesting that the ALP will get 55-65% or that we Greens will approach 20%. I’m suggesting that this is the size of the pool of people with whom we could hope to have a plausible conversation in the here and now. About 65% of the population would probably consider voting ALP in some circumstances and about 20% might vote Green in other circumstances. In practice there are no circumstances when all of those people would vote ALP/Green at the one election.

  30. So a private company and members of the Government (did you really mean MP’s are you that stupid) has a right to maintain law and order in Australia, and the AFP have no role in maintaining law and order. This would be funny if so many idiots didn’t believe this type of insane garbage.

  31. BB

    I would love to know what happened behind closed doors after AFP chief Mick Keelty stood up to Howard. After that he became a pillow.

  33. [Henry
    Posted Tuesday, May 28, 2013 at 8:41 pm | PERMALINK
    So the useless opposition are copying ANOTHER labor policy by backing the means testing of the medicare rebate?
    What a gutless lot they are.
    There is simply no reason to vote for them at all.]

    Henry, its just the simple “me too Kev” tactic at work. This tactic pissed the libs off in 07 when Kevin seemed to be araldited to JWH arse on every policy bar work choices…

  36. Tiche…The AFP. is given a job to do…senior management were advised by their commanding officer of developing danger on the site…not only did they ignore the advice on a number of occasions, they deliberately “manufactured a (political) situation” and allowed a dangerous situation to develope…it is not only a serious breach of duty, it is a derelection of duty akin to desertion in the face of an enemy…..management heads should roll..but only after a thorough investigation into why it suited the senior management to take an appointed operation order into it’s own hands to make the gov’t look bad…and Qui Bono…for the good of whom?

  37. [Henry, its just the simple “me too Kev” tactic at work.]

    I hope so, as Kev is a demonstable loser when it comes to matching wits with Gillard.

    Indeed, most of the punditocracy and the Opposition ranks are in a state of constant delusion when it comes to the rings she runs around them.

  39. Player One:

    [Fran, I think you are hands down the weirdest poster here on PB – and the competition is pretty stiff here sometimes!]

    Thanks. I’ve never wanted to be typical.

  40. [you idiot

    Riot happened under Gillard, she’s responsible]

    The prosecution rests your honor the defence is making our case for us.

  42. rummel@1733

    Henry
    Posted Tuesday, May 28, 2013 at 8:41 pm | PERMALINK
    So the useless opposition are copying ANOTHER labor policy by backing the means testing of the medicare rebate?
    What a gutless lot they are.
    There is simply no reason to vote for them at all.


    Henry, its just the simple “me too Kev” tactic at work. This tactic pissed the libs off in 07 when Kevin seemed to be araldited to JWH arse on every policy bar work choices…

    So you agree there is no reason to vote for the coalition then?
    Good.
    Besides labor offered a much more progressive govt than howard in 07.
    Ratify kyoto, action on climate change, abolish workchoices and so on.

  45. [@jackiewoods: Direct Action less popular than carbon tax, support it does get is from sceptics – my latest on @ABCthedrum http://t.co/jPDc1bzsjH%5D

    The amazing thing is, call it a “Carbon Tax” and they all want to get rid of it.

    Call it “Carbon Pricing” and they’re all in favour.

    I am beginning to suspect the line between hatred and love of Gillard is thinning, and that pretty soon we are going to see a breakout by Labor from the polling doldrums.

  47. [I am beginning to suspect the line between hatred and love of Gillard is thinning, and that pretty soon we are going to see a breakout by Labor from the polling doldrums.]

    Fingers crossed you are right.

  48. [I’ve never wanted to be typical.]

    None of us are typical.

    You’ve therefore just declared yourself one of the crowd.

  50. When I read this headline on the ABC site, I thought, have they arrested Abbott’s staffer?
    [
    Man refused bail over alleged kill threat against Commonwealth official ]

    but on following the link:
    [Milad bin Ahmad-Shah al-Ahmadzai refused bail over alleged kill threat against Commonwealth official ]
    I found I was wrong.

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