If you’re a Crikey subscriber, you can observe my reading of the situation here, which concludes thus:
I don’t see any reason to bet against the view shared by FiveThirtyEight and the RealClearPolitics state polling averages: that Obama will win the electoral college 303 to 235, carrying Ohio, Virginia, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Iowa, Colorado and Nevada, while falling short in Florida and North Carolina.
“@GayCarBoys: im absolutely loving the libturds pulling their hair out on #AUSpol. ive got my popcorn, and my CokeZero. now have i missed anything”
TT – that’s not sour grapes is it?
*Obama has won the same number of ‘seats’ as Kennedy won at his election.
*I don’t think Obama lost any of the “marginal” seats
*What the media was pontificating “too close to call” was in fact media hype as it turned out and the victory is comprehensive.
*The results came in at about the same time as for the election 4 years ago.
*It will be surprising if the total vote for O is not ahead of R. In any event, this cut no ice when Bush won against Gore. So,a win is a win is a win.
The GOP are in deep trouble as are their media lackies Fox et al.
Ominous for Abbott I would have thought if international comparisons mean anything – which they probably do not!
“@Wolfie_Rankin: Dear #Republicans moving to Australia. #Taipans #TigerSharks #BlueRingedOctopus #StoneFish #Stingers #RedBack and #Funnelweb #Spiders”
I guess if the Republicans think they’ll win next time by just going in harder and nastier, they’ll come an even bigger cropper in 2016.
A lesson here for Tony Abbott and his bunch of St. John’s thugs, I think.
guytaur @1353
Not to mention………..
And…………as I read just recently ……..”The rest of the world sighs with relief.”
“@CraigEmersonMP: Very happy for Barack Obama. I’ve met him a couple of times now. He’s a good guy.”
Awww
So much for earlier projection.
@cnnbrk: GOP Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minn. wins re-election, CNN projects #CNNElection http://t.co/JMDOVUpv
Grog’s take on US votes: http://grogsgamut.blogspot.com.au/2012/11/2012-us-election-obama-and-maths-win.html
guytaur
Tis good Bachmann was elected. She will be a constant reminder of how batshit crazy the Tea Party are.
“@profsarahj: If Fox continues to be influential without changing its tone, it will kill the GOP. Ping @rupertmurdoch #usvotes”
Finns
The footage of Megyn Kelly of Fox doing the walk of shame to ask the real experts if they thought Karl “Turd Blossom” Rove was wRONg was a classic. They were only 99.95% sure and Karl was clinging to the 0.05% like the bitter airhead he is.
@Reuters: China says Obama win offers opportunity to mend ties http://t.co/gsyZlx5D
[Clive’s PA @PAforClive
Can hear the #lnp spinning the #US2012election result’s implications for Australia. ‘Far right posturing & policy vacuums can still work’ ]
[Andrew Elder @awelder
@PAforClive Mouth-breather Tom Switzer on @abc24 offers all the proof you need. Not a happy bunny and rightly so. ]
see Dick Morris makes a fool of himself again on Foxnews – blaming Blacks, Latinos and Young People for Romney losing – http://twitpic.com/bb2gyn/full
Obama re-elected while Xi Jinping appointed secretary-general of 18th CPC Congress – The Day that shook the world
Tricot@1352
Yep. I mentioned this expression in my article this morning and pointed out that they get away with this expression because “too close to call” can mean either too close to be extremely confident or too close to have the foggiest idea. It was OK to use it in the first context but those using it in the second were just silly fence-sitters because there was very good reason to consider Obama a very warm favourite.
guytaur@1353
And, the most dangerous species of all … REDHEADS!
lol
https://twitter.com/MrPinkCarpet/status/266141310140968960/photo/1
Space Kidette,
I have no idea which of my feeble witticisms made you laugh, but am glad that at least one did so.
What better way in which to end such a beautiful day?
Memo to the Repug Refugees – can you handle this if you want to come to Australia – http://twitpic.com/b5r0hm/full
‘Twas the dogs that did it.
https://www.facebook.com/DogsAgainstRomney?ref=ts&fref=ts
Watching Alexander Downer on ABC24 he is a man of wisdom, balance, integrity and all things good, he should be our Governor General, or President or something that can properly use his remarkable being.
I have enjoyed this kinder gentler thread on the US election and the outcome. What we need now is for Obama to get through his mild stimulus settings and Xi Jingpin to stoke the Chinese economy and Australia and Labor will benefit with an ongoing mining led growth economy.
WeWantPaul@1373
YOu know he was born for it.
Agreed Paddy O/1374
[Destroy the Context @SpaceKidette
BAHAHAHAHAHA! Derp Alert! RT 5 ways the mainstream media tipped the scales in favor of Obama | Fox News http://fxn.ws/VBe7eP via @fxnopinion ]
LABOR SHOULD HIGHER DAVID AXELROD FORTHWITH!
I MEANT HIRE!~
[Finns
The footage of Megyn Kelly of Fox doing the walk of shame to ask the real experts if they thought Karl “Turd Blossom” Rove was wRONg was a classic. They were only 99.95% sure and Karl was clinging to the 0.05% like the bitter airhead he is.]
HA! That was my highlight too!
It was like when under extreme stress the Foxes started reverting to cannibalism.
WHERE HAS EVERYONE GONE? I WANT TO GLOAT.
[Jamie @JamieDMJ
I’m sure Donald Trump will overcomb this.
Retweeted by wonk_arama ]
Gloat away Showson, there is plenty to go around. 😀
Has Rupert Murdoch tweeted on the US election
He hated Obama and loved Ryan(“the perfect candidate” he said)???
ShowsOn@1381
What do you want to gloat about? Has Julia Gillard resigned? 😛
DrWom @DrWom
A friendly note to all #GOP who want to move to Australia now #Obama won #USAVotes #p2 #p21 Via @CalledFelicity pic.twitter.com/xTdwCBzo
Retweeted by George Bludger
I misread the Puerto Rico referendum earlier. They voted AGAINST remaining a territory, and then for becoming a US state.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Puerto_Rican_status_referendum,_2012
Wikipedia also tells me that Puerto Rico would have five seats in the House and therefore seven votes for President. With the high Latino population it seems they would trend to the Democrats but be very religious.
My understanding of Puerto Rico’s politics is it leans Democratic but can go Republican. Will have to look into that one. Will be an important consideration at future elections…
I have been out for the evening and just caught up wih the final result. Good job Nate Silver! He looks to have been spot on. Maybe the USA finally has an answer to Antony Green to she some statistical light on their arcane electoral system.
As for the result, it is good news for Australia, Labor, and humanity. I still don’t think Obama has done enough, but Romneys only likely achievement would have been war with Iran.
Good result for Obama except for the HoR. The 2m plus popular vote lead will help destroy the “we wuz robbed” obstructionists.
Hope Obama can get away from the dictates of Imperialsim Inc and free market philosophy.
MythBusters Official @MythBusters
A monster asteroid was pinged during last night’s election >> http://bit.ly/TKGdlz
I love a good gloat in the morning.
Dick Morris eating humble pie and starting to get what we have all been saying about US voter demographic changes!!!
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2012/11/07/dick_morris_explains_why_his_landslide_prediction_was_wrong.html
DER ! 🙂
[Wakefield
Posted Thursday, November 8, 2012 at 1:34 am | PERMALINK
Good result for Obama except for the HoR]
Likely to be 200-235 (7 seat gain to Dems) which is pretty good given the gerrymandering from the Republican State Legislatures after 2010. The trouble is how to get that back in 2014 when the midterm election cycle usually means the White House incumbent party loses House seats.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2012/11/07/coulter_ingraham_debate_how_romney_lost_the_election.html
Ann Coulter (conservative activist) also getting the electorate changes and trying to convince an incredulous reporter that Romney was fantastic!
Is it wrong for me to enjoy watching/listening to these right wingers eating humble pie?
Obama made a big mistake not putting more weight on the Bill (and Hillary) Clinton contribution to his campaign (and administration) IMHO.
Mod Lib I agree both Clintons were terrific and should have been thanked.
Wakefield
[Hope Obama can get away from the dictates of Imperialsim Inc and free market philosophy.]
I share your hopes and agree this is how many see Obama and the USA. Yet strictly speaking it is NOT pure capitalism. It is worse. would describe Wall Street in the last decade as “gangster capitalism”, not a free market. Matt Taibbi calls it a kleptocracy. Regulators haven’t just been absent. They have been part of the crime. They have actively intervened in favour of the thieves. If it was just a (lawless) free market, there would not have been over six hundred billion in bailout funds.
Much of what is wrong with Wall Street exists because of government regulation in their favour. Laws on tax and retirement savings forcibly channel billions in pension plans to them in the first place and the money is then fleeced. If it were a real free market workers would at least be free to save the money themselves instead. But they have to pay Wall Street.
In my view this problem is so bad that unless Wall Street is properly regulated all the laws on retirement savings should be dismantled.
For your entertainment – Fox News:
[James Bradley @cityoftongues
5 Amazing Fox News Freak-outs: Karl Rove, Megyn Kelly, Bill O’Reilly, and More http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/11/07/5-amazing-fox-news-freak-outs-karl-rove-megyn-kelly-bill-o-reilly-and-more.html … via @thedailybeast ]
[Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump
Congrats to @KarlRove on blowing $400 million this cycle. Every race @CrossroadsGPS ran ads in, the Republicans lost. What a waste of money.]
Triton,
I am guessing but sounds like some of that money was from Trump!