AAP, for some reason, reveals that the Newspoll to be published in The Australian tomorrow will have the elastic jerking back after the 50-50 anomaly of three weeks ago, with the Coalition now leading 54-46 on two-party preferred from primary votes of 33% for Labor (down three), 45% for the Coalition (up four) and 10% for the Greens (down two). However, Julia Gillard has improved further on her strongly recovering personal ratings last time, holding steady on approval at 36% and dropping two on disapproval to 50%, producing her best net approval rating since April last year. The wide gap which opened on preferred prime minister last time has narrowed only modestly, coming in at 43-33 in Gillard’s favour rather than 46-32. Tony Abbott’s personal ratings have also improved, his approval up three to 33% and disapproval down five to 55%.
Today’s Essential Research had Labor gaining a further point on the primary vote to 37%, with the Coalition steady at 47%. Essential has shown Labor gaining five points on the primary vote over six weeks, to reach a level not seen since March last year. The Coalition’s two-party preferred lead is unchanged at 53-47. Essential has smartly chosen this week to repeat an exercise from a year ago concerning trust in media personalities, finding Alan Jones among the most famous but least trusted (22% trust against 67% do not trust). The others best recognised were Laurie Oakes and George Negus, with the former slightly edging out the latter on trust (72% compared with 69%). Only 17% registered support for funding cuts to the ABC, with around a third each wanting funding maintained or increased. Opinion on government regulation of the media was fairly evenly spread between wanting more, less and the same.
UPDATE (9/10/12): The latest Morgan face-to-face result, combining its surveys over the past two weekends, has Labor down half a point to 37%, the Coalition up 1.5% to 43% and the Greens up half a point to 10.5%. The Coalition’s lead on respondent-allocated preferences is steady at 52-48, but they have gained a point on the 2010 election preferences measure to lead 51-49.
Senate-heavy preselection news:
• Barnaby Joyce’s lower house ambitions for the next election have foundered with Bruce Scott’s determination to serve another term as member for Maranoa. Joyce will not challenge Scott for preselection, saying to do so would be “self-indulgent personality politics”, despite the impression many received from his declared opposition to the locally contentious purchase of the vast Cubbie Station by a consortium led by Chinese interests. Unidentified Nationals quoted by Dennis Shanahan of The Australian “maintain Joyce had the numbers for preselection over Scott but it was going to be an ugly and drawn-out affair”.
• Two of the Queensland Coalition Senators whose terms expire after the next election have announced they will not seek re-election, leaving only 2007 ticket leader Ian MacDonald. Ron Boswell, who has been in the Senate since 1983 and was re-elected from number three in 2007, surprised nobody by announcing that at the age of 70 the time had come to bow out. Andrew Fraser of The Australian reports those in contention to take his place on the LNP Senate ticket include David Goodwin, the Boswell-backed president of the Queensland Chamber of Commerce and Industry, along with LNP vice-president Gary Spence, LNP treasurer Barry O’Sullivan, and Barnaby Joyce staffer Matt Canavan. Liberal Senator Sue Boyce today announced she would not contest the next election as she wished to spend more time with her family, while acknowledging her preselection would have faced opposition from forces who perceive her as too moderate. Steven Scott of the Courier-Mail reported that other applicants are likely to include David Moore, who worked on Campbell Newman’s election campaign. Steven Scott of the Courier-Mail reported that hopefuls for a Senate position included David Moore, an LNP operative whose activities as a lobbyist were recently criticised by Clive Palmer.
• Chris Ketter, state secretary of the Right faction Shop Distributive and Allied Employees Association, has been preselected to top the Queensland Labor Senate ticket. The number one candidate from 2007, Senate President John Hogg, will retire. The second and third elected candidates from last time, Claire Moore and Mark Furner, will retain their old positions, a gloomy prospect for Furner in particular.
• Mark Kenny of The Advertiser reports that Labor in South Australia will not promote Penny Wong to the top of its Senate ticket, despite the “bad look” of having the position instead go to one-time Shop Distributive and Allied Employees Association state secretary Don Farrell on the strength of his Right faction’s control of between 55% and 60% of the votes at the party’s state convention.
• Long-simmering hostilities between the NSW Liberals and Nationals over the seat of Hume have come to an end, with the Nationals agreeing not to field a candidate against Liberal candidate Angus Taylor in his bid to succeed retiring Liberal Alby Schultz. Senator Fiona Nash had most frequently been nominated as a potential candidate, together with state government minister Katrina Hodgkinson.
• Bob Carr told reporters last week that were Robert McClelland to retire in Barton, he could not think of a better candidate to succeed him than his own successor as Premier, Morris Iemma. However, McClelland insists he has no plans to do so.
• As anticipated, former Australian Medical Association president Bill Glasson has been confirmed as the LNP candidate to run against Kevin Rudd in Griffith. Glasson’s father, Bill Glasson Sr, was once Nationals member for the rural seat of Gregory and a minister in the Bjelke-Petersen, Cooper and Ahern governments. Other names mentioned in relation to the preselection were John Haley, Alfio Russo and John Adermann, who stayed with the process to the end, along with Angela Julian-Armitage and Wayne Tsang, who dropped out at an earlier stage.
• The Mercury published extensive results on Saturday for polling of state voting intention in Tasmania, conducted on behalf of the Liberal Party by ReachTEL. The figures, which make for dismal reading for Labor, are detailed below, and have been thoroughly analysed by Kevin Bonham at the Tasmanian Times. The poll also found Liberal leader Will Hodgman favoured by 57.3% ahead of 22.9% for Premier Lara Giddings and 19.8% for Greens leader Nick McKim, and that 34.4% opposed the forestry “peace deal” against 28.2% support.
Lyons Bass Braddon Denison Franklin Total Labor 22.3% 17.4% 23.2% 18.5% 27.6% 22.7% Liberal 55.7% 62.9% 56.8% 36.5% 46.3% 51.5% Greens 13.6% 13.6% 14.6% 23.2% 19.4% 17.7% Other 8.4% 6.1% 5.3% 21.9% 6.7% 8.1% Sample 233 230 232 241 238 1174
I think Abbott is a misogynist any way you want to define it.
Rake and Lowdown last night were compelling TV. Best I can recall, but that’s just me, would however have to say they were both pretty sexist, should I be uncomfortable about that, would suck a lot of joy out of life.
Finally to turn it full circle, my wife would say I’m a bunch of bad things, maybe not misogynist or sexist. Dr Phil provides lots of case studies to draw from, probably start with emotionally abusive and work from that. So if a couple can’t agree on terms it’s probably a bit a ask for a nation to.
😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆
Margie Abbott Defends Her Husband
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=piENkWez_18
679 views
Julia Gillard Emasculates Margie Abbott’s Hubby
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ihd7ofrwQX0
1,025,928 views
😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆 😆
swamprat
[I did not understand this profound distinction at all, at all.]
The distinction is that shed loads of Australians are not on the electoral roll. Whilst in NZ virtually all elegible voters are.
poroti:
But by and large I think our lower house representatives in state and federal parliaments are of a higher quality than their equivalents in WA local governments.
Yes some duds slip through, but in federal parliament anyway, there seem to be more dregs in the Senate, arguably owing to the voting system for that chamber.
[ chance of that with certain religions around.]
it your talking catholic your very ignorant
most if not all catholic woman take the pill or what ever.
after all the av. family at the school i m connected with is two
let you in to a secret and priest told me once it was a bigger sin to not use contraceptives than bring
children in to the world that could not be looked after
honestly if your talking catholic, you have no idea
i refuse to watch the rake show and i ve only seen previews
Carey Moore
That wikipedia link shows the USofA having the LEAST voting participation!!! Ruls by a rich elite elected by less than half the elegible voters!!!
Georgeous Dunny
[The problem with the Nash theory is the assumption that Abbott’s a man.]
Well as Divine said he…….
[Walks Like a Man]
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ztSY-T81vqw
and rummel that certain religion if your talking catholic
has more non for profit nursing homes,.
and has many hospitals, ect and care centres.
so one day you may need that certain religion.
poroti
I acknowledge that. Howard Government tried to make it hard to get enrolled.
Dan
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OYpwAtnywTk&feature=b-mv-user
How to trick people into thinking you’re good looking…
45,596,988 views.
Now who is changing the world for the better 🙁
Poroti 5994 and earlier.
Turnout in NZ is nowhere near 95% like here. It dropped away from our levels 50 years ago and trended down since: http://www.idea.int/vt/countryview.cfm?CountryCode=NZ
It’s an old meme – in 1950s NZ had highest party membership in the democratic world. Small state, interesting politics, plenty of reform seemed to be the mix then. Oh and they’ve long had compulsory registration, which seems to prop up voting itself.
Dan G:
That says it all!
[Carey Moore
That wikipedia link shows the USofA having the LEAST voting participation!!! Ruls by a rich elite elected by less than half the elegible voters!!!]
Yes, the Americans are horrible with voter participation.
At times because of voter suppression, at times because it’s on a Tuesday and often the state govt doesn’t give a shit about whether or not you know where to vote, at other times it’s just because there’s no real choice.
[my say
Posted Friday, October 12, 2012 at 10:04 pm | PERMALINK
and rummel that certain religion if your talking catholic
has more non for profit nursing homes,.
and has many hospitals, ect and care centres.]
Thank you my say, i will keep that in mind.
[BH
Posted Friday, October 12, 2012 at 9:36 pm | Permalink
deflationite – my OH ran his business from home for quite a few years and that gave me the opportunity to return to work.
He was glad he had that time with the kids and I was so pleased to be doing something I enjoyed. Thank dog for fathers who are willing to do it.
]
Wonderful.
Us blokes are pretty good at bringing up kids. No better or worse than anyone else prepared to give it a go.
I have done something similar. Had some part time stuff while raising the little ones.
The number ONE priority though has been the kids at the expense of business.
Which has been better for every single one of us. 🙂
i see u ignored my comment fair enough rummell just
better that you know .
this blogg cannot go a day with out mention catholic or something or other,
its quite amamzing really,
i find it very strange the silly things people say about
religion,
most schools these days study religion on a wide basis of all religions just to be educated.
may be a good idea if some here took the course.
one million views. Wow. just one. I don’t think any of us would have predicted that !
Is it being reported anywhere?
I like how the MSM and the opposition has kept up the interest by debating the definition of misogyny
Carey Moore
[Yes, the Americans are horrible with voter participation.
At times because of voter suppression, at times because it’s on a Tuesday and often the state govt doesn’t give a shit about whether or not you know where to vote, at other times it’s just because there’s no real choice.]
Apart for propaganda purposes they hardly need to bother. Their international policies never change.
rummel
[rummel
Posted Friday, October 12, 2012 at 10:05 pm | Permalink
Dan
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OYpwAtnywTk&feature=b-mv-user
How to trick people into thinking you’re good looking…]
So how will the teeming hordes of PBers recogcnise you on Lygon Street ? Now just for fun.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SvIamfRRKK0
My Say,
[most schools these days study religion on a wide basis of all religions just to be educated.]
I would be grateful if you could provide me with a link that supports your claim. Please understand, I would be delighted to learn that you are correct.
Poroti,
Thats is a great ad
you want have to keep in mind rummell’ as things happen out of the blue when you get old.
you end up in places that may not be of your choice.
thank goodness there are places that care.
and by the way they want ask you your religion all are welcome
Snow in parts of the country today, while ABC news just reported two volunteer firefighters on WA’s southcoast have been air-lifted to Perth with life threatening injuries fighting an out of control bushfire there.
🙁
kezza
[Good on ya, mate. (And, I actually think blokes are better at creating independent kids. What blasphemy!)]
I think the key to empowering children, students, work colleagues etc is their significant adults’ self-confidence: ease in inhabiting one’s own skin; at ease with one’s own company – which, imo, characterises those who have mastered themselves, the essentials of their chosen careers and life-style, and personal decision-making; whose competition is always between what they are and what they hope to be – and usually have an absorbing, mental stimulating hobby.
Sexism, misogyny (and its feminine equivalent) etc are, essentially, expressions of reactions to fear, perceived threats; attempts to camouflage low self-esteem (not necessarily involving women); more likely to having been demeaned/ abused/ disadvantaged/ emotionally and/or physically damaged, and/or made feel weak, threatened, effeminate (“such a girl”), a derogatory term for “gay”/ slut.
Identifying the trigger/s, when and in what circumstances it/ they happened, is a psychologist’s main task.
The rake ads are dreadful, I refused to watch series 1 because of them, saw bits of ep6 by mistake, though it ok but maybe just because it tied up all the loose ends. But it’s pretty darn good, if you like that sort of thing.
[and by the way they want ask you your religion all are welcome]
Mysay.
What about atheists like me?. I know Pell has said im still going to heven in the end which is mighty nice.
I like how the MSM and the opposition (although they really are the same thing) trying to make this out to be a “gender war”. What utter crap. Its not women v men its women = men
One. Million. Views
[Apart for propaganda purposes they hardly need to bother. Their international policies never change.]
Actually, I agree with that. At least among the mainstream of the two main parties.
poroti
This is our clan gathering 🙂
http://www.lonach.org
[two volunteer firefighters on WA’s southcoast have been air-lifted to Perth with life threatening injuries fighting an out of control bushfire there.]
Oh dear… I hope they pull through.
Graeme
[Poroti 5994 and earlier.
Turnout in NZ is nowhere near 95% like here.]
Again I say, there is a difference between % of voters on the roll vs % of eligible voters.Australia has BooYah turnout of registered voters but slack arsked when it comes to % of eligible voters. Still waaaaayy better than the dopey Seppos tho.
poroti, rummel
So is this: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2anomrgUnvk
http://www.gizmodo.com.au/2012/10/make-your-own-hilarious-political-attack-ads-using-your-facebook-data/
[Make Your Own Hilarious Political Attack Ads Using Your Facebook Data
Kyle Wagner Today 7:00 PM
PBS Newshour has a wonderful new tool that lets you make political ads quickly and easily. Ostensibly, it’s to show you how campaign ads are all the same. But in reality it’s a great way to make a dumb video of you being the villain of a political attack ad.
And it works wonderfully! You stop at various points in the video to pick which of your idiot Facebook posts or photos you want to insert, and it renders them into the ad’s template. So, what do you stand for? ]
Dan,
I love how he hoses off the fish at the end 🙂
BC:
[whilst it’s fine to accept the vote of someone accused of committing a crime after entering Parliament?]
It is laughable. The politicians have to find a ‘people’ worthy of voting for them. What a load of moralistic tosh!
poroti
I agree NZ is impressive for turnout. Maybe they are all voting for their relatives???
joking!
deflationite – yes, Dad’s can do it just as well as Mum and I think it’s good for the kids to know that.
Our kids found they could no longer run to Dad when Mum said ‘no’ because he was the one now saying no.
I like the choices that families can make to suit themselves. Your kids will be well grounded.
6002
Dan Gulberry
Exhibit A: 679 views
Exhibit B: 1,025,928 views (and rapidly rising)
Case closed.
Abbott so effortlessly got away with the power bill lie and the hypocrisy over accepting Slippers vote but not Thomson’s.
Yet there was plenty of angst about a rude joke and some rude texts.
Our MSM has alot to answer for
rummel:
All I know is one of the vollies is a woman who has burns to 80% of her body.
Apparently their truck rolled. The fire is raging out of control in a tree plantation, but no threat to lives or properties.
swamprat
[poroti
This is our clan gathering
http://www.lonach.org ]
Good stuff. This is the result of my lot who left for Nova Scotia in 1815.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S8Bd0H8FZQY
Confessions,
The only comfort that I can offer is that in Perth you have one of the best burns units in the world.
swamprat
[poroti
I agree NZ is impressive for turnout. Maybe they are all voting for their relatives???
joking!]
No joke. You are likely right. Maori in NZ are very keen on family and ancestry. Pakehas have picked up on that. A small place we really are all cuzzies 🙂
[BH
Posted Friday, October 12, 2012 at 10:23 pm | Permalink
deflationite – yes, Dad’s can do it just as well as Mum and I think it’s good for the kids to know that.
Our kids found they could no longer run to Dad when Mum said ‘no’ because he was the one now saying no.
I like the choices that families can make to suit themselves. Your kids will be well grounded.
]
Not sure about well grounded.
Kids brought up with dads are subject to many of the same positive and negative influences of kids brought up with mums.
It all works out in the end one way or the other. 🙂
It is such a complicated process that it allows blame to be thrown around everywhere, from the individual, the primary caregiver and the breadwinner and variants in between.
It all works out in the end. One way or another. 🙂
I linked this earlier in the day, but its a really interesting example of how the JG speech is being discussed/utilised overseas. The left-wing blog Corrente had it stickied for two days, citing it not only as a ‘smackdown’, but as a reference speech for activists wanting to learn how to deliver more effective speeches: http://www.correntewire.com/wow_3
Leroy
Thats gold.
[Abbott so effortlessly got away with the power bill lie]
I saw some news reports earlier today absolutely going Abbott over the power bill. It also made the ABC local radio here (apparently the pensioner in question lives in WA), so perhaps it wasn’t so ignored/
However, imagine if a Labor leader misled parliament? The double standards of our OM make me sick!
http://voices.yahoo.com/should-catholic-schools-teach-variety-world-religions-3765124.html
e Vatican department responsible for catechesis states a “necessity to distinguish clearly between religious instruction and catechesis” (Sacred Congregation for the Clergy, 1971). Students must learn about religions other than their own if they are to be able to defend their choice of being Catholic and relate the Christian message to the whole of life and humanity. Inter-religious awareness is essential for Catholics who live in Australia’s multi-cultural and multi-religious society. At the very least, all Catholics should learn about Judaism as it forms the basis of Christianity. Jesus was a Jew; in order to better understand his message Christians must understand the basics of his religion.
The modern Catholic school must provide religious education (informing their students on major world religions) in addition to Catholic education, which will maintain the Catholic tradition and doctrine. Catholic schools which fail to educate their students on world religions are denying their students the opportunity to live harmoniously with all of humanity as God intended.
[confessions
Posted Friday, October 12, 2012 at 10:25 pm | PERMALINK
rummel:
All I know is one of the vollies is a woman who has burns to 80% of her body.
Apparently their truck rolled. The fire is raging out of control in a tree plantation, but no threat to lives or properties.]
Nasty, rollover and fire over run.