Newspoll: 56-44 to Coalition

James J reports Newspoll has the Coalition lead steady at 56-44, from primary votes of 28% for Labor (down three), 46% for the Coalition (down two) and 11% for the Greens (steady), with “others” for some reason hiking five points to 15%, which GhostWhoVotes tells us is the highest since February 2006. Julia Gillard is up two on approval to 29% and one on disapproval to 62%, while Tony Abbott is down two to 30% and up four to 61% – apparently his worst net result ever. Even so, his lead as preferred prime minister has opened from 39-36 to 40-36.

Also out today:

• The weekly Essential Research has Labor recover the point it lost last week to trail 56-44, from primary votes of 33% for Labor (up two), 49% for the Coalition (steady) and 10% for the Greens (steady). Further questions find 53% thinking it “likely” an Abbott government would introduce industrial relations laws similar to WorkChoices against 22% unlikely, and 37% thinking “Australian workers” would be worse off under Abbott against 32% better off. There is also a rather complex question on amendments to surveillance and intelligence-gathering laws.

• Morgan face-to-face, conducted over the previous two weekends, has two-party preferred steady at 54-46 on previous-election preferences and down from 57.5-42.5 to 57-43 on respondent-allocated. On the primary vote, Labor is up 2% to 31.5% and the Greens down 2.5% to 12%, with the Coalition steady on 43%.

Preselection news:

Newcastle (NSW, Labor 12.5%): Labor’s member since 2001, Sharon Grierson, has announced she will not contest the next election. The Newcastle Herald reports the front-runner to succeed Grierson as Labor candidate is “her long-serving staffer and Newcastle councillor Sharon Claydon”. The Liberals have preselected Jaimie Abbott, principal of media training company Gold Star Media who has worked in the past as a public affairs officer with the RAAF, media adviser to Paterson PM Bob Baldwin, and television and radio journalist.

Petrie (Qld, Labor 2.5%): Sandgate Pest Control managing director Luke Howarth has won LNP preselection from a field of ten candidates, emerging a surprise winner over the John Howard-endorsed John Connolly, former Wallabies coach and unsuccessful state candidate for Nicklin.

Rankin (Qld, Labor 5.4%): Jamie Walker of The Australian reports David Lin, Taiwanese-born founder of the Sushi Station restaurant chain, will take on Craig Emerson after winning LNP preselection from a field of six candidates.

Melbourne Ports (Vic, Labor 7.9%): NineMSN reports that the Liberals have again preselected their candidate from 2010, Kevin Ekendahl, a manager at non-profit social enterprises organisation Try Australia.

Throsby (NSW, Labor 12.1%): Bevan Shields of the Illawarra Mercury reports that Mark Hay, military prosecutor and son of state Wollongong MP Noreen Hay, has announced he will not as rumoured be launching a preselection challenge against Stephen Jones in Throsby, as he is about to take a posting with the Royal Australian Navy.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

5,685 comments on “Newspoll: 56-44 to Coalition”

Comments Page 107 of 114
1 … 106 107 108 … 114

  6. A Great anthem

    ——-There are few great anthems and IMHO the Olympic Hymn is one
    I guess we’ll hear it in a few hours
    The others are The French/The US/and ouf course The Internationale(of french oriigin but a campanion piece for the Marsellaise)

    Written for the modern Olympics by a Greek composer

  12. One grandfather came from new york, of french descent,one irish,

    love the Australian Anthem which is for us,USA stars and stipes do not grab,love the marsellliase, and like the wearin of the green

  16. Able to post 5314 and 5315 by doing paste.

    Know bk and others do multiple pastes in their one post,

    Wondering how I would do the two into just one

  17. Wonder if this kind of thinking stick, or bring the jerk down.

    Clive’s PA‏@PAforClive

    Logic Campbell Newman style: “The FedGovt has too many taxes” “The #NDIS can be funded by a levy” Need a vowel Campbell? Oh you are special.

  18. 5 minutes into Olympic viewing. So far one viewing of Dawn Fraser, one set of coke glasses at McDonalds and the promise of 16 days of Eddie McGuire

  31. Yes but to some a hero

    Some here , think nothing of shuting the door on our neighbours

    O but dear where would i get the latest telly from 🙂 🙂 🙂

  33. Hugh

    Given all the parties in the US are to the right of their traditional Australian contemparies, the Greens in the US are probably closer to the centre than they are here.

    The Democrats are probably the equivalent of a moderate LNP, and the Repulsivecans are even further to the right of our current LNP.

    So, it looks like the ALP are your preferred party here 😉

  36. Yes oh took numer one son to airport,
    And the mornings are better , no trolls
    I notice ,most adopting , rose , type names,

  37. shellbell @ 5318:

    I watched about five minutes of the coverage from the predictable Rowan Atkinson sketch until Eddie (I think) started his boorish commentary… STFU and let the Brits explain their own opening ceremony. OFF!

  45. Mornings are my most creative time in the garden

    Really the rest of the day is , a bemusing merry go round

    With thought and grammmar police

  47. Tolls i suppose,
    But, the smart ones drop there rellies off
    In the 5 min parking area free
    Or even suggest to son he walkes, just before the entrance,
    One sees all these cars down the highsy with mobile phones to ear
    Planes landed mum/ dad

    Then one dashes, to the 5 min bay

    Free 🙂

  49. shellbell – You’re not rally going to start that inane ‘conversation’ again, are you?

    ps – Maybe we should send him a shovel via the London AHC.

    👿

  50. Good morning Dawn Patrollers.
    I’m a bit late this morning as we watched the opening ceremony in bed. It was wonderful to see the homage paid to an outstanding engineer, Brunnel. Also I found it interesting that the Poms were proud to display their social values via the tribute to the National Health Service.
    Also the way in which the disables were proudly, though without fanfare, included.
    They even took the piss out of themselves. I can’t imagine the Yanks doing any of the above.
    BUT WHAT IN THE HELL IS THAT NARCISSISTIC UBIQUITOUS BORE EDDIE McGUIRE DOING THERE!!!!!!

    Have a dummy spit over this Abbott! It was your master’s rules that were breached.
    http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/government-cans-100m-grant-for-coal-plant-20120727-22yle.html
    This is a better headline.
    http://www.smh.com.au/national/baillieu-caves-on-disability-20120727-230n0.html
    Alan Moir on the US gun debate.
    http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/opinion/cartoons/alan-moir-20090907-fdxk.html
    David Pope on Abbott’s China visit.
    http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/opinion/cartoons/david-pope-20120214-1t3j0.html
    Ron Tandberg not happy with some of our athletes.
    http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/opinion/cartoons/ron-tandberg-20090910-fixc.html

Comments Page 107 of 114
1 … 106 107 108 … 114

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *