Newspoll: 59-41 to Coalition

Word on Twitter is that Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead out from 56-44 to 59-41, from primary votes of 27% for Labor (down two) and 51% for the Coalition (up three). But for a 26% result in the September 16-18 poll, this would be the lowest primary vote Labor had ever recorded since Newspoll commenced in 1985. The two-party figure ranks as the Gillard government’s equal worst result, along with the poll of September 2-4. Newspoll hasn’t always reported two-party preferred results, but my own calculations tell me there remain unbroken records from the respective honeymoon periods of Rudd (63-37 in February/March 2008) and Howard (60.5-39.5 in April 1996). Julia Gillard is up a point on disapproval to 63% and steady on approval at 28%, while Tony Abbott is down two on approval to 33% and up one on disapproval to 55%. Tony Abbott has widened the preferred prime minister lead he gained in the previous poll, from 41-39 to 41-36. As always, the sample for the poll was around 1150, with a margin of error of 3%.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

6,396 comments on “Newspoll: 59-41 to Coalition”

Comments Page 124 of 128
1 … 123 124 125 … 128

  1. [it has crossed my conspiratorial mind that Slipper has set this whole thing up himslef. ]

    sp, i said few days back, Slipper is not stupid. You dont survive in the QLD LNP jungle for over 20 years for being stupid.

  2. Victoria

    You could be on the money.

    Maybe a tearful expose on the LNP on national meeja while withdrawing his suit and apoligising to ‘man of honour’ Slipper could be the end game.

  3. kezza2

    I am sure the PM’s office doesn’t need the likes of me. They Have been switched on to the state of play for a while!

  4. kezza

    Sorry about spectator – I am glad you did not say you were an interested lurker or loiterer or there may have been a knock on the door

  5. What the Brough disclosure is showing is that they are out their digging around. Truth will out. I suspect it won’t be pretty.

  6. gough you can come up with any number of theories although one where the LNP helped Ashby put his case together is the most likely. Whether this is sinister or not depends on the veracity of the claims as it could range anywhere between dirty politics and conspiracy to pervert the course of justice.

    Another possible conspiracy is that Slipper or Slipper and Labor together are working to find any information which helps to divert attention away from the main game.

    At this time the LNP involvement is the more likely but where politics is concerned anything is possible.

  7. Bludgers, please. We are dealing with the Liberal Party here. They will have so many excuses at the ready. Of course Pyne was speaking to Ashby about opposition business. Of course Brough was speaking to Ashby because he was worried that Slipper might think he was plotting against the Speaker.

    It’s all very cosy and legit they will say and the MSM (as shown today) will stay pretty silent. We may be able to rely on Cassidy to put it all together but Uhlmann, ABC radio and the rest of the mob will STHU.

  9. I wonder if Mr Brough will let his letter of demand against former Slipper Campaign Manager Michael Bloyce lapse.

    Just thinkin’. 😉

  10. Davidwh

    The main game is the economy and the successful implementation of a very large progressive legislative agenda.

    The diversions come only from a very hollow and insubstantial LOTO and his sorry band of unmerry men and women in the LNP and the media.

  11. Swannies Tuesday night budget will be swamped if commentary on this site turns true! Most seem to agree that Slipper will be the big story – and it will be shite for the LNP. Be interesting to see if the Gallery go after Tony. They may have no choice – even Michelle.

  12. Well the slipper issue is warming up towards the libs. Like wise my anger is warming up against the libs as well.

  13. [I wonder what it has cost in total so far?]

    Boerwar, I wonder who’s footing Ashby’s legal bills! The FWA could have been one of those No win,no cost cases – before the background manoeuvres came to light.

    After Fed police action in Utegate, I’d expect them to be all over whatever the “gate” is currently. Though, currently, they wouldn’t have to invade premises; their best hackers should be able to access everything from Canberra’s conforts. OTOH Noosa etc’s lure might create a necessity, especially if it turns cold & windy down south. 😉

  14. [shellbell
    Posted Friday, May 4, 2012 at 4:01 pm | Permalink
    kezza

    Sorry about spectator – I am glad you did not say you were an interested lurker or loiterer or there may have been a knock on the door]
    I think they thought I was a nosey journo, initially.

    So I changed interested “spectator” to “member of the public” – they were okay after that. And, since they have all my details now, really can’t see ASIO knocking on my door!

    Cheers – and thanks again.

  15. Latest post at The Daily Derp
    [With each passing day the Slippergate affair is starting to smell more and more like Utegate.

    First there is the obvious Steve Lewis connection. Lewis, a journalist for the low-brow Murdoch fish wrapper, The Daily Telegraph, was the one that “broke” both stories. Utegate was subsequently found to be a beat up and cost Malcolm Turnbull the leadership of the Liberal Party.

    The “Utegate” schemozzle cost Turnbull his leadership role. If it turns out that the LNP is behind “Slippergate”, The Derp expects it will have the same consequences for those involved.

    Things are going to get very interesting very soon.

    As they say, “Watch this space”.]
    Slippergate Smells A Lot Like Utegate

  16. leone
    i did wonder who is paying for this junket…. lunch at ricardoes, i guess dinner at cassegrains…so it goes

  17. Are we edging towards a full on Judicial Inquiry in to the circumstances surrounding the Slipper Affair.

    Couldn’t possibly be a bad thing for the Government and would keep the Libs in Canberra and Queensland occupied for some time.

  21. al palster

    The Gallery will ignore the budget, they did last year and the year before. It requires reading stuff and even harder understanding stuff.

    Easier to go Beleaguered, Embattled Member for (insert nom de jour) is facing pressure to stand down, aside, up.

    Budget pffttt to many graphs and stuff. 🙁

  22. [Maybe a tearful expose on the LNP on national meeja while withdrawing his suit and apoligising to ‘man of honour’ Slipper could be the end game.]

    Before Tuesday would be a good idea, Gough; but when your plotters are dumber than Baldrick, anything can happen.

  23. Dan
    Went to your site for the first time. Bloody good. Especially the TV commercial – clever,funny and memorable.

  24. If you go to the Clean Energy Regulator Website you can see the companies initially paying the carbon price. All 250 of them.

  25. Lyne Lady

    I’ve always wondered who pays for Abbott’s iron man antics. His expenses claims show that the organisers paid his entry fees for the one he did just after he became loto, it was great advertising for them because it got huge media coverage. Since then there has been less and less interest in Abbott’s antics. I’d like to think he pays for his expenses from his own pocket but somehow I doubt that happens. He’d bludge off his local fan club.

  27. [I am sure the PM’s office doesn’t need the likes of me. They Have been switched on to the state of play for a while!]
    Hey, that’s what I really admire about you, and SK and confessions.
    And others too numerous to mention.
    You’re as quick off the mark as our PM.

    And you’re not being “women” about it
    but enjoying being women at the same time.
    You’re young, energetic thinkers.
    Quick to join the dots.
    And don’t suffer fools gladly.

    To people like lizzie, zoom, BH, janice2 who have fought the good fight
    and are still doing so
    you’re our reward.

    And, puff, haven’t forgotten you
    you’re the glue that sticks the generations together. 🙂

  28. I was trying to take one for the team and watch The Contrarians but it’s too sickening. Not one unbiassed voice against Labor.

    It’s not if there is a leadership change. This mob are saying that ‘when Rudd is PM again’ and Swannie could be on the backbench next week because of it.

  32. [It’s not if there is a leadership change. This mob are saying that ‘when Rudd is PM again’ and Swannie could be on the backbench next week because of it.]

    They’re really saying that? Amusing.

  34. [al palster
    Posted Friday, May 4, 2012 at 4:07 pm | Permalink
    Swannies Tuesday night budget will be swamped if commentary on this site turns true! Most seem to agree that Slipper will be the big story – and it will be shite for the LNP. Be interesting to see if the Gallery go after Tony. They may have no choice – even Michelle.]

    I am waiting to see one single report tonight on channels 7 9 10 and 2, I am not watching but waiting for someone to report. BTW Sandra Sully tweets all about ch 10 news so I tweeted back and asked is the Pyne/Ashby/Brough story on yes I watch No I don’t don’t think I will be watching

  35. This petrol price inquiry. Is the government using it to get some real reform in the Australian Fuel Market? Would success in stopping any collusion that may be occurring between companies be a warning to business not to try and claim costs they are incurring as part of the cost of a carbon price?

  36. Kezza 2, may I please second your accolades. Wonderful, strong people all. You too – great work with the Townsville court.

  37. Flipper Boy

    Why don’t you make your gravatar a link to your BISONs webpage?

    Because if you show that link again, I’m going to have to hurt you. 👿

  38. ABC Radio News informs me Tony Abbott thinks the ACCC inquiry into petrol price collusion will achieve nothing.

    Who cares what he thinks ABC. Lazy buggers.

  40. Oh for flips sake News unlimited.

    [Greens replace Brown with winemaker]

    Is crap. He is a respected economist, so go the low road as usual. How can we be rid of the pestilences?

  41. CNN Breaking
    Activist Chen Guangcheng “can apply” to study abroad, Chinese Foreign Ministry says, according to Xinhua.

  44. fiona reynolds

    Yes, and thanks.

    Women have so much to offer.
    PB is great proving ground, and I have left out so many.

    Lyne Lady, mari and so very many more.

    And your own contributions. As well as Apple Blossom.

    You’re all terrific. And it’s so good to see.

    It makes all the 60s/70s/80s/90s – and then the 2000s – fights worthwhile.
    To see all of you girls capable of expressing your own opinions without fear.

    And, you’ve still got so many of us backing you up

    I do not want us to turn back the clock because of a geriatric octogenarian.
    We’ve wiped the arsks of blokes like that.
    And we’ll wipe the floor with them again, anytime they want.

  46. Hi kezza 🙂

    Isn’t Mal Brough the genius who worked out the solution to all Indigenous problems?’
    Didn’t someone say, a couple of pages back, that he’s arrogant and thinks he knows better than anyone else?
    So sending in the soldiers was a roooolly bright thing to do?

  49. [Also a tassie uni lecturer ,as well as an eco and winemaker]

    Oh dear. Another chardonnay-sipping academic 😉

    I suppose he thinks he’s smarter than Fran and Chris and Barrie and Annabel ….

Comments Page 124 of 128
1 … 123 124 125 … 128

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *