Morgan has published its results from last weekend’s face-to-face polling, showing Labor and the Coalition both down half a point on the primary vote, to 36.5% and 45% respectively, with the Greens up two to 12.5%. The headline respondent-allocated preference figure is up from 54-46 to 55-45, but as always with Morgan this is heavily at odds with the 51.5-48.5 result using the industry standard measure of preferences as per the result of the last election. Also as always, it needs to be remembered that the primary vote figures in Morgan’s face-to-face polling are biased to Labor: at the four elections since 2001 Labor’s primary vote has been overstated by an average of 3.7% and Coalition’s understated by 3.6%, although it was less pronounced in 2010 (1.9% and 2.0%).
Morgan has also published phone poll results of state voting intention for New South Wales and Victoria from small samples (479 and 408 respectively), though not as small as some Morgan have passed off in the past. As with other polls, it shows the O’Farrell government holding its ground since the election on the primary vote, on which it leads 49% to 24.5% (51.2% to 25.6% at the election) with the Greens on 13% (10.3%). This time though, Morgan has produced a quirky respondent-allocated preference split which favours Labor: the LNP leads 58.5-41.5 on their published figure, but on 2011 election preferences it would be 64-46, just as it was at the election. Both New South Wales and Victorian results come with figures for leaders’ personal ratings, for what they are worth.
The Victorian figures have the Coalition at 45.5% against 44.8% at the election, Labor at 35.5% against 36.2% and the Greens at 12.5% against 11.2%. This pans out to 53-47 on Morgan’s published preferences figure, or 52-48 using the previous-election method. There was also the matter of Saturday’s Niddrie by-election, which was very easy to overlook because of events in Queensland and the no-show by the Liberals. Labor’s Ben Carroll polled 46.8% compared with Rob Hulls’ 45.7% at the election, with the remainder scattered very evenly among the other eight candidates. The VEC conducted a notional two-party count between Labor and the Greens which had the margin 20.7%, but the Greens actually finished third some distance behind independent Andrea Surace. Preferences were only distributed to the stage where Labor secured a majority, so no two-candidate preferred margin is available (UPDATE: Lenxyz in comments points out I wasn’t looking hard enough: a full preference count shows Carroll with 18371 to 8967 for Surace for a 2PP of 67-33).
hugh
so this is what the lismore diocese contributed $1 million to….. amazing!
Gaff
That one doesn’t reveal anything new though. It is however a handy summary of what’s gone on up until the pay tv revelations of last week.
Gee Whiz..
re overseas cattle or rather the welfare of animals throughout the world, education and assistance to locals is the way to go.
If you are interested in the area, I suggest you set up a regular donation to the WSPA (Australia).
Seriously.
http://www.wspa.org.au/
And if you want to see success, try the significant lowering of the threat of rabies in Bali, with annual human deaths reducing from 83 in 2010 to 26 in 2011.
http://www.wspa.org.au/latestnews/2012/Bali_decision_to_lower_rabies_alert_level_after_vaccination_success.aspx
http://www.domusaustralia.org/
Knew I should have taken-up on that vocation instead of becoming a scum-sucking lawyer.
Monsignior Smithe. Salvation, with one of those wide-brim black hats.
Sweet.
Regrettably the Catholic Church and I parted ways a very long time ago.
Yes, talk about counting one’s chickens!
I have no sympathy. Ruddock, Andrews and Howard all sowed the seeds for boat arrivals fear-mongering, forgetting that when boats stopped coming it would leave them high and dry and naked, so to speak.
They lost office before that could occur, and so it’s left to the current batch of Liberals to deal with the policy dissonance. So far Morrison doesn’t seem to be coping very well.
my say @ 1746
You surprise me.
Why are the poor old Lismore Catholics paying for this extravagance?
Haven’t they got better things to do with their dosh?
Surely there is somewhere else in Rome Pell can hang-up his pink pill-box hat when he comes-a-visiting?
Mr Abbott, not unexpectedly, injects a political note into tributes for the late Lionel Bowen.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-04-01/lionel-bowen-dies/3925758?WT.svl=news0
After the usual tribute, he adds “”I can certainly respect a Labor man who is true to his values.”
So Mr Abbott’s respect is limited to people on the opposite side of politics who “I” consider are “true to their values”.
If I get a house nanny, I want one of those French ones in the frilly maids dresses
Would it be rude to ask the naany to wear bunny ears?
nanny 😛
Truthie, you aint get no Nanny, let alone a French one.
So, this is what Mr Abbott has in mind for your taxes. He should be ashamed of himself.
http://photobucket.com/images/playboy%20bunny/
I would just be happy for the nanny to have a pulse 😛
Only if she’s a woman.
He can’t help himself, citizen.
Like a punch-drunk boxer.
Or a pissed Young Lib who has just spectacularly failed to score with the hot chick at the Dubbo B&S.
He just won’t let it go.
Just to make it clear, here’s the tenants with You Shit Me to Tears;
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=blO3EtP_D10
I haven’t kept up. Is GW still promoting cruelty to cattle? Or is he promoted Mr Abbott’s nannybunny policy?
Must say the new Australia-orientated Life-On-Earth type show, Australia: The Time Traveller’s Guide, is getting to be an excellent and enchanting series.
OK, so there’s maybe a tad too much slightly gratuitous whooshing, map co-ordinate twirling and beep-beep-beeping special visual and sound effects, but you can get used to that. We have, and are mostly immune to it now, at the end of the second episode.
Could be seen as one of the great ABC series. Quite absorbing and full of surprises of the “I didn’t know that!” and “I’ve been there (and didn’t see a thing)!” variety.
Extremely professional, beautifully (I mean beautifully) photographed and full of surprise and interest.
Next week kicks off at the Age Of Dinosaurs: all revolving around Australia.
A “Must see”, in my opinion.
First episode is on Iview.
Geewizz/ truffie/ Suzzyblake ? how can you call me a southerner ? when i live in qld ?? Get with the program , 44 cents from Govt. + 6 cents from Origin because i and my other solar friends stop them getting Blackouts at peak usage times.
This is my Nanny, thank you @TonyAbbottMHR
“Dinosaurs with an Aussie accent.” Love it!
That was like 3 days ago Bonkers.
I’m a North Queenslander which makes anyone south of the Tropic of Capricorn a southerner
BB
+1
I agree Australia: the time traveller’s guide is a great series. But the mobile phone ringtone incidental music drives me mad!
BB
Oh. I forgot the house rules.
me to.
Looks like the currently impoverished Spaniards are regarded as potential boat people by the Brazilians:
From 2 April 2012, Immigration Control Authorities of the Federal Police Department in Brazil will require Spanish tourists to comply with the following requirements for entry into Brazilian territory:
a) Valid passport.
b) A round trip Air ticket (ticket must contain the date of departure from Brazil).
c) Ensuring adequate means of support during the period of stay in Brazil. This amount should correspond to at least RS$ 170 (one hundred seventy real) daily.
d) Document proving the hotel reservation payment or;
e) If accommodating in a private residence, invitation letter extended to the foreigner by a resident in the Brazilian city of destination, reporting the length of stay of the Spanish tourist. The letter should necessarily be signed by the deponent and legalised by a notary (“cartório”) in Brazil.
It is also advisable that tourists hold health insurance, covering hospitalisation and / or repatriation, with validity in Brazil for any contingency.
http://www.singaporeair.com/jsp/cms/en_UK/press_release_news/120313-espbra.jsp
If it features Tom Rich, it will be with an American accent.
Well, the Spanish are the old enemy of the Portuguese. I wonder whether the Brazilians have the same rules for the Portuguese. That would be the real test.
You do realise that Brazillians speak portugese don’t you?
rosemour@1338 The PM gave a really good answer at her press conference earlier today and ridiculed Abbott’s record on Medicare. Only problem is that none of it was reported on the news tonight – it was all Abbott. Check out her website for transcripts and videos of all press conferences and you will find it.
GW
That’s torn it. We have had the same thought about something.
CrikeyWhitey – magnificent link, thanks
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pa58TdbRGJ4&feature=youtube_gdata_player
I think the Aussie Dinosaurs will feature slow-moving herbivores like Ruddock, Bishop, Truss and Andrews. The velociraptors will have a field day.
Vote 1 Dan Gulberry . It does make sense. Not like dumbo Wizzer , it was MLA Fault , another fail by Howard Govt. How old are you ? Does your mum know you are on her computer ? when she down the pokies at the RSL.
Interestingly back in the early 1900’s huge amounts of poor Japanese moved to Brazil where economic conditions and work oppurtunities were better.
Then in the 1980’s as economic conditions improved in Japan they started moving back, so now there are a large amount of Brazllian Japanese in Japan.
I couldn’t understand what my brother meant when I visited him and his wife in Japan and he said there were lots of Brazillians in Japan…. I never saw one!
Are they related, as a species, to gogomobiles?
Bemused most catholics think this, the ones that i know, u see thats the problem , for todays
People who think catholics still think like their parents, funny lot, u ser your catholic isim
Is in your heart in your soul and mind, we thi k for ourselves, but still love our faith as jesus christ
Taught this generation wised up long ago to man made decrees-, i would say becauce i can now think for my self my faith is stronger than ever, . So many things that where no coincidences, with the baby, onr big one for us was, 3 am in the morning there just happened to be z heart specialist
Who got the urge to visit a patient, and adk about the new baby just admitted with breathing difgiculties, and noticed his motley skin, heart problems he said, thed rest is history,
U may say so, i say , meant to be,
Now its defi atley back to my wool weaving
Rolando Villazón is a protege of Plácido Domingo and is very like him in style.
Anna Netrebko is the latest greatest.
Vespas.
my say @ 1386
John Shelby Spong is a very ‘liberal’ theologian by any standard. I thought you would find him a bit too liberal.
I have attended a few Catholic churches with my wife and to be honest there is not much difference between them and mainstream protestant Churches. Certainly the sermons I heard could have been heard in the Uniting Church or others.
These days, and it is a good thing, no-one seems to be at all concerned with anothers religion of lack of it. I wouldn’t have a clue what religion most of my friends are.
The only computer I have EVER seen that generated the high-frequency beeping or chirping sound that movies, TV shows and some “hot” documentaries use to illustrate the action of computers was one I personally programmed myself, an old Apple II.
Many, MANY years ago, when I was teaching myself machine language, I set myself the task of making slight changes to the Apple II “Monitor ROM” (what they would now call the “BIOS”) to see what effect it would have.
By making mistakes, and repeated changes, trial and error, I found out just how machine language worked, In the end I got pretty proficient at it, churning out software that pulled in revenue of around $40 million dollars over the years.
One of these little subroutines I used to educate myself right at the start was to insert a different tone for each character either typed or printed on the screen.
I got quite used to it. Not being a touch-typer, I actually found the audible feedback from the different tones comforting, reinforcing that I had typed the correct word. Each word had its own little tune that I got used to, over time (maybe I was onto something there?). So if the tune was wrong, I knew I had made a typo. That wasn’t the reason I wrote the little code module (I wrote it just to see what would happen), but it had a practical use in the end.
But I must stress that no, none, nada, zip, zero computers I have ever encountered in the past present or future have ever had a similar annoying chirping sound.
Having said that, I bet there’s a download site somewhere that provides exactly such a program, so that your own laptop of desktop can sound just like a real computer in the movies.
Why, oh why, do film makers insist on including these happy chirps every time you see a line of text, or a piece of graphics put up on a real, or imagined computer screen?
Wizzer
There are brazillians everywhere. It is apparently a very popular “hairstyle”.
http://www.domusaustralia.org/
As i said 🙂 🙂 the c of e hierachy have great diggs as well
We went to a Lefebre mass in Paris for old times sake. Talk about time travelling.
Well i just loved the old churches in rome and paris i think we went to them all , the history the art
The way it use to be, even though i am modern in my thinkinging, it felt beautiful .loved it.
When u look up at the ceilings and see what craftmen ship went in to these places amazing.
The windows, the sun shinning through just in the right spot, sent tingles .
Truffie , some people have to work to pay your dole payments . North qld , you must live in Townsville ? Redneck central , with lots of men in uniforms ? like men/ manny in uniforms .
my say @ 1394
If you are ever down that way, check out the Catholic Church in Bairnsdale Vic. An Italian who had trained as an artist painted it.
Whoa… 1395
Quite frankly, I thought: “You’ve seen one Sistine Chapel, you’ve seen ’em all”. Got giddy from looking up all the time, and got sick of the attendant yelling “Silenco! Silencio!” every two minutes.
Same for a Picasso & Braque exhibition I saw in NY at the MOMA: After the first three hundred Still Life With Violin and Wickerwork all I could do was look for a place to fall asleep.
Now, the ancient Carthaginian battlefield of Lago Trasimeno… that got my blood going.
I’m not a worshipper meself but I found it was wonderful in South America to see the people use their (RC) churches. Each family, it would seem, had its favourite saint and its attendant chapel. It was obvious that it wasn’t just a sense of duty that made them come to the church; they loved it. It was never the “going to church” we have here.