GhostWhoVotes relates the final Nielsen poll for the year has landed well above the market average for the Coalition, whose two-party lead has gone from 55-45 in the previous month’s poll to 57-43. This has come off the back of a four-point gain on the primary vote to 49 per cent, with Labor down one to 29 per cent and the Greens down three to 11 per cent. Julia Gillard is on 35 per cent approval and 58 per cent disapproval, which are down four and up one on last time, but nonetheless similar to Newspoll’s 36 per cent and 56 per cent. Tony Abbott is steady on approval at 41 per cent and down one on disapproval to 53 per cent, which is far more favourable than Newspoll’s 33 per cent and 57 per cent. Whereas Newspoll has shown Julia Gillard opening a solid lead over Tony Abbott as preferred prime minister, Nielsen finds the 45-45 draw in the last poll turning into a 46-42 lead for Abbott. Support for gay marriage is down five points on last month’s poll to 57 per cent. Uranium sales to India has 32 per cent support and 57 per cent opposition.
UPDATE: Essential Research has the Coalition lead nudging up from 54-46 to 55-45, the result of a one point gain on the primary vote to 48 per cent with Labor and the Greens steady on 34 per cent and 10 per cent. On the monthly personal ratings, Tony Abbott has scored what is comfortably his worst ever result from Essential, with his approval down four to a new low of 32 per cent, disapproval upon to a new high of 53 per cent. Julia Gillard has dropped three points on approval to 34 per cent with disapproval steady on 54 per cent, and her lead as preferred prime minister has narrowed slightly from 41-36 to 39-35. Respondents were also asked for which industries, parties and leaders it had been a good or bad year; which government decisions have been most important for Australia’s future; which media are most trusted; and whether the Press Council is doing a good job of regulating the press. Read all about it here.
You can also view full tables from the Nielsen poll here, complete with state breakdowns and such. These show the Coalition’s two-party vote in New South Wales four points higher than last month’s polls, but little change in Victoria.
Gus:
But Abbott’s majority in the partyroom likely to be bigger than it was 2 yrs ago
Thurlbeck is en vivo. ? Some sort of hippie?
fess
Abbott is on the record (before this reshuffle) as saying reshuffles are a bad thing. He said those promoted consider it their birthright, those moved sideways are pissed off and those dumped are feral.
fess
why?
[PNG update:
PNG Supreme Court said PM Peter O’Neill illegal, reinstated Somare
O’Neill goes into Parliament and is endorsed as PM 69-0
O’Neill blocked by police trying to go to Government House
Machine gun fire reported at Government House]
One wonders whether they would have been better off as an Australian State than an Independent nation…
Good to see you back Bemused.
Was it dark in there? 🙂
Carine is there. My beating heart!
gus
[ Today has brought the inevitable Shorten v Combet death-match just that little bit closer.
who would u prefer?]
I think Combet is a star and could make a great PM, way better than any since Hawke-Keating.
[It means that Abbott’s policy inflexibility and being petrified about offending the delicate balance of egos in his Party, means he’s a slow moving target for both Gillard Labor and the disaffecteds in his own Party.]
Yes. Let’s see how this plays out.
CTar1,
Not a disembodied voice.
@TLM/1400,
Who cares, as long as it’s not Coalition!
You’re part of the problem of trying to suggest anything !
Did Thurlbeck just say “I’m not gonna tell ya”?
Gus:
1. He’s got a whole clutch of Qld elected MPs onside. 2. It’s two years on, and sentiment changes.
THIS is Jay QC.
Evan/Thornleigh:
Rudd put Arbib into the ministry.
Was he wrong?
Rox @ 1406
Yes, I was cast into the outer darkness. 😀
Are you new here?
And let’s face it, if Joe Ludwig’s father wasn’t Bill Ludwig, he wouldn’t be a minister in a Labor Government.
[I think Combet is a star and could make a great PM, way better than any since Hawke-Keating.]
Diogs, I’m not prepared to go that far yet, but I think he definitely has the potential
Thurlbeck is an eel.
Neville needed to equip himself with ‘devices’ for an amount to negotiated …
diogs,
Combet is a lot older than Shorten so the likelihood of a battle between the two is remote.
bemused
just think 14 more of those and u and i could compare notes
👿
Good night, Bludgers.
Ha ha ha love this
[ScottMorrisonMP Scott Morrison
Rumour is it that the swearing in for the new ministry will be at the Golden century in Sussex street #auspol
57 minutes ago ]
Thefinnigans TheFinnigans天地有道人无道
@
@ScottMorrisonMP At least they will know what to order at the Golden Century. You guys only know sweet & sour pork and fried lice #auspol
gg
it has potential to be a future hawke keating type matchup
[I’m not prepared to go that far yet, but I think he definitely has the potential]
george, I agree. I much prefer Combet over Shorten for the long term future of Labor.
I’d pick Combet over Shorten – Combet is unassuming and modest but he gets the job done, Shorten is too full of his own self-importance.
Bemused,
Did Bilbo give you three squares, or were you on bread and water? Damned cruel letting you read but not post. I bet he put the keyboard just out of your reach! 👿
[Thornleigh Labor Man
Posted Monday, December 12, 2011 at 11:12 pm | Permalink
And let’s face it, if Joe Ludwig’s father wasn’t Bill Ludwig, he wouldn’t be a minister in a Labor Government.
]
Alexander Downer Snr & Jnr.
Next…….
Re Combet vs Shorten.
Combet is an Engineer, Shorten is a lawyer.
Enough said. Parliament is infested with lawyers and a bit more occupational diversity would be good.
[The Finnigans
Posted Monday, December 12, 2011 at 11:16 pm | Permalink
Ha ha ha love this
ScottMorrisonMP Scott Morrison
Rumour is it that the swearing in for the new ministry will be at the Golden century in Sussex street #auspol
57 minutes ago
Thefinnigans TheFinnigans天地有道人无道
@
@ScottMorrisonMP At least they will know what to order at the Golden Century. You guys only know sweet & sour pork and fried lice #auspol
]
Do you mean the same Sussex St 2GB once occupied studios in the 70’s and 80’s ? 🙂
Neville is a slug,
Combet is a bleeding heart but has a soul.
Shorten is the kind of bloke who’d divorce his wife to get a better job.
Hence even though Shorten is a right winger and Comber is a left winger. I’d go for Combet.
1405
An interesting question. They should at least have been offered that option. They would have quite a few seats in the HoR (almost the same as NSW by now) and that would have added an interesting dynamic.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_population
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_South_Wales
It would also mean less seats for the mainland states because PNG has more than an equal share of our combined populations.
ModLib:
I’m with you now. Style over substance. Words over actions. Better to do a bad job with panache than a good job dully. Good stuff.
PTMD @ 1428
I am a recalcitrant. He wanted me to beg for mercy but I withstood all he could do to me.
It seems he has an aversion to a particular play on words but I could elicit no further information from him.
“What does not destroy me makes me strong.” F. Nietzsche
1433
“Bleeding harts” and “souls” are not uncommonly found in the same people.
I agree with My Say who is one of the most intelligent and perceptive members of the Poll Bludger Forum without doubt.
Night all and sweet dreams of Arbib and NSW Labor (there is a sharp trend).
[I agree with My Say who is one of the most intelligent and perceptive members of the Poll Bludger Forum without doubt.]
Actually I vote for Diogs!
glen
u mean u vote for dogs
Gus very droll…
dio
dogs being the fibs , not you
🙂
Mr Thurlbeck is being very surreptitiously brought undone.
[I agree with My Say who is one of the most intelligent and perceptive members of the Poll Bludger Forum without doubt.]
I vote for the truth hurts….. he was the Prophet of boats and how right he was.
Aguirre:
It warms my heart to know its people like you and George making the decisions for the ALP these days. As mumble says:
[How things might have been if Lindsay Tanner or Gillard had been Treasurer instead.]
and if Lyndsay Tanner and Rudd had told Gillard and Swan to get stuffed when she argued with Swan for shelving the CPRS…
The email was “for Neville”, this questioning should be labelled as the “not for Neville”.
Thurlbeck is done. Two ‘zapped’ and trussed/sorted for later use. I’m ready to see the lawyers squirm. Leveson is twitchy and aggro today.
Can we subcontract Leveson to do a similar inquiry here? Or could the Limeys just expand this one to take in the Antipodes and we will ship our witnesses over?
Puff just be thankful we don’t have the same situation as in Italy or Russia. Yes it aint perfect but gees!
In Russia the only way the Opposition Leaders can get on TV is if they’re being arrested lol!