This week’s Essential Research poll has the Coalition’s two-party lead narrowing slightly from 54-46 to 53-47, although the primary votes are little changed: the Coalition is down one to 46 per cent, while Labor and the Greens are steady on 34 per cent and 12 per cent. As Bernard Keane reports, voters were also asked who was to blame for rising cost of living, which produced results dramatically polarised by voting intention, with Liberal supporters blaming the government. There are also questions on which party is most trusted to handle various issues, which finds Labor going further backwards on economic management but the results otherwise showing little change since January. Thirty-nine per cent of respondents say the minority government arrangement has been bad for the country against 28 per cent good, with Liberal supporters predictably being most negative. I should have the full report up within the hour.
UPDATE: Full report here.
Otiose
Same old, same old!
‘govt lost moral compass’
The man is like a cracked record!
live exports – ‘not going to get into detail’ says he has no expertise in the area therefore won’t comment
thank dawkins – phone line dropped out
slynews bimbettes ‘no NEW details from tony’
Abbott, live exports. A plan is forming in my mind.
[slynews bimbettes ‘no NEW details from tony’]
Otiose
So the blonde agrees with “same old, same old”?
bk yes
bk – yes in the sense that they would NEVER malign ta, just that they could glean no new gossip lines
Rabbott is a lying hypocrit, but in all honesty the media are the villians in the ASer issue.
Without a compliant media, Howard, Rabbott & Morrison would not have been enabled to demonise refugees.
They not only gave them a voice but participated in negatively reporting on refugees.
ta isn’t a ‘tech head’. he’s ‘not interested in economics’ and just now admitted to ‘having NO expertise’ re live exports – pray tell wtf exactly is he supposed to be good at? is batphone sufficient?
Pbers, is the government currently running any incentives/programs for households installing solar?
so no qt today
It wasn’t that long ago Tone was boasting that his party were tough on AS while Labor was weak, which resonated out there in voterland and gave Tone an advantage. Now he wants to portray his party as being weaker to gain an advantage.
my say
no qt – back next week
George,
Governments at all levels are trying to scale back incentives for household solar due to the demands being higher than predicted.
Feed in tariffs are being dropped to lower levels by state governments and the Federal government is reducing the number of Renewable Energy Certificates received.
On the plus side, due to manufacturing scaling up and the strong dollar, prices are quite reasonable.
george@63
RECS, with a multiplier (was 5x, 3x now, dropping every year) on the first 1.5kW, usually applied in the form of an up front discount.
State dependant premium feed-in tariff.
[Gary
It wasn’t that long ago Tone was boasting that his party were tough on AS while Labor was weak, which resonated out there in voterland and gave Tone an advantage. Now he wants to portray his party as being weaker to gain an advantage]
That is why Abbott is a weathervane
[I love it when claims of “elitism” are levelled at left-leaning but poor members of the community by millionaires like Alan Jones and John Laws.
One wonders what their listeners would make of an expose of their houses, cars and wine collections, especially when stacked up against the lifestyle of an “elite” like me.]
The stereotype put forward by the right-wingers that left-wing people are all “out of touch” is the one that annoys me the most. I don’t mind being called an intellectual or a latte sipper, but out of touch is a step too far.
Why can you only have a “real world” opinion if you have a house, car and kids you can’t afford? Why do you need to suffer from mortgage stress to get any credibility with the MSM?
[SpudBenBean Denise Cook
Did I hear right? ABC news just reported ALP Govt backbenchers going to Abbott to express unhappiness with #malaysiasolution #pigsflying
5 minutes ago Favorite Retweet Reply]
And does anyone challenge him on it?
Dee,
Photos, or it never happened!
They have been trying everything to force a change in the numbers.
First they leak potentially damaging claims against Oakeshott(and anyone else who is in a BOP position) in the hope that he will pack it all in.
Then they tried the “this parliament is an unworkable shambles!”, which doesn’t stack up against all the legislation that is being passed and proof that the numbers supporting the government are static and any cross-benchers are not going anywhere.
Then they start shrieking “no mandate! new election needed!” but even they know it isn’t happening any time soon so they have lit upon another strategy:
Pressure the Labor Party into changing leaders again. Make a few people so wobbly that they actually DO start talking about whether Gillard is the right leader for the party. The problem with this strategy is that Labor knows exactly the sort of damage that did to the legitimacy of Gillard’s leadership and it would be even worse for the new person were they to do it again – never mind the damage it did to the Labor brand more generally. In short, it ain’t happening.
Close, as they say, but no cigar.
On ABC Sydney radio this afternoon James Valentine had two year nine students debate climate change. Marcus is a student at Fort Street Boys High and the girl Theodora attends Sydney Girls High School.
His idea came from his belief that no one is learning anything from politicians of all persuasions screaming at each other and stupid put downs.
You will be amazed with this performance which was played earlier and just posted now on the ABC site. Remember they are Year Nine and had one day of notice it was pre-recorded:
http://blogs.abc.net.au/nsw/2011/06/carbon-taxa-proper-debate.html?site=sydney&program=702_afternoons
Take the time it is worth it!
“played” should have been “taped”
[Danny Lewis
Posted Monday, June 6, 2011 at 3:19 pm | Permalink
They have been trying everything to force a change in the numbers.
First they leak potentially damaging claims against Oakeshott(and anyone else who is in a BOP position) in the hope that he will pack it all in.
Then they tried the “this parliament is an unworkable shambles!”, which doesn’t stack up against all the legislation that is being passed and proof that the numbers supporting the government are static and any cross-benchers are not going ]
when will it ever stop when
[Pressure the Labor Party into changing leaders again. ]
That’s exactly what the media and the coalition are trying to do. Spook the backbenchers and the faction leaders into thinking a leadership change will change the party’s fortunes. I just hope they know that if they change leaders now things will get worse, not better.
The media and the opposition have thrown everything at Gillard and she is still standing and still pressing on with the govt’s agenda. That should speak volumes to people about strength and commitment.
Back from a day with a group of women with not one mention of asylum seekers but plenty about carbon tax. Most (6/8) in favour if compensation is OK and their grandkids protected for the future.
[I wouldn’t let the coalition look after a chook raffle. The coalition party’s coffers are very light on (don’t know why this has not been made a bigger issue in the press) which doesn’t exactly inspire confidence.]
SK – you may have a point. Abbott needs an election quickly before his numbers go further south with the sorting of the CC issue, AS and NBN.
BH some one posted about numbers going south it must of been on the other thread
where i read it as just came home.
what numbers going south
[Oscar
Posted Monday, June 6, 2011 at 1:39 pm | Permalink
So we have the opposition ramping up the hysteria, and their numbers simultaneously going south.]
ah i have found it . What numbers i read the ess. report and cannot see where it is
my say
LNP primary going from 47% to 46% in Essential Poll (everyone else the same)
Thanks BigBob/ShiftyPhil
mtbw
Thanks for linking the audio of that debate. These students make more sense than or politicians!
Confessions at 77
I agree with you. The fact that Gillard still is ahead of Abbott as preferred PM says volumes about her and him.
I believe she will get stronger as time goes on and that the 2PP will narrow as we get closer to the election, assuming some crucial things remain the same – eg Abbott leader and relative stability.
The ALP would be absolutely mad to consider a change of leader before the next election. I believe Gillard is going very well and it would be foolish to burn another leader and expose either Combet or Shorten to oblivion as well.
Having said that, I was surprised by Tingle’s comments about 2 weeks ago to the effect that Gillard’s leadership was a source of concern inside the ALP.
o well if it goes down a point a week i am happy,
but see what i mean about polls, we had Morgan 20 points or something then we had his other one4 points or somthing then we had news ltd similar 4 point or something
god this is tiresome
i am waiting for the name labor to be in front, please let it happen soon end of jUly may be after compensation is announced
[Gillard’s leadership was a source of concern inside the ALP.]
may be it was just one OLD lefty
I think that the next “trick” will be to try and find an excuse to move a full no confidence motion. The aim will be to put pressure on the independents and show them up as supporting the government.
They have to find some reason(s) though and I think that what they are searching for; supported no doubt by the “friendly” media.
1st item on ABC local news at 3pm “the Federal Opposition leader, Tony Abbott, says Labor backbenchers are talking to him …..” Urgghh!
Wilkie on next and said labor had lost a bit of moral compass on the AS issue but it was not a vote changer for him – he is still on their side.
Tone will be more desperate tomorrow. Perhaps it will be the GG telling him that he should be in Govt. 😉
One thing this 53-47 result does is make that 58-42 from Morgan seem as dodgy as some PB’s were suggesting.
From today’s Crikey:
[The 7.30 viewers who left with Kerry. No wonder there are mutterings of dissent at the ABC’s 7.30 program and in other parts of Aunty’s news and current affairs fortress. The program’s ratings have sunk more than 18% since the new format started in March, and are down 11% from the same period last year.
Looking at a comparison of ratings from when the new program started on March 7 until last Friday night, compared with the same period of 2010, 7.30 has lost 84,000 viewers a night. The new format is averaging 660,000 Monday to Friday (which has been declining in the past month as well), against 744,000 for the same 14-week period in 2010. In its first week in March, 7.30 averaged 695,000 viewers. Last week it averaged 566,000?—?a fall of 129,000, or 18.5%.
There are a couple of provisos: this year there are three extra digital channels (Eleven, GEM and 7Mate) which may have stolen some viewers, but 84,000 a night? The fall isn’t exclusive to 7.30?—?all news and current affairs programs have lost viewers this year because of the extra digital channels which are among the more popular. And there is another factor: the loss of Kerry O’Brien, who “retired” to be host of Four Corners. O’Brien was an ABC institution and following people like that in TV is fraught with dangers. So it is with Leigh Sales and Chris Uhlmann.]
Sounds like 730 may never get those viewers back.
BH
What are the Labor backbenchers talking to Abbott about?
[Tony Abbott, says Labor backbenchers are talking to him]
He’s starting to hear voices in his head? 😀
[Tony Abbott, says Labor backbenchers are talking to him
He’s starting to hear voices in his head?]
And Greg Combet at his presser just said “well, I speak to Liberal Party front benchers”
😆
How has 4 Corners been doing in the ratings, though? Have they increased since Red Kerry came over or are they the same – or less?
george
Touche’
[He’s starting to hear voices in his head?]
Think Big
That would be a great line to tag on to the end of the “crazed” used by Combet in parliament the other day.
Posted this at the end of the last thread but dont know if it got much of a look. Reckon this might be the next thing Combet pounces on. http://t.co/ZX1tHal
[Tony Abbott, says Labor backbenchers are talking to him]
Actually, this meme started last week, with that tweet about “a couple of Labor backbenchers” at some parliamentary function who were said to be mouthing off about Gillard.
Makes you wonder whether it all related to the same “reported” incident (ie it may or may not have even happened) and they are trying desperately to keep it alive as an issue by inflating its currency.
[What are the Labor backbenchers talking to Abbott about?]
Labor back bencher to Abbott: “are you going to finish your chips?”
Abbott to Labor back bencher: “no, I’ve had enough, go ahead and eat the rest”
Abbott to media: “Labor backbenchers are talking to me about a range of issues”
parity bit
The video has been floating around for a few days now. It was referred to by Jason Clare in Parliament responding to Abbott’s suspension of standing orders. The media has stayed away from it as far as I can tell