This week’s Essential Research poll has the Coalition’s two-party lead narrowing slightly from 54-46 to 53-47, although the primary votes are little changed: the Coalition is down one to 46 per cent, while Labor and the Greens are steady on 34 per cent and 12 per cent. As Bernard Keane reports, voters were also asked who was to blame for rising cost of living, which produced results dramatically polarised by voting intention, with Liberal supporters blaming the government. There are also questions on which party is most trusted to handle various issues, which finds Labor going further backwards on economic management but the results otherwise showing little change since January. Thirty-nine per cent of respondents say the minority government arrangement has been bad for the country against 28 per cent good, with Liberal supporters predictably being most negative. I should have the full report up within the hour.
UPDATE: Full report here.
Was listening to ABC radio on the way home.
And boyo, didn’t Stephen Long expose some myths about the miners & what they actually pay in tax after write downs, losses, expenses, incentives & subsidies.
Pleasing decision from the High Court. The midwife tried to avoid scrutiny of the death of a home birth delivery by arguing the coroner couldn’t investigate as the baby was never alive and therefore never a person.
She lost.
[THE High Court has cleared the way for a full coronial inquest into a fatal home birth that renewed debate about when life begins.
The court, sitting in Melbourne, today refused midwife Lisa Barrett’s application for special leave.
Ms Barrett wanted the High Court to overturn Deputy State Coroner Anthony Schapel’s decision to hold an inquest into the July 2007 death of Tate Spencer-Koch.]
http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/south-australia/high-court-clears-inquest-into-fatal-home-birth/story-e6frea83-1226073177389
sorry vera but that a worthless vote.
so stop complaining you should of voted for tone at least your vote would of counted.
well thats all on this matter,
[why do you have to come here stir things up]
This coming from a person that calls others names because they have a different opinion. Sheesh.
Who needs the IMF?
Johann Hari: It’s not just Dominique Strauss-Kahn. The IMF itself should be on trial
Imagine a prominent figure was charged, not with raping a hotel maid, but with starving her, and her family, to death
http://www.independent.co.uk/opinion/commentators/johann-hari/johann-hari-its-not-just-dominique-strausskahn-the-imf-itself-should-be-on-trial-2292270.html
Misfit
[Got a tin of Nescafe (I know, bogan) for $10 on special]
My son phoned me this morning to tell me he got one too! He was very pleased with himself.
Sorry my say I didn’t mean to provide your quote. I was referring to MTBW actually who said –
[Why are you so afraid of a different opinion?]
I think we should refrain from commenting on the DSK Affair until the trial is completed.
Thank you,
Darren
More good news for the government.
[Australia’s leading paediatricians and child psychiatrists say they are disappointed the Federal Government has failed in its promise to end the mandatory detention of more than 1,000 children seeking asylum.
Dr Gervase Chaney from the Royal Australasian College of Physicians says the organisation wants an immediate end to the practice.
He says prolonged detention has the potential to cause long-term damage, especially in children who have experienced torture or trauma.]
http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2011/06/10/3241323.htm
Thanks Vera,
So how would your preference vote played out?
Dee, I’ve been listening to Stephen Long’s analysis for many years now – he is quite brilliant.
[ can remember not that long ago that to say anything against senator Faulkner would be sacrilege. Now when he is speaking not in tune with the factions he is getting dissed.
Seems he must be on the money]
Joe i happen to admire the senator very much i have spoken to him on the phone, yes true i have, on a couple of occasions, Also he sent me a copy of his last speech if i could find it amongst my files i would put it here he told me i could.
WHAT WE DONT WANT IS the discussion about kevin, of course its coming up to the ann. and if the people here want to drag it up that their problem, you would think after a year and Kevin be deliriously happy they would drop it.
hi, maybe the first thing the alp needs to tackle is the bias from news limited,then the average punter will be more likely to embrace a less reactionary agenda .(easy to say )
My stones Mrs Jones, this is like an attack by Menzies House yet they claim to be Labor supporters.
I notice that Mr Rummel has not graced this blog following a sincere invitation to discuss ocean acidification. Strange, before that he was extremely motivated to discuss all sorts of aspects of AGW.
And here is J6P. I guess he must have resolved his concerns about the non-market based nature of Mr Abbott’s costly and inefficient Direct Action Plan, because J6P is now has time to focus on responses to Mr Faulkner.
Mining tax details
http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2011/06/10/3241234.htm?section=justin
vera:
Hope you are doing well. Cows seem to be all the rage these days! 😀 (you might have to scroll along the photos)
http://www.abc.net.au/news/photos/2011/06/10/3241144.htm
[Why are you so afraid of a different opinion?]
That is classic projection I’m afraid, TwoBob. Please look in the mirror.
I am certainly not afraid of your opinion. I will just challenge it when I don’t agree, especially if it is designed to damage Gillard Labor and boost Abbott’s chances of moving into the Lodge.
Mr Rudd is happy in is current position, please leave him alone.
Gary
You must pay attention!
[More good news for the government.]
Their ABC is forbidden from providing any “good” news for this government it would seem.
HSO
Welcome back.
I got it right in the end MTBW. People in glass houses ….
i think your new here my two bobs worth, we have had to put up with this for nearly 12 months it s not new, its just dam well boring. boring boring.
it solves nothing cannot change any thing its history get over it. go and join the labor party and be members if you dont like what you see change them from with in, thats what convition people do
they say if you cannot beat them join them now is your chance ring your branch tomorrow and say your joining because you want Kevin back.
5056 Mytwobobsworth
Posted Friday, June 10, 2011 at 6:28 pm | Permalink
[Got a tin of Nescafe (I know, bogan) for $10 on special
My son phoned me this morning to tell me he got one too! He was very pleased with himself.]
I should have bought two! Since I was going to spend $23 on one anyway. Will have to go back in the morning. Does your son live in Victoria?
Harry “Snapper” Organs
well played – after considering Warringah for a nano-second, i ran away 🙂
Darren
[That is classic projection I’m afraid, TwoBob. Please look in the mirror.]
Geez Darren and here I was thinking it was a comment.
George did Stephen Long ever work for the ABC or did he just speak on the the am and pm programe
5063 mtjt
Posted Friday, June 10, 2011 at 6:30 pm | Permalink
[hi, maybe the first thing the alp needs to tackle is the bias from news limited,then the average punter will be more likely to embrace a less reactionary agenda .(easy to say )]
Spot on, mtjt. All this navel-gazing has to be considered against the backdrop of the invidious Murdoch press.
So Rattner is not real, but a faked identity.
Bizarre.
Misfit
No he is in Sydney and he did tell me to go and buy one at Coles is that right?
Diogenes @5059,
May I suggest that it is important to realise the government is working with welfare organizations to place the children.
Instead of blandly suggesting that all the children be released perhaps it should be considered where are the children going to be placed ? Just open the gates, put a ad in the paper and say “come and get one !”
Checks have to be made, stable homes found for them etc etc. You cannot just hand them out.
The liberals did nothing ay least labor is trying.
Place the children anywhere just so the figures are good ? I think not.
george @ 5061
[i]I’ve been listening to Stephen Long’s analysis for many years now – he is quite brilliant.[/i]
I find him a little too pessimistic. He always seems to be “short” on the markets.
charlton @ 4597
[Can I take it, then, without shadow of doubt or hint of equivocation, you’re not in Jones’ camp (no pun intended)?]
I think I can safely say that I am not a fan of Alan Jones.
I remember distinctly contemporaries of mine who were at The Kings School in the 1970’s during Jones’ tarnished tenure commenting on this idiot who was their Englsih teacher, and how they all thought he was, to use the slang of that period, “a bit suss!”
I used to play cricket on weekends and catch the Harris Park bus up Pennant Hills Road with these Kings guys on my way to school, and even then they were universal in their judgement that this teacher, Alan Jones, was a nutcase, and a scandal waiting to happen, which subsequently did explode in the hapless Jones’ face, and forced his hasty departure from The Kings School’s august portals before too many questions were asked by too many parents.
When he then bobbed up on my horizon in the 1980’s as the coach of first Manly Rugby Club, then the Australian Rugby team, I at first didn’t associate him with the disgraced Kings School teacher I had heard about previously until I was informed by these same ex-students of Kings, and I was not predisposed to like him for that reason. His subsequent disastrous effect on Australian Rugby, after an initial period of success, was not guaranteed to convert me to a Jones supporter, especially as he precipitated the early retirement of perhaps the greatest Rugby player who ever laced on a boot in this country, Mark Ella, a player who I had coincidentally played against in the 1970’s as a schoolboy when his team, Matraville High School, had shellacked my school team, and I had subsequently admired Ella immensely throughout his truncated career.
When Jones was sacked as Australian Rugby Coach in 1988 I was overjoyed to see the back of him, but his subsequent abortive stint as a Rugby league coach kept him on my radar, and when Jones finally found is coprophagous niche on a soiled perch in talkback radio, my contempt for him was complete, and I have seen nothing in the intervening 20 sorry years to change my original opinion made way back in 1972 – this man is a solid gold arsehole.
Boerwar
[And here is J6P. I guess he must have resolved his concerns about the non-market based nature of Mr Abbott’s costly and inefficient Direct Action Plan, because J6P is now has time to focus on responses to Mr Faulkner.]
Why have I upset you so much?
My Say, he was often interviewed on Lateline when Tony Jones was at the desk – I don’t know more recently
[ScottMorrisonMP | 1 minute ago
another riot, another policy failure RT @australian Detainees armed with makeshift weapons attack guards http://bit.ly/mxweo1 #fb #auspol]
I saw footage on the news of Morrison being interviewed about the rioting AS. He was smiling and clearly enjoying himself. I am of the view that Morrison takes great delight in playing these divisive and repulsive politics.
The Market is happy. The Gillard Govt must have done something right for a change.
[He says mining companies will already be pouring over the draft bill to make sure there are no devils in the detail for them.
“You would expect the companies to be going over this immediately just to ensure that everything is in line with what was agreed, and certainly it would be politically difficult for the Prime Minister and Government to try and negotiate something that was not in the original agreement,” he added.
BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto have already released statements stating only that they will continue working with the Federal Government on the implementation of the MRRT in accordance with a heads of agreement signed last year.
The release of the legislation had no noticeable impact on resource sector shares, which were generally higher on positive economic news from the US last night: BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto closed 0.5 per cent higher, Fortescue 0.5 per cent lower, Atlas Iron 1.7 per cent higher, Macarthur Coal up 2.4 per cent and Whitehaven Coal rose 2.8 per cent.]
my say
[i think your new here my two bobs worth, we have had to put up with this for nearly 12 months it s not new, its just dam well boring. boring boring.]
No I think I have been here since 2005-2006 back in the day when we used to contribute to William’s bandwidth.
What is boring to some can be fascinating to others it’s all just a matter of perspective I suppose.
There is nothing to fear but fear itself!
I cannot understand some our our conservative blogger friends here quoting current opinion poll numbers and finishing up with the breath-taking conclusion that “Labor will be in opposition for another decade” or wtte.
Was it not so long ago that the constant refrain from JWH – gone and not lamented – regularly whinge about the fact at meetings of Premiers there was not one Coalition state government?
For some of us with longer memories in the West, we can remember old Charlie Court talking about the death of the Labor party at a time the conservatives not only held power Federally but in all the states.
Just as those on the progressive side of politics recognised there is a ragbag group of people supporting the conservatives ranging from rural socialists to the Big End of town – and that this crew can usually count on 48% of the electorate for support – there is, more often than not, over 50% of the electorate who do not. At the end of the day, the progressive side of politics truly represents middle Australia.
There is such a thing as electoral cycles which our conservative friends conveniently overlook. For instance, after umpteen years in office in NSW, the Labor government had run out of puff and ideas. If Donald Duck has stood for a Liberal seat, in some areas, he would have won. We shall probably see a lot of these Donald Ducks disappear at the next state election in NSW.
In WA for instance, Labor only needs some solid leadership and it is within 2-3 seats of gaining power from CB. It is easy for some to see the 15/3 split of conservative to Labor Federally as some kind of gutting of the party but, even at the last election, with an ounce of luck, at least two more seats could have come to Labor. If that had been the case we would have heard zilch about “minority government” for the ever complaining conservatives.
Charlton, this not new they do it from time to time.
o dear , i think it s not good for ones health to be alwasy wishing for something you cannot have, re Kevin, the mans as happy as a too bob watch, and happy as a
you know down on the farm. ect ect. his goal is the UN may be and good on him, what is it 5 more years and i bet he goes for for it he will make us proud;
in the meantime Julia sales on to the next election.
and wins.
another subject.
am still wondering how long before MT makes a move, becauce the productivity commission has really made the libs look rather foolish and their CC policy
Diogenes
Your post (in answer Darn)
[Ream ‘em and weep.
Fed Labor pollytrend 32.9%
Most recent state polls
Qld LNP 22% ahead
Tasmania Liberal 48, Labor 25, Greens 22
SA Libs 20% ahead
WA Libs 14% ahead
NSW Libs 40% ahead
Victoria Libs 14% ahead]
Thomas Paine
[People obviously don’t think Labor stands for anything.]
These polls don’t really say anything at the moment (and you know it) because Labor has been in power for so long in each of the states that of course there’s been a pendulum swing.
It’s dishonest to say otherwise – or else, come up with where the LNP were sitting months after a Labor win (long time ago, I know).
In line with ‘The Australian’s’ penchant for establishing watches, I introduce the Bludger Watch List.
Jeremiah Watch. The sky is still there. Tick.
Messiah of Employment Doom Watch: unemployment is still below 5%. Tick.
End of the World Watch: Interest rate steady. Tick.
Woe is Us Watch: Inflation rate within Reserve Bank’s band. Tick.
[Instead of blandly suggesting that all the children be released perhaps it should be considered where are the children going to be placed ? Just open the gates, put a ad in the paper and say “come and get one !” ]
Exactly, Doyley.
People never think through policy properly nor its implications. In a perfect world we would have no children in immigration detention — but in a perfect world we also would not have displaced persons and persons arriving irregularly risking the lives of their children.
It’s easy to criticise, but unless you propose your own improved solution, you should shut up or join the Abbott Coalition and be done with it.
Mark Tomasz, please refrain from offering real analysis to our conservative friends on this blog. It’s like pi$$ing in the wind 😉
j6p
I didn’t particularly appreciate your real world.
The Big Ship @ 5083
A great read! My Mum lives in Elaroo Avenue at Phillip Bay – the street was named for the Ellas.
thanks misfit,we would achieve a great deal more by seeing things from outside the prism of ruperts distortions
[5093
Darren Laver
Posted Friday, June 10, 2011 at 6:46 pm | Permalink
Instead of blandly suggesting that all the children be released perhaps it should be considered where are the children going to be placed ? Just open the gates, put a ad in the paper and say “come and get one !”
Exactly, Doyley.
People never think through policy properly nor its implications. In a perfect world we would have no children in immigration detention — but in a perfect world we also would not have displaced persons and persons arriving irregularly risking the lives of their children.
It’s easy to criticise, but unless you propose your own improved solution, you should shut up or join the Abbott Coalition and be done with it.
]
I honestly think those wanting carte blanche immigratiopn are double agents and are doing the bidding for the Conservatives.
mark, yes sad really , you have to feel sorry for them
also people dont understand the state issues. here it is water, football beleive it or not. and the premier walked out on us only one month ago, i still dont beleive no one here commented on that i bet DIO doesn’t even know that, mind you the premier left to spend time with his family . no wonder we went down in the polls.
now Lara bit like Julia has to pick up the pieces poor girl and she is only 38, our first lady premier. The greens are doing OK so i think the vote being Hare Clarke with those figures cannot not be ignored either.
and then look at Victoria only one person away from loosing.
then look at qld a very strange situation when you have the opp leader with out a seat. i dont get that one .
and we have just had an election in NSW time will tell there and also in the
West.
2,500 refugees have just crossed into Turkey from Syria. The Turkish Govt is keeping the border open for more refugees and setting tent city to house the Refugees.
Shame Australia, Shame