GhostWhoVotes reports the first carbon tax Newspoll has Labor receiving roughly the expected hit on voting intention, with a double dose for Julia Gillard personally. Labor’s vote has dived six points to 30 per cent, with the Coalition up four to 45 per cent and – intriguingly – the Greens up two to 15 per cent. The Coalition two-party lead of 54-46 compares with 50-50 a fortnight ago. An even bigger sting for Julia Gillard comes with a finding that Kevin Rudd leads her as best person to lead the ALP 44 per cent to 37 per cent, and a 23-point reversal in her net approval rating: approval down 11 points to 39 per cent, disapproval up 12 to 51 per cent. Funnily enough, these are exactly the same as the figures for Tony Abbott, who is respectively up one and up two. After a strong showing a fortnight ago, Gillard has lost eight points on preferred prime minister to 45 per cent and Abbott is up five to 36 per cent. For all that, a substantial 42 per cent profess themselves in favour of a price on carbon, with 53 per cent opposed – although the figures are respectively down five and up four on November. Full tables here.
UPDATE: James J points out in comments that this is Labor’s worst primary vote in Newspoll history. The previous record of 31 per cent came in August 1993, shortly after a Labor government broke a pre-election promise on tax. However, this was in an age when there was no Greens scooping up 15 per cent of the vote and feeding three-quarters of it back as preferences.
UPDATE 2: While I’m here, I’ll repost what I said about today’s Essential Research poll, which got buried a few posts back. The first Essential result taken almost entirely after the carbon tax announcement has the Coalition opening up a 53-47 lead. Considering Labor went from 51-49 ahead to 52-48 behind on the basis of last week’s polling, half of which constituted the current result, that’s slightly better than they might have feared. The Coalition is up two points on the primary vote to 47 per cent, Labor is down one to 36 per cent and the Greens are steady on 10 per cent.
Further questions on the carbon tax aren’t great for Labor, but they’re perhaps at the higher end of market expectations with 35 per cent supporting the government’s announcement and 48 per cent opposed. Fifty-nine per cent agreed the Prime Minister had broken an election promise and should have waited until after the election, while 27 per cent chose the alternative response praising her for showing strong leadership on the issue. Nonetheless, 47 per cent support action on climate change as soon as possible, against only 24 per cent who believe it can wait a few years and 19 per cent who believe action is unnecessary (a figure you should keep in mind the next time someone tries to sell you talk radio as a barometer of public opinion). There is a question on who should and shouldn’t receive compensation, but I’d doubt most respondents were able to make much of it.
Tellingly, a question on Tony Abbott’s performance shows the electorate very evenly divided: 41 per cent are ready to praise him for keeping the government accountable but 43 per cent believe he is merely obstructionist, with Labor-voting and Coalition-voting respondents representing a mirror image of each other. Twenty-seven per cent believe independents and Greens holding the balance of power has been good for Australia against 41 per cent bad, but I have my doubts about the utility of this: partisans of both side would prefer that their own party be in majority government, so it would have been good to have seen how respondents felt about minority government in comparison with majority government by the party they oppose.
You need to call it “Abbott’s Broadcasting Corporation” for the link to work.
Climate sceptics are suckers. 🙂
[ TommyTudehope Tommy Tudehope
Is there anything more repulsive than spitting in public?
13 minutes ago Favorite Retweet Reply in reply to ?
@SpaceKidette
Space Kidette
@TommyTudehope Yep. @TonyAbbottMHR trying to answer Riley.
]
STOP THE BOATS!!!!
How many did we have?
[Mar 11, 2011 – 250,000 have fled Libya: UN
UNITED NATIONS – MORE than 250,000 people have fled Libya to neighbouring countries since the revolt against Muammar Gaddafi started in mid-February, a UN official said Thursday.
More than 137,400 have crossed into Tunisia, 107,500 to Egypt, 5,400 to Algeria and 2,200 to Niger, said the UN humanitarian coordination spokesman, who was unwilling to give his name.
Large numbers are building up at transit camps on the borders. At Choucha on the Tunisian border, the World Food Programme and the Red Crescent are providing daily meals for 7,000 people and the figure will double in coming days, the spokesman said.
There is ‘scant’ information on the humanitarian fallout inside areas of Libya controlled by Gaddafi forces, but the spokesman said three quarters of the country remains cut off from humanitarian assistance.
‘Medical needs are a major concern, particularly as we are receiving reports of hospital closures at a time when people most need medical care. We need nurses, and wounded civilians need to reach these facilities,’ the official commented.
The United States has promised to unblock another US$17 million (S$21.6 million) to help refugees fleeing the unrest in Libya and says it will soon send civilian humanitarian aid teams into the opposition-held east of the country. — AFP]
[News and Current Affairs outside broadcast vanABC News and Current Affairs is the name of the division of the Abbott’s Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) that controls content classified as news, public affairs and business and finance.
However, the other divisions of the ABC also produce a range of programming within these genres. All such content is covered here.
He He He he!]
is this real or is gos having us on again
my say,
It’s Space Kidette’s work! Check http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ABC_News_and_Current_Affairs
My Say,
Being bored and more than a little annoyed with the quality of the reporting and their obvious Liberal leaning, I decided to update their Wiki pages.
Sorry!
[News and Current Affairs outside broadcast vanABC News and Current Affairs is the name of the division of the Abbott’s Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) that controls content classified as news, public affairs and business and finance.]
Kiddo, i worry Abbott you. Too much spaghetti codes
Hmmm middle son invited to meet someone in his role as head boy of local school – a Mr Tony Abbott. Middle son is somewhat passionate supporter of NBN.
Ok, tweeps read and respond:
[ abcqanda abcqanda
Julia Gillard is winding up her US visit. How do you think she went? http://bitly.com/gHnt3M #qanda
]
[Government. That Miranda Devine has congratulated the show speaks volumes. Question: how far can the ABC go before there is an overwhelming outcry? A year ago there was an occasional cry in the dark, the crescendo is building…
4632]
when i replied wtte said that the opinion i got on their web site is that the public have had enough of junos talk to junos, ect. and told them it was good to know they would continue with it as then we dont have to watch any more
and strongly made the point that Kerry O’Brien never ever chatted to other journalists that Kerry was his own man and didnt need help.
i know they dont put all the complaints on their web page me and mine where not there.
so how many complaints have there been i wrote on there that mine wasnt there and ask did they pick and choose, and well that not there either. lol
vp@4656
SK – someone is on to you – it now says the “Albanese Broadcasting Corporation”.
Gos: get him to ask Abbott when he last met with Cardinal Pell 😉
SK
[ABC News and Current Affairs is the name of the division of the Albanese Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) that controls content classified as news, public affairs and business and finance.
However, the other divisions of the ABC also produce a range of programming within these genres. All such content is covered here]
Did you change it to “Albanese”?
you meen this do you has some one else had a go
[News and Current Affairs is the name of the division of the Albanese Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) that controls content classified as news, public affairs and business and finance].
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australian_Broadcasting_Corporation
is still Abbott’s
Oscar#4662
I was wondering if SK had done that?
are you going to change it back
No it wan’t me. I only trash those who are obviously anti-Australian.
Gos
seriously? When is middle son invited to meet the esteemed Mr Abbott?
It is probably those Fiberal trolls who lurk here. You know who you are!
SK, it’s now the ALBANESE BC!
Someone’s nobbled your nobble!
[POLLYTICS | 6 seconds ago
An omen RT @sspencer_63: Bad planning? 1st anti-carbon tax rally wil be outside Gillard’s office tomorrow, while she is still overseas]
Btw the Getup Rally supporting climate change policy is also tomorrow morning at 11.00 a.m. Treasury Place Melbourne. For Melburnians who can attend, please do so. I will be there lending my support.
I “undone” the obvious vandlism that changed it to Albanese’ Broadcasting Corporation. That fact that it was changed after Space Kidette so quickly implies some Liberal stooges regularly reading this blog, taking down names for a Gulag once Abbott becomes PM.
Geez, I hate it when my nobble is nobbled 😀
victoria,
Go girl! Very proud of you.
[Geez, I hate it when my nobble is nobbled]
Noblesse oblige?
Aurelianus,
Excellent. I can become an “Assange-style” martyr.
SK
Don’t know if and when other cities will be having similiar rallies, but we need to send message to the Abbott’s revolting people, that there is support for a policy.
[That fact that it was changed after Space Kidette so quickly implies some Liberal stooges regularly reading this blog, taking down names for a Gulag once Abbott becomes PM.]
ABC? Abbott’s Bootstrap Camp.
Is there a name for this type of thing? Perhaps Squiggled, or maybe Candled?
I am off to do the kid run. Catch you all later – even you lovely lieberal trolls!
blue_green @4614 – me too. Please post any useful links for stirrers!
Aguirre@4609
I agree on the perennial difficulties of getting the message out. But roll over and play dead? Leadership on the greatest moral issue of our time was short-lived. No, the government cannot just give up before they start. That is asking for trouble. Garnaut was correct yesterday about the need for a public education and awareness project from the government.
What concerns me is that the wrangling within the party over policies Labor has been forced to embrace without love, due to the minority government agreement, will cause paralysis from them in the public debate. What is needed is passion and commitment, and forced marriages don’t often result in that. *
(*Apologies to any of our contributors from cultures in which they have had reasonably successful arranged marriages :grin:)
Pretty Boy PVO is trying to stir the storm in the tea cup of riff between Rudd and Gillard on Slynews
ABC = Abbott’s Bastadisation Committee
The Contrarians doing voting off again. PVO is doing STOP THE RIFT.
I just voted Contrarians off again. Voted with my feet.
I made some staff changes.
Did I do wrong?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ABC_News_and_Current_Affairs
[the Getup Rally supporting climate change policy is also tomorrow morning at 11.00 a.m. Treasury Place Melbourne. For Melburnians who can attend, please do so. I will be there lending my support.]
can you find out for me is there one here
[ABC? Abbott’s Bootstrap Camp.]
Abbott’s Boat Conspiracy
Contrarians still doing crappola. How PVOment.
BW, it’s pathetic. Instead of talking about the issue of whether NFZ or no NFZ. They focus on the “Riff Valley”
BB,
You report. They decide.
Since when the Editor of Women Weekly an expertise on politics
OMG, not that brassy old boiler again!
Finns
Not watching it but I imagine it is another go at doing celeb politics. All gush and froth and no substance.
Pity. I did have some hopes for PVO. He is getting wusser and wusser.
I don’t think giggling childish mischief like amending Wikipaedia entries makes anyone believe a conspiracy theory. It’s actually just what would be expected of the conspiracists’ mentality.
Brassy?
BB, you’re showing your age, sweetie 😉
Isn’t that Ita Rosebutt?
jaundiced view@4697
If only it were as easy to amend the egregious mistakes of the real ABC!