Essential Research: 50-50

The latest weekly Essential Research survey has the two parties locked together on 50-50 for the third week running. There is also perfect stability on the primary vote, with the Coalition on 44 per cent, Labor on 41 per cent and the Greens on 8 per cent. A question on preferred Liberal leader has Tony Abbott and Malcolm Turnbull essentially neck and neck at 23 per cent and 22 per cent respectively, which compares with 26 per cent and 20 per cent for a similar question in September. Public opinion on the banking industry is shown to be what elite opinion would consider unorthodox: 64 per cent of respondents believe they need more regulation against only 4 per cent for less and 20 per cent for “present regulation about right”, and 62 per cent would support the establishment of a government-owned bank against only 17 per cent opposed.

On the question of whether James Packer should be allowed to become a major shareholder in the Ten Network, 28 per cent said he should and 24 per cent said he shouldn’t – respondents were agreeably given a “don’t care” option, and 38 per cent of them put it to use. Enjoyably, 50 per cent agreed the government should not allow “one company to own the majority of Australia’s major newspapers”, after it was pointedly put to them that News Limited did just that. The ABC is found to be head and shoulders above other television channels on the question of trust, with Sky News enjoying a small but significant lead over the free-to-air commercial networks.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,405 thoughts on “Essential Research: 50-50”

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  1. mfarnsworth Premier John Brumby just announced that every Vic student over 15 is to be given a “career action plan”… #vicvotes

    Should we just hand the whole parenting thing over to government and get it over and done with?

  2. Should we just hand the whole parenting thing over to government and get it over and done with?

    What a bloody disgrace. Fancy giving every Vic student over 15 a “career action plan”… Next they’ll be provding them with an education. Just shocking.

  3. blue_green,

    If he starts talking about changing nappies, doing night feeds, staying up all night with sick kids and picking up the tab for their never ending list of things they want, I am going to trade the sunny clime on the Gold Coast for Victoria.

  4. i really have to wonder if we are the only people in austl; the rest are asleep everything is happening in a universe we cannot see.

    how can they be awake, impossible

  5. Whoops – was looking at the 11/10 poll rather than the 1/11 poll. It’s actually 50-50

    oh dear Bilbo, you aint got gravitas either.

  6. Premier John Brumby just announced that every Vic student over 15 is to be given a “career action plan”

    Change career every 5 years.

  7. 19 The Finnigans
    Posted Monday, November 1, 2010 at 2:02 pm | Permalink
    Premier John Brumby just announced that every Vic student over 15 is to be given a “career action plan”

    Interviewer: Why are you applying to work at our company?
    Interviewee: Because John Brumby said I should. Here, its in my plan.

  8. Interviewer: Why are you applying to work at our company?
    Interviewee: Because John Brumby said I should. Here, its in my plan.

    Obviously you are full bottle on how these plans will operate. Can you explain in detail here what they will be like? Will they be compulsory for a start?

  9. Premier John Brumby just announced that every Vic student over 15 is to be given a “career action plan”

    Why not give them a financial planner? Equally useful.

    my say

    STOP THE PANDERING TO KIDS.
    i think.

    Indeed 🙂 I suppose the opposition will offer them cadets or conscription and a gap year in Afghanistan.

  10. Premier John Brumby just announced that every Vic student over 15 is to be given a “career action plan”

    What’s wrong with it? This is just a formalisation of something that has been occurring anyway. Year 10 they expect students to aligne subjects for their chosen career path.

  11. [Q. Since the 2007 election, has your opinion of the former Prime Minister, John Howard, become more favourable or less favourable?…

    …Don’t know
    Total 4%
    ALP 1%
    LNP 1%
    GRN 1%

    How does one arrive at a Total of 4%?

  12. Obviously you are full bottle on how these plans will operate. Can you explain in detail here what they will be like? Will they be compulsory for a start?

    They obviously require an entire network of new public servants to be hired. It will also require a complex period of consultation and negotiation with teacher and parent groups.

    Then consultants will be brought in. They will produce a draft strategy wich neither the teachers or the parents will approve of.

    Then when finally implemented will see cookie-cutter career advice cut and pasted from google, based on results, subjects studied and personality testing. It will be as useful as compulsory horoscopes. And three times as expenses.

  13. Please explain! I cannot understand how these numbers can be so!

    What can I tell you. There’s no accounting for taste. Some of the supplementary questions in the poll might cheer you up.

  14. They obviously require an entire network of new public servants to be hired. It will also require a complex period of consultation and negotiation with teacher and parent groups.

    Then consultants will be brought in. They will produce a draft strategy wich neither the teachers or the parents will approve of.

    Then when finally implemented will see cookie-cutter career advice cut and pasted from google, based on results, subjects studied and personality testing. It will be as useful as compulsory horoscopes. And three times as expenses.

    You failed to provide a link. I want to verify your information.

  15. Money management should be compulsory.

    I agree. One of the first things you would learn is not to give your money to a financial planner 🙂

    Seriously, what does Brumby mean? Who knows what their long term career goals are at 15? Those who do don’t need the help. Those who don’t need to get experience of the world and finish their studies. If it is just matching subject choices to Uni preferences, that is no diferent to what happens at schools now.

  16. Space Kidette its we who are the ones missing somthing it has to be us on the left.

    Its like watching a comedy. One of the cast members tells us the banks need to be bashed.
    the other says, flat tax but look i am off on my bike and then to the Iron man contest. but to hear the media you would think he won the contest, as i heard a reporter say he was the Iron man Abbott. no you have to win to be the iron man.
    then this cast member ,must of neglected to read all the script becasue there was section he forgot about the Henry report.
    now i know this must be play not for real

    While the Pm, is over seas, and cannot meet the pm of another country who is so considerate and also unwell with chicken pox and sends his deputy, are but no this must be a negative .

    then a journalist’s says its a slow news day.
    this cannot all be true it has to be a comedy script

  17. Seriously, what does Brumby mean? Who knows what their long term career goals are at 15? Those who do don’t need the help. Those who don’t need to get experience of the world and finish their studies. If it is just matching subject choices to Uni preferences, that is no diferent to what happens at schools now.

    SO they will spend millions helping those who don’t need help and giving the wrong prescription to those who do. Just great.

    If Brumby said he was putting on 200 more counsellors because we aren’t helping kids learn to cope, then that is excellent. But this is just a policy looking for a problem.

    I mean, has anybody ever mentioned the desperate need for standardisation of career counselling as the issue in education or youth unemployment.

  18. 27 Laocoon
    Posted Monday, November 1, 2010 at 2:09 pm | Permalink

    Q. Since the 2007 election, has your opinion of the former Prime Minister, John Howard, become more favourable or less favourable?…

    ..[.Don’t know
    Total 4%
    ALP 1%
    LNP 1%
    GRN 1%

    How does one arrive at a Total of 4%?

    may be the recipients of the weekly survey skipped the question i would.

    i would feel insulted i was even ask

  19. Dear 15 something:

    STOP USING YOUR CREDIT CARDS!!!!

    If kids are taught the value of money & how to save then there may never be a need to live on credit.

    I agree. One of the first things you would learn is not to give your money to a financial planner

    Same goes for financial planners. Teach the kids to be savvy with their dough & they won’t be sitting ducks for financial predators.

  20. Finns

    I’m reading Wild Swans, which is excellent. China and Japan have really been going at it hammer and tongs for ever haven’t they.

  21. ABC and Sky lead the media pack in the polls – are we getting the same broadcasts? Or are people so blind as to not see the bias?

  22. I remember the advice I got for my career when I was 15. It was to either become a nurse (because I like people- supposedly) or a mechanic (because I liked lego).

    So useful

  23. I am pretty sure you don’t need a link to show that horoscopes don’t work.

    I have no idea what you are talking about. When you actually know the details instead of guessing then an informed opinion can be reached. Not one based on opinion and ideology. You have no idea the set up. All you’ve come out with is that it will cost, won’t work and the government shouldn’t get involved in a student’s development.

  24. Socrates
    Posted Monday, November 1, 2010 at 2:09 pm | Permalink
    Premier John Brumby just announced that every Vic student over 15 is to be given a “career action plan”

    Why not give them a financial planner? Equally useful.

    my say

    STOP THE PANDERING TO KIDS.
    i think.

    Sorry for the sarcasm what came to mind is my Oh at the moment is handling hundreds of work experience application.
    then there is the ones that cannot be bothered but i want discuss them.

    Then there is the parents who want little daring to do something the school cannot oblige with re insurance. then there is the kids that dont turn up to work experience

    these are not high numbers but very embarrassing .

    So i am looking at this from another angle.

    I think we pander to children far to much it should be the parent who work these thing out.

    Teachers have enough on their plate and beleive me this would be handled by the teachers if it arrives in the letter box what teenager is going to read it not many i would say.

    So during maths lessons , yes discuss investments for sure.

    But really kids dont know what they want in about gr. 8 dun no is about the standard answer.

  25. Haha i saw David Graham at the Penrith by-elections handing out for the Liberal Party with a few National Party members/upper-class Liberals. A political commentator of the Channel 7/9 variety he probably could be but i don’t think he has the substance to hack it as a politician.

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