Newspoll: 52-48 to Coalition

GhostWhoVotes informs us that tonight’s Newspoll has the Coalition opening a 52-48 lead. More to follow.

UPDATE: Matthew Franklin of The Australian reports “Newspoll chief executive Martin O’Shannessy said tonight that Labor had suffered a six-point plunge in primary support outside cities”, prompting speculation the fall has been driven by the Murray-Darling Basin report. Primary votes are apparently little changed on the previous Newspoll survey, which had Labor at 35 per cent, the Coalition at 42 per cent and the Greens at 14 per cent – but they must have changed at least some to have wrought a two-point shift in the Coalition’s favour on two-party preferred. No doubt GhostWhoVotes will reveal all shortly.

UPDATE 2: GhostWhoVotes has full results here. Labor’s primary vote is down two to a new low of 33 per cent, the Coalition is up one to 43 per cent and the Greens are steady on 14 per cent. The move is reflected on personal ratings, with Julia Gillard down four on approval to 44 per cent and up four on disapproval to 37 per cent, and Tony Abbott up two on approval to 41 per cent and down one on disapproval to 46 per cent. However, Gillard has held even on preferred prime minister with a lead of 53-32, with both leaders up a point on last time.

UPDATE 3: James J notes in comments that this is Labor’s lowest primary vote since 3-5 December 2004, equal lowest since 20-22 August 1993, and second lowest since Newspoll began in 1985.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

4,928 comments on “Newspoll: 52-48 to Coalition”

Comments Page 96 of 99
1 … 95 96 97 … 99

  2. [UPDATE

    The allegation involves purely personal behavior of no consequence at all to public policy even if the allegation were true, which is denied. And it’s alleged behavior which, if true, is of the kind which has been indulged in by dozens of other MPs and hundreds of journalists. ]

    Just to follow on from Bolter’s big Aussie political scandal. No wonder they are backing away.

    That’s not a political scandal, “THIS” is more like one.

    [AN account by an underage nightclub dancer of an alleged erotic after-dinner party at Silvio Berlusconi’s home has plunged the Italian prime minister into a damaging new scandal over his private life.

    Berlusconi, 74, is reported to have invited Karima Keyek, 17 – better known as Ruby – to three parties at his opulent villa near Milan earlier this year and to have showered her with presents of cash, jewellery and an Audi sports car.

    Ruby, a 5ft 10in Moroccan, has testified that one of these parties included “bunga-bunga” – a form of orgy.

    The phrase has become the butt of jokes and ridicule on the internet. The party supposedly featured a naked Berlusconi and 20 female guests, also naked. Ruby has denied having sex with the prime minister and said that she lied to him about her age.]
    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/world/silvio-berlusconi-rocked-by-underage-scandal/story-e6frg6so-1225945741384

    She never took her cloths off & didn’t have sax with old Silvio, but he still saw something in her to buy this car for her. Yeah, right!!~! 😉

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Audi_R8_%28road_car%29

    [The resignation of a Liberal candidate after allegedly telling locals that Somali refugees would move into public housing in the electorate and be given free cars has soured the start of the coalition’s campaign.]

    I bet they aren’t getting cars like Silvio gives away!!! 😉

  3. [AN account by an underage nightclub dancer of an alleged erotic after-dinner party at Silvio Berlusconi’s home has plunged the Italian prime minister into a damaging new scandal over his private life.
    Berlusconi, 74, is reported to have invited Karima Keyek, 17 – better known as Ruby – to three parties at his opulent villa near Milan earlier this year and to have showered her with presents of cash, jewellery and an Audi sports car.
    Ruby, a 5ft 10in Moroccan, has testified that one of these parties included “bunga-bunga” – a form of orgy.
    The phrase has become the butt of jokes and ridicule on the internet. The party supposedly featured a naked Berlusconi and 20 female guests, also naked. Ruby has denied having sex with the prime minister and said that she lied to him about her age
    ]

    Poor Candles will be devestated 🙂

    No wonder he hasn’t been game to show his face around here of late 🙂

  4. [Poor Candles will be devestated 🙂

    No wonder he hasn’t been game to show his face around here of late]

    Probably been too busy trying to find out where the next “bunga-bunga” is on at! 😉

  7. Silvio Berlusconi accused of having ‘uncontrollable sickness’ for women
    Silvio Berlusconi has been accused of suffering from an “uncontrollable sickness” in his relations with women, as the Moroccan teenage belly dancer at the heart of Italy’s latest sex scandal said she is writing a book about the affair.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/italy/8099683/Silvio-Berlusconi-accused-of-having-uncontrollable-sickness-for-women.html

    Thats how the UK Tele sees it and after seeing her pic I will Bunga Bunga with her anytime 😉

  9. [Demi? Demi Moore perhaps?]

    Demi Lovato. Had to google her. She is an actress and songwriter and has deleted her twitter account.

    All these tweets over somebody closing their account.

  13. [She never took her cloths off & didn’t have sax with old Silvio, but he still saw something in her to buy this car for her. Yeah, right!!~!]

    Well, at least the old Silvio has been enjoying himself. Whereas the Poms are still in the Monty Python mood. She probably had a Bachelor of Stupidity from Oxford.

    [British spy chief John Sawers is facing public embarrassment after his daughter posted a photo of herself posing with a gold Kalashnikov rifle on Facebook.

    Oxford graduate Corinne Sawers, 23, is seen standing in front of a family Christmas tree holding the gold-plated weapon – similar to those found among Saddam Hussein’s treasures after the 2003 Iraq invasion – in her profile pictures, The Sunday Mirror reports.

    The gun is a decommissioned Kalashnikov and is believed to have been a gift to Corinne’s father, M16 boss Sir John, as a memento of his time in Iraq. ]

    http://www.smh.com.au/world/m16-chief-red-over-daughters-facebook-shot-20101101-1794h.html

    What is it about Facebook that will make people do very stupid things. i dont get it. 🙁

  14. There was always a hole in its business model. Too sweet and too much sugar in this health conscious age. It might work in the obese laden USA market but not here. Just to show some business people are just as stupid. There is a hole in their donuts and yet they cant see it.

    [POOR sales have forced the Australian arm of Krispy Kreme Doughnuts to go into voluntary administration.

    Owners of the super-sweet chain have denied the downturn has been caused by increasingly health-conscious customers, instead pointing to a number of ailing outlets affected by high rents and high distribution costs.

    The US-based chain arrived with much fanfare in Australia seven years ago – now there are 50 outlets employing 660 staff across Australia.

    Company spokesman Matt Horan said it was unknown how many employees would be made redundant or if any stores would be closed.]

    http://www.heraldsun.com.au/business/unhealthy-sales-take-a-massive-bite-out-of-krispy-kreme-profits/story-e6frfh4f-1225945919242

  15. Hmmmmmm, this is getting more and more curious:

    [One of the two bombs posted from Yemen last week was transported on two passenger planes before being seized in Dubai, Qatar Airways has said. The device was carried on an Airbus A320 from Sanaa to Doha. It was then flown on another aircraft to Dubai…………………………. Yemen has meanwhile granted conditional release to a woman who was arrested on suspicion of mailing the devices, her family and officials said. Human rights groups named her as Hanan al-Samawi, a 22-year-old student.

    Her lawyer, Abdel Rahman Burman, told the Reuters news agency she was a “quiet student and there was no knowledge of her having involvement in any religious or political groups”. Ms Samawi’s mobile number was reportedly left with one of the two US cargo firms, UPS and FedEx, who were told to ship the packages containing the printer cartridge bombs to synagogues in the US city of Chicago.]

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-11661496

  16. dee and morewest@4545 – thanks for that post re the insulation and airports.

    I note Gary’s remarks but will search out that info and ask Hunt for a response as he was so rude in his reply and, seemingly, incorrect.

  17. All of these people who are scared of snakes – I find the image of Radguy in a mini far more frightening.

    I hope he has the legs for it.

    I read recently (and am sure Diog will chip in on this if I’m wrong) that some people have a minor disfunction in the brain which basically means that, although they recognise that a situation is dangerous and they really should be afraid, they lack the emotional response that goes with it.

    To some extent, I’m like that.

    I will give an involuntary scream with mice and spiders but not snakes – and I once lit a match to find a gas leak (I still say that the thought processes involved were perfectly logical: I couldn’t find the leak any other way and it was only going to get worse. It was fun, too – the hotplates on the stove all jumped about eight inches. Needless to say, I did it again, to determine the source of the leak).

    I once tried to kill a snake with a flyswat. I’ve also (accidentally) cuddled a black snake when the old haybale I was moving fell apart in my arms – he was the only solid thing left.

    We have lots of snakes, blacks, tigers and browns. We used to kill ones near the house, when the children were small. Now we just tell the kids where they are and keep the pets away from them until they move on.

  18. any thinking on a rates rise ,. yes or no. whatever his name is on 9 thinks a 20 chance then something aout hockey ect/

    question, do any of you think the presenters on aust television ‘ yell and screech” of a morning. Frankly i turn on the German news and any other European outlet and they just seem to me any way, to be just speaking not

    aust. morning. tv keeps my interest for about may 5 seconds

  20. see FINNS now the symbols even dissapear you are getting me in to a lot of trouble on this site, my attention span to detail here is bad enough without you helping me.

    lol last time i try one your computer tricks to change the print.

  23. blue-green

    I personally get affronted when it’s reported that ‘such and such has lost millions.”

    Why did he get them when I didn’t?

    I’m sure I could lose millions, too, if I was just given the opportunity.

  24. I think we can fairly lay the blame for the cricket team’s performance on the PM.

    1. She is a girl. We all know they can’t catch or bowl, so there is no one to set a good example for the team.

    2. I have to yet to see a picture of her at the cricket, let alone standing with members of our team, looking adoringly up at them. This lack of worship by the PM severely demoralises our team.

    3. I bet that she gets Tim to select the PM’s 11. This buckpassing of a fundamental duty to a second rater again undermines the dignity of the team.

    4. Generally, she has made it obvious that she wants to be PM. Everyone knows being PM is a fall back position for those who couldn’t captain Australia. Again, this downplays the importance of cricket in our national life and severely demoralises the team.

    It’s like England. Never been any good since they put a woman in charge.

    (Frantically flags that this is all very much tongue in cheek….)

  27. The white-tippeds are my worry. They move around after lights out. I think their bite might be necrotic.

    I don’t know what it was that bit me once while I was asleep and caused my leg (and the veins therein) to swell up to horrendous proportions, leaving a 25mm hard lump under my skin for neatly a month, but it wasn’t a one-eyed trouser snake. The doctor’s advice I got was that it was a white tip. Hurt like blazes.

  28. Zoomster@4767:

    [We have lots of snakes, blacks, tigers and browns. We used to kill ones near the house, when the children were small. Now we just tell the kids where they are and keep the pets away from them until they move on.]

    Us too. I well remember my wife finding a tiger snake in the herb garden, right near where we were going to have a barbecue the following weekend.

    She warned our eldest daughter about the snake, and she said “Oh, you mean Fred? He’s been there for years!”

  29. Australia’s Socialists Unite. (Infurious agreement that Joe Hockey is not Hugo Chavez after all) 😆

    [Joe Hockey is no Hugo Chavez
    Saturday, October 30, 2010
    By Peter Boyle

    Joe Hockey. Mike Smith, the CEO of the ANZ Bank has fumed about Liberal-National shadow treasurer Joe Hockey’s recent populist rhetoric against the four big banks that increasingly dominate the Australian economy.

    “The Liberals’ economic credentials have been hijacked by out-there proposals”, Smith said in the October 29 Sydney Morning Herald.

    “Mr Hockey seems to be on some kind of personal vendetta. It would appear he has been taking economics lessons from Hugo Chavez.”

    Has Hockey been taking lessons from Venezuela’s socialist president?

    Sadly, no. Hockey talked strong on the profit-gouging banks but his proposals were weak.
    ]

    http://www.greenleft.org.au/node/45861

  30. Finns
    [There was always a hole in its business model. Too sweet and too much sugar in this health conscious age. It might work in the obese laden USA market but not here. Just to show some business people are just as stupid. There is a hole in their donuts and yet they cant see it]
    I seem to recall that David Coe (Allco Financial Group fame) and John Kinghorn (Rams Home Loans – what a sale!) are/were major shareholders in Krispy Kream

  31. b_g
    [Is it possible to do some personal quantititative easing? All I want to do is print a small proportion of what the US is doing. How about a measly $10 billion?]
    This is how you do personal QE…but you need to speed up the presses to catch up with Helicopter Ben:
    [Our love affair with cash has not led to a rise in counterfeiting. The bank found just 7800 fake notes last financial year, much fewer than in other counties. Almost all were fake $50s.]
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/theres-more-cash-out-there-even-if-its-not-in-your-pocket-20101031-178zg.html

  32. Laocoon,

    Damn those pesky plastic notes. And to think they were brought on line just when photocopiers got really good.

    Now, if only Ben’s money could drift my way. I’ll even take those US dollars (if I have to).

  33. So Julia is OS and TOny is recoering from a triathalon. Should be a quiet news day.

    Except that I reckon that Essential Poll will come out with plling on Joe Hockeys interventions and regardless of how the question is asked the results will be: Banks are Evil 80%, Joe is silly 10% and Don’t Know 10%.

    And that will change everything and then Swanny will be on the back foot and Joe is redeemed.

  34. blue_green@4776

    3. I bet that she gets Tim to select the PM’s 11. This buckpassing of a fundamental duty to a second rater again undermines the dignity of the team.

    Shameful.

    YES! Couldn’t agree more!!

    Why is the Parliament going to waste precious time and resources on a political witch hunt investing batts which have already been investigated several times instead of concentrating on this growing national disaster? Don’t they realise the Ashes will soon be at stake??!!

    The PM must be recalled asap and the Parliament reconvened immediately, as in today, and should sit until this matter of vital national importance is satisfactorily resolved, i.e until we’re winning again. If necessary is must sit over the entire Christmas-New Year period.

    Furthermore, the Government must forthwith cancel all other sporting pursuits, yes including The Cup. We can’t be diluting our sporting mojo on such frippery. It has to all be channelled towards beating our most implacable enemy: those born out of wedlock POMS!
    😈

  35. [So what is the Reserve Bank going to do about the dismal performances of the Australian Cricket team?]
    A nine point plan is required.

  38. On the selection of the PM’s XI and the PM’s interest in cricket in general:

    If JG did don the creams and roll her arm over. I am certain it would be alluded that this was a sign of her sure sapphism.

  39. [4785 BK
    Posted Monday, November 1, 2010 at 8:32 am | Permalink
    So what is the Reserve Bank going to do about the dismal performances of the Australian Cricket team?]

    [A nine point plan is required.]

    Hmm, perhaps an eleven point plan. One point for each player.

  41. Bishop – “Greg Combet may look like Clark Kent but he ain’t no Superman”.

    Tell you what Bronnie, you ain’t no Lois Lane!

  42. blue_green,

    [Zoomster,

    I reckon I would be pretty happy to find ‘millions’. I could then blissfully learn like like the magnates to ‘lose’ them. ]

    Blimey, I don’t know what the problem is. I get offers of millions of dollars every day in e-mails from all over the world, especially Nigeria! 😉

    And business offers, dozens of them a week, every week, worse luck. 😉

  43. Michael Pascoe’s take on “flat tax”
    [Tony Abbott has proven true to his word about getting behind his shadow treasurer, making Joe Hockey look more credible by setting up the opportunity for Joe yesterday to shoot down his silly flat tax balloon.

    Or perhaps it’s a little more worrying than that. Anyone with a passing knowledge of the Henry taxation review, if they’ve only skimmed the executive summary, maybe just glanced at the index, should know that the price of any reduction in personal income tax rates is offending a vast number of vested interest groups.

    And anyone with even a vague handle on the health, education, infrastructure and demographic challenges facing Australia would also know that the days of absolute tax cuts are simply over. Any one tax can only be reduced by increasing another tax – and probably then some.

    Sure we can have a 25 per cent flat tax rate – as long as we scrap all existing middle class and corporate welfare payments, increase the GST, re-introduce death duties, index the excise levied on fuel and alcohol, scrap the capital gains tax exemption for the family home and have a broad-based land tax. It’s all spelt out in the Henry review. Looks like Tony Abbott didn’t get past the front cover.]
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/making-hockey-and-banks-look-good-20101101-1796h.html

  44. [On Agenda – Bronwyn Bishop.
    A really poisonous performance.]

    Ah BK; do you remember when she was being widely touted as Oz first female PM? Before the kero baths scandal exposed an incompetent minister? Before her hair became a national joke? Before she was relegated to deputy points of order duties?

    Then Julia Gillard “stole” PMship from Kev -and she’s not even a Lib!

    Bronny Bishop always reminds me of a toxic old hag from a scary pantomime … Or something JRR Tolkein or JK Rowlings might have dreamt up.

  45. Krispy Kreme’s gone broke in OZ.

    “Several factors, including location, sales declines, high rents and high distribution costs, have meant that a number of stores are losing money,” he said.

    Yeah, that and the fact that their donuts are so full of oil and fat, and that they don’t sell anything savoury to offset the kremey, sickly sweetness might have something to do with it as well.

    http://www.smh.com.au/business/dough-krispy-kreme-going-bust-20101101-1798u.html

  47. Dee @ 4574

    I had this conversation with my mother today. Funnily enough, she suggested that Gillard should come out like Helen Clark, be blunt & strong & tell the people what her vision is.
    If it was me, my speech would be about raising Australia above the pettiness & small mindedness that has infected the nation over the last decade. 😥
    Aim for their conscience, behaviour, hearts & minds not their wallets that is toooo easy.

    I’m not sure that would work. Not that it wouldn’t be a fine and noble thing to do – and we are sorely lacking in that at the moment – but that it wouldn’t address the source of the troubles.

    Watching QT last week, it seemed to me that the Coalition are intent on applying as much scrutiny to government policy as possible, while keeping themselves at arms length from it on their side. They’re not happy with comparisons between government policy and their own, and the new protocols in Parliament allow them to block answers that stray that way.

    So they get to continue throwing out thought bubbles, as populist as they can manage, in the hope that one of them will catch fire like Hockey’s bank-bashing very nearly did. It’s an easy ride for them.

    But really, the conditions are ideal for Gillard to put out a strong plea for Coalition policy to be taken seriously and scrutinised thoroughly. After all, they did come a whisker from winning the election. The public have a right to decide whether the Coalition are ready to govern and have a consistent and well-thought-out series of positions in all areas. Negative statements on government policy are not good enough.

    I think she should raise that as a matter of some importance, and ask for an assurance from Abbott that he supports it. And then she should just set her front bench loose to pull apart Coalition policy on every occasion possible.

    If Abbott calls it a “distraction from ALP failings” or some such, her response is simple: the ALP have their policy scrutinised every day, in great detail, and are more than happy for that to continue, but it’s only fair that the party calling themselves the alternative government be prepared to have the same apply to them. Unless they see themselves as political lightweights, of course.

    If he agrees, straight to a forensic discussion of the 10B black hole, a demand for their alternative plan for the MDB, a dissection of TPVs and their failure during Howard, and so on and so on.

  49. It’s all spelt out in the Henry review. Looks like Tony Abbott didn’t get past the front cover.

    And there is why Abbott must never be PM. No interest in anything remotely fiscal. Plus the intellectual depth of a generic tissue.

  50. Speaking of stupidity, Helen Coonan has been cutting and pasting again, with a silly story mixing up urban congestion and our need for high speed rail?
    http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/give-us-highspeed-trains-not-school-halls-20101031-178sm.html

    She starts out saying how everyone else is doing high speed (long distance) rail, which does not in any way mean it makes sense here, on account of our low population density. Then she mixes in urban congestion and delay on the trip from Newcastle to Sydney to ask why haven’t we done it already?? Bizarre. Non-sequiters used to justify

    I have no problem with planning studies to identify and presereve corridsors for high speed rail in future. But before we build high speed rail, lets at least get adequate public transport, and working rural rail freight lines.

Comments are closed.

Comments Page 96 of 99
1 … 95 96 97 … 99