Essential Research: 51-49 to Labor

Crikey reports the latest Essential Research survey has Labor moving to a 51-49 lead after three weeks at level pegging. Labor’s primary vote is up two points to 42 per cent while the Coalition’s is down two to 43 per cent – suggesting the two-party shift to Labor has been dampened by rounding – and the Greens are steady are on 9 per cent, weakness for the Greens being an unusual feature of recent Essential polling. We are also informed the national broadband network was supposed by 56 per cent of respondents and opposed by only 18 per cent; 63 per cent think it important the government move “quickly” on an ETS or carbon tax; and 69 per cent support legalising euthanasia for those with incurable disease and severe pain. Tony Abbott is found to be favoured over Malcolm Turnbull as Liberal leader by 26 per cent to 20 per cent, with support for Turnbull evidently being concentrated among non-Coalition voters.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

3,743 comments on “Essential Research: 51-49 to Labor”

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  1. Music will be common and consistent across the Universe.

    We might not be able to talk to them (aliens) immediately, but they should be able to appreciate a good tune!

    The base for music – the 12 semitones – although not precisely, have values derived from harmonics that correspond very closely to notes derived from a constant multiplier that doubles the frequency with every twelfth multiplication (octave).

    Any maths heads out there, this is a pretty easy one to analyse.

  2. [They’d probably decide that if we already knew A^2 + B^2 = H^2 they may as well spiflicate us with a mega death ray now in case we got any smarter.]

    Or Pythagoras’ numeric cult’s beliefs were accurate and they’d believe us Godly, and would greet us with open arms.

    Just what we’d need, interstellar religious nuts…

  3. Wow that was an awful report on the NBN in tasmania. The actual facts presented were basically all good, but the entire tone of the piece was negative negative negative.

    It’s a negative that the trial didn’t include a shop that wanted it.

    It’s a negative that Telstra want a deal (and how exactly is that related to reporting on the Tasmanian trial?)

    The only actual negative presented was the union guy who had concerns about training and ‘foreign workers’.

    Wow, ABC. Just wow.

  4. [Tasmania’s Upper House has passed legislation giving legal status to same-sex marriages endorsed in other countries.]

    Didn’t the federal govt legislate against this years back? If so, I’m afraid the fed gov has priority on this issue, and if it conflicts then Tassie’s law would be unallowed.

  5. Jackol

    [Wow that was an awful report on the NBN in tasmania. The actual facts presented were basically all good, but the entire tone of the piece was negative negative negative.]

    Well they do have to demonstrate solidarity with the OZ and its campaign against the NBN on behalf of the Coalition! 😉

    The ABC takes the lead of the OZ on everything else.

  6. [The ABC takes the lead of the OZ on everything else.]

    Why are we funding this double handling? We may as well sell it to News Ltd and at least get our money back.

  7. [What it MT saying ?]

    That is the point. he is not saying anything coherent or logical or actually debating headson with Conroy.

    He doesnt have his heart on this, it shows

  8. Conroy has really lifted his game. His earlier arguments about the filter were all over the shop but in the past 6 months or so he seems to have become much more focused and incisive.

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