Essential Research: 51-49 to Labor

Crikey reports the latest Essential Research survey has Labor moving to a 51-49 lead after three weeks at level pegging. Labor’s primary vote is up two points to 42 per cent while the Coalition’s is down two to 43 per cent – suggesting the two-party shift to Labor has been dampened by rounding – and the Greens are steady are on 9 per cent, weakness for the Greens being an unusual feature of recent Essential polling. We are also informed the national broadband network was supposed by 56 per cent of respondents and opposed by only 18 per cent; 63 per cent think it important the government move “quickly” on an ETS or carbon tax; and 69 per cent support legalising euthanasia for those with incurable disease and severe pain. Tony Abbott is found to be favoured over Malcolm Turnbull as Liberal leader by 26 per cent to 20 per cent, with support for Turnbull evidently being concentrated among non-Coalition voters.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

3,743 comments on “Essential Research: 51-49 to Labor”

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  1. [That almost never happens. I can’t recall sending a patient from private to public once in seven years.]

    dio, your milage may vary, we used to get them all the time.

    though private and public hospitals may cost a similar amount to run, the public system subsidises the private system. if there was no subsidy and no tax punishment to drive people to the private system, i would be inclined to believe you.

    your taxi might cost the same to run as mine (quite a few dr’s driving taxis, met one educated at the sorbonne who was doing it to raise money for registration) but if you get $100 a day that could go to me no matter what and some passengers get charged for not riding in your taxi, it doesn’t really add up does it?

  2. Strange fact 1:

    Tonga’s economy (although smaller than the revenue from some Australia local governments) is heavily based on remittances.

    Strange fact 2:

    Tonga has the worlds highest proportion of PhD graduates

    Strange fact 3:

    Tonga has the worlds highest proportion of Mormons

    Strange Fact 4:

    The world bank advised Tonga to grow squash pumpkins. So everyone pulled out their vanilla/kava/mixed gardens and grew squash pumkins. The local wharf/port could not cope with the massive export rush so they all rotted on the wharf. Unsurprisingly everyone went back to kava etc.

    Strange fact 5:
    Tongans often get annual loans to pay for labor to install crops. However, they often use this instead to pay for feasts and for donations to churches. Amazingly, the loans nearly always get paid back.

    Strange fact 6:
    Tongan women are almost exclusively the shopkeeper in the the family business because “why would I trust my husabnd with the money- he would give it all away to the relatives”

    Strange fact 6:
    However, the chinese are the best shopkeepers. Any Tongan will tell you “its not fair, they work all week, even Sundays; and they don’t have to go to singing practice like we do four nights a week”

  3. Diogenes, sorry, but, with respect, you spend soooo much time on this forum, I can’t believe that you are a practising surgeon. A person cannot spend so much time on this forum and hold down a steady job, of any sort, at the same time. I can only spend the time that I do on this forum (and I spend much, much, much, much less time than you) because I’m retired.

  4. GG

    Is this the quote you wanted?

    [Media can reveal that high-profile blogger Grog’s Gamut is actually Greg Jericho, a public servant who spends his days working in the film section of the former Department of Environment, Heritage, Water and the Arts.]

  5. [oh dear. i didn’t have to read the rest to know it didn’t end well.]

    Don’t worry the Tongans are a resilient bunch. They just went back to gardening like they did before Cook visited.

  6. BK

    Whilst on vaguely medical topics, did you ever get a response to that query you had yonks ago, on the rebate on some pseudo-medical treatment (iridology??)

  7. Were &imgrefurl=http://www.abc.net.au/news/photos/2007/07/04/1969534.htm&h=840&w=560&sz=66&tbnid=vdJbbDA5gAdXgM:&tbnh=145&tbnw=97&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dchris%2Btaylor&zoom=1&q=chris+taylor&usg=__BmGAtd15SGGzs8hMEWCh6OCpJe8=&sa=X&ei=kBujTMzjKIW3cOWfrH0&ved=0CDYQ9QEwAw” rel=”nofollow”>Chris Taylor and Ed Miliband separated at birth?

  8. Boerwar 3416

    Just a stream of consciousness sparked by some thoughts about the value of remittances.

    True though.

    I was really amazed at how many families borrowed money from banks like Westpac to supposedly pay for labor for their farm, but instead used it for a big fat donation to the church. I did an interview with the local Westpac Bank manager once. He explicitly knew the money would not go to farming.

    🙂

  9. madcyril,

    [Andrew Bolt has had a go at Possum before if my memory serves me correctly ]

    The Bolter got a bit upset when Possum told him where to put his calculator. 😉

  10. anony

    It’s similar to the private vs public schools thing. I think it costs the taxpayer about the same either way, but with one system the user pays extra.

  11. [BK

    Whilst on vaguely medical topics, did you ever get a response to that query you had yonks ago, on the rebate on some pseudo-medical treatment (iridology??)
    Yes Laocoon, I did get an eventual reply. It was innocuous.

  12. [ Dee
    Posted Wednesday, September 29, 2010 at 9:07 pm | Permalink
    Could Ken Wyatt possibly be a future leader?
    Let’s hope the Rabbott doesn’t do to his credibility what he has successfully done to others.
    ]

    He needs a safe seat for a start – why do you think they didn’t give him a safe Liberal one ? 🙂

  13. [Could Ken Wyatt possibly be a future leader?]

    I don’t think so. For a start he’s too old. Secondly he’s too logical and coherent for the current bunch of Trots who own the Libs.

  14. Anony,

    In you Lancet piece you linked to I was expecting a rigorous scientific study on the issue of medical staff leaving 3rd world countries. But it was an OpEd piece.

    A proper study would have weighed up the impacts of nurses/doctors leaving with the benefits of the remittances returning to the country.

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