Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor

The Australian reports the latest Newspoll has Labor leading 52-48, from primary votes of 38 per cent Labor (steady), 41 per cent Coalition (down one) and 14 per cent Greens (up one). There’s also that rare thing – an interesting finding on an attitudinal question, this being a plunge in the Coalition’s lead as “better to manage the economy” from 12 per cent to 1 per cent. Chief suspects: Labor’s Hewson-Costello ads and the Coalition’s costings confusion, much of which would have escaped the Sunday-to-Thursday time frame of the great Galaxy mega-poll.

UPDATE: Full results here. As in Nielsen, Julia Gillard’s personal ratings have improved: approval up one to 44 per cent and disapproval down three to 38 per cent, but Tony Abbott’s have as well, off the base of what was probably an unflattering result last week: approval up two to 43 per cent, disapproval down three to 46 per cent. Preferred prime minister is essentially unchanged, with both Gillard and Abbott up a point to 50 per cent and 35 per cent respectively. However, the poll confirms a general trend of the Labor vote being slightly “softer” than the Coalition. As well as closing the economy gap from 47-35 to 44-43, Labor has also pulled further ahead as best party to handle climate change, from 33-26 to 35-22, while the Coalition lead on asylum seekers has widened incrementally from 42-29 to 43-29.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,228 comments on “Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor”

Comments Page 24 of 25
1 23 24 25
  1. I watched most of Julia’s speech on Channel 9 (because I couldn’t tolerate the moronic banner summaries on ABC24).

    About three seconds after Julia finished , cross to a sour, young cynic saying , “She just kept repeating herself: we all believe in work. She just kept repeating herself…”

    Time to abandon 9 (“you’re dumped!”), and to embrace PB.

  2. Are you using a common proxy?

    Having the same problem (with the same browser, different networks).

    I thought it was just my work one, behing behind a massive fire-wall, but the home one does it as well.

  3. Tone now running for state politics???

    It’s pretty obvious really the libs strategy – they are so transparent.

    You can bet Tone will be in Brissie in the next day or two doing the exact same thing with the lib opposition leader.

  4. [Annabel Crabbe – ’standard stump speech, ‘went on and on’, ‘like a school p and c meeting’]

    Time for Annabel Crabbe to take some chill pills – she likes the fellas – Tone and Malcolm. Perhaps she feels threatened by a clever, articulate and intelligent woman PM

  5. [Set your stopwatches, guys. Let’s see how long this presser goes for once he’s had his usual rant.]
    Mine doesn’t measure nanoseonds.

  6. [You can bet Tone will be in Brissie in the next day or two doing the exact same thing with the lib opposition leader]

    Not if he has any sense. Langbroek is a twit.

  7. A Good Lurk

    Perhaps the channel 9 crew should be asked, if they enjoy the repetition of Abbott’s stop the boats meme.

    Maybe they are all excited because they can now add stop the boats with the boatphone!!

  8. Tony has just pulled out a ‘bombshell’. Labor has no economic plan. Their great mining tax is not going to bring in the money they estimated so won’t cut deficit. This from Erika someone on their mining committee.

  9. What unfortunate timing to have had a meeting and missed Gillard 🙁

    But sounds like The Boatphone will have an honoured place in the annals of Australian political history

  10. Just a reflection on how politics has changed. The first election I remember very well was 1972 (when I learnt that the Liberals wanted to send me to Vietnam, and Labor wanted to send me to University…). Back then the campaign launch was a big deal, at the start of the campaign, and the promises and policies were keenly awaited and examined. Now the campaign launch is just another part of the marketing communications strategy, and quite a minor part of the mix, compared to the advertising and media management strategies. Maybe we are not far away from big set-piece campaign launches in audatoriums disappearing altogether.

  11. Scorpio

    She nailed it! She was warmly gracious to Rudd and I think you may be able to sleep a little easier now.

  12. “Langbroek is a twit.”
    Would actually be quite interesting to see if he does stand with Langbroek for a presser, because the man is not popular, despite the problems of the Bligh govt.

  13. What does everyone remember of Libs Launch? Negative rant.

    This launch. Jobs, Education, Health, NBN, and boatphone!

    Good enough for me.

  14. [ps. Victoria
    I’m getting a bloggers bum also. Can’t wait for this election to pass so I can get back to living.]

    Dee and Victoria – must be just we girls. The boys aren’t complaining of it but we could ask their OHs, couldn’t we!

  15. [watched most of Julia’s speech on Channel 9 (because I couldn’t tolerate the moronic banner summaries on ABC24).

    About three seconds after Julia finished , cross to a sour, young cynic saying , “She just kept repeating herself: we all believe in work. She just kept repeating herself…”

    Time to abandon 9 (”you’re dumped!”), and to embrace PB.]

    ring ask to speak to news room and complain if we do not start doing this in this country

    the young people are not going to start showing respect its easy do it just ring

  16. Don’t forget the boatman utility belt, which comes with a kerosene lamp attached, anti- assylum seeker spray, a retractable cable to be pulled out of difficult press confronces, and a wireless-(radio0, a quilt with ink bottle and blotter, and a carier pigeon- to send imp messages in a jiffy

  17. [Tony has just pulled out a ‘bombshell’. Labor has no economic plan. Their great mining tax is not going to bring in the money they estimated so won’t cut deficit. This from Erika someone on their mining committee.]

    Hey, people, Tony thinks he has dropped a ‘bombshell’ None of you reacted 🙂

    Also he says no need for consultations via broadband as we already have them via the telephone. Duh?

  18. [Perhaps she feels threatened by a clever, articulate and intelligent woman PM]
    In Women’s Studies, this would be called a case of a male-identified woman i.e. one who fights to preserve the status quo (and thus upholds the subjugation of the female) to preserve their own role in the structure and the benefits that accrue personally. The theory is not confined to gender studies, it occurs in for example colonialism, race relations, social class, even wars.

    In WW2 I think they were called Quislings.

  19. Julia’s comment re Abbott watching luxury boats on the harbour and receiving call re boat smugglers will go down as a classic!!

  20. [Posted Monday, August 16, 2010 at 1:13 pm | Permalink
    Just a reflection on how politics has changed. The first election I remember very well was 1972 (when I learnt that the Liberals wanted to send me to Vietnam, and Labor wanted to send me to University…). Back then the campaign launch was a big deal,]

    that was when i defied my parent and voted labor to save my oh

  21. [ps. Victoria
    I’m getting a bloggers bum also. Can’t wait for this election to pass so I can get back to living.

    (Dee and Victoria – must be just we girls. The boys aren’t complaining of it but we could ask their OHs, couldn’t we!)]

    Ours are much smaller so it isn’t an issue.

  22. [Dee and Victoria – must be just we girls. The boys aren’t complaining of it but we could ask their OHs, couldn’t we!]

    No, I’ve definitely been gaining weight. Although I have been doing a bit of walking for the party, I have also been eating a lot and when I have had free time have spent pretty much all of it planted on here. Don’t think I have gone for a swim since the election was called.

  23. Anyone ask Abbott what he’ll do if his cabinet disagrees with his decision re. any of these boats?

    Seems the boat phone thing is a step too far. When the right wing nutbags are making fun of it, you know it’s got a credibility problem.

  24. @1180 itep

    Yes, seriously. He said the networks and consultations are already in place. No need for any of Julia’s bright ideas (paraphrasing, of course)

  25. [In Women’s Studies, this would be called a case of a male-identified woman i.e. one who fights to preserve the status quo (and thus upholds the subjugation of the female) to preserve their own role in the structure and the benefits that accrue personally. The theory is not confined to gender studies, it occurs in for example colonialism, race relations, social class, even wars.]

    Maybe this is why she goes all giggly and gooey when she is talking about Tone and Mal.

  26. [I guess Annabel is still basking in the glow of Barrie Cassidy telling her how witty and brilliant she is for the past 4 or 5 years.]

    Crabb fits the new mold of journalist which is part journo part celebrity -its now all about me and how witty I can be. It detracts for the substance and integity in my view.

  27. [Julia’s comment re Abbott watching luxury boats on the harbour and receiving call re boat smugglers will go down as a classic!!]

    It also sends the subtle meme out there that, if elected, Prime Minister Abbott will live in Sydney, not Canberra.

    Hopefully a few smart journos will pick up on that and start hounding him mercilessly until he confirms or denies he will do a Howard.

  28. chinda 63 @ 1103

    [You know how well Labor are travelling when Graham Morris moves from condescending mode to shrill mode. I don’t think I’ve ever heard him as shrill as he’s been over the past few hours]

    Graham Morris is a perfect political reverse barometer – the better the ALP is going on any issue, the more shrill, hollow and tuneless his high pitched delivery becomes.

    Best to ignore him, as he has called black as white so many times on various SkyNews fora as to render me almost colour blind.

  29. BoP

    [I’m not sure what lessons the Greens could take from that… it’s not like you can tell in advance who’s going to have an affair with who. Could the Democrats have known Cheryl Kernot would one day have an affair with Gareth Evans?]

    No, you can’t blame Greens or Democrats for their choices on those two. The Democrats’ membership voted in Kernot but even those closest to her (family and PA) were not aware of the affair with Evans until the day before it broke.

    On other cases both parties have chosen some truly awful candidates but mostly they never saw much air so it didn’t matter. Mind you, the Coalition this election have picked some doozies. The ALP preselection is a bit tougher and even in hopeless electorates they are careful. Of course despite my own support of Independents, I have met many indy and micro party candidates who are simply scary.

  30. [Dee and Victoria – must be just we girls. The boys aren’t complaining of it but we could ask their OHs, couldn’t we!]
    Men don’t tend to accumulate fat bums like we do. Boy, it comes on quick. Bet it takes a bit to budge it.

  31. BIG announcement from the Mad Monk. The Greens are going to talk to Labor government. ARRRRGGGG

    Run for your liiiiiiiiiivesssss.

  32. ‘Light on the Hill speech from Mr Chifley the work of the labor movement is :’
    “that if a depression comes there will be work”

    wonder sometimes that some PBers and MSN just do not get it , too full of themselves

  33. [Don’t think I have gone for a swim since the election was called.]

    yes i think u did but was it around the time julia took over you told me how good it was for blood pressure i have my lunch here some times tea sometimes breakfast

    we are all going to miss each other but when you live in a home where oh doesn’t like to discuss politics, he hates confrontation even though he is a labor voter and cannot sand he tories he hates me to get up set. so this has been out let able to talk about it and have friends that do, funny thing to use the word talk but u all know what i mean

  34. [Yes, seriously. He said the networks and consultations are already in place. No need for any of Julia’s bright ideas (paraphrasing, of course)]

    I heard Graham Morris say that, but is Tone saying it too?

    Unbelievable!

  35. [No, I’ve definitely been gaining weight. Although I have been doing a bit of walking for the party, I have also been eating a lot and when I have had free time have spent pretty much all of it planted on here. Don’t think I have gone for a swim since the election was called.]

    Pebbles – ditto. I have definitely had too much arse time lately 😀

  36. [1192 Ron
    Posted Monday, August 16, 2010 at 1:26 pm | Permalink
    ‘Light on the Hill speech from Mr Chifley the work of the labor movement is :’
    “that if a depression comes there will be work”

    wonder sometimes that some PBers and MSN just ]

    any links to it

  37. @1194 confessions

    Living in very outer suburbs and being very aware of distance from specialists I was sure I heard it right from TA. So glad you heard it too.

  38. [http://australianpolitics.com/parties/alp/chifley-light-on-hill.shtml]

    there some on who can write good things should send it to all the tv stations and abc just to see if any one does anything with it.

Comments are closed.

Comments Page 24 of 25
1 23 24 25