What everyone expects to be the last Morgan face-to-face poll before tomorrow’s election announcement finds Labor’s two-party lead slipping from 56.5-43.5 to 53.5-46.5, if using the preference figure derived from the 2007 election results. However, Labor is evidently doing better now with respondent-allocated preferences, which Morgan is now using as the basis for its headline calculation, as their lead on that measure has only slipped from 55-45 to 54.5-45.5. The primary vote figures give Labor cause for concern: their primary vote is down five to 40.5 per cent, with the Coalition up three to 41 per cent and the Greens up 1.5 per cent to 12 per cent. This is very similar to the last poll under Kevin Rudd, except that Labor and the Greens are each 0.5 per cent lower with others 1 per cent higher.
Psephos@746
Watch the Libs use that against Julia.
FFS BER.
[At least she isn’t unmarried to Bob Ellis. 🙂 ]
Bob Ellis is married to Bob Ellis! 😉
Frank. It is the 21st century. Argentina (a very christian based society) has just passed law for same sex rights and marriage. If the Libs use her unmarried status as an issue, Australia is stuffed!
And from Grog:
And The Terror:
“INCLUDING Bob Brown in election debates would be as valid as putting Humphrey Bear up against Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott, says a constitutional expert”.
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/greens-push-to-join-election-debates-dismissed-by-leading-constitutional-lawyer/story-fn59niix-1225892777045?from=public_rss
Where is the Octopus?
If i were some restaurant, i would one now and get free publicity.
Nick Minchin “admired on both sides of the aisle” – puke.
ltep? Now theres a change, goodness gracious me!.
ltep,
[or those who usually whine about ABC being biased to the Liberal Party, the coverage this morning has definitely been almost completely slanted to the ALP. ]
Well they “are” the Government and Julia “is” calling the election on.
Bit hard to not give prominence to that fact.
Abbott isn’t calling it. 😉
Kroger *facepalm*
Every election in recent times has been compared as ‘the most Presidential-like campaign ever’. I have no doubt that this will be said again. (With some justification I suspect). Get ready for some appalling ‘reporting’ and plenty of opinion dressed as fact. I wonder if, like the last election, the Canberra Press rat pack will end up being out of step with the wider public…?
The Finnigans@754
Cassandra has already made her pick 🙂
http://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/1303612/Australia-%27psychic%27-octopus-picks-Gillard
[Cassandra has already made her pick ]
Well its all over then. 😉
Oh dear, an octopus is now picking election results?
Can it get any more farcical? 😆
Just had a long phone call from our oldest kid who until last Wednesday was totally uninterested in politics and wouldn’t have a bar of it being discussed.
She said because of that ‘thing’ (Oakes) setting off the media into a frenzy about Julia and Kev having an agreement and then the next day saying there was no agreement she decided to sign on to twitter and wants to join a chorus of dissent against the media and Abbott.
She said ‘how long has the media thought it owned democracy. Why can’t they just report the news instead of telling us what we should think.’ I said you haven’t really noticed enough because you only listen to sound bites on the news.
She was a very mild Kev fan but is now a huge Julia fan and is going to do handouts. Julia may have more fans than we know about.
I just flipped my “psychic $1 coin” and it said Gillard will win 😆
My stuffed turtle has also picked Gillard.
ruawake@761
Well Sherbet were right about her:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x3-7bOVEGCs
[But the octopus’s reaction to conservative opposition leader Tony Abbott’s photo was less enthusiastic — she turned a “defensive black colour”, the paper said.]
TSOP. I just flipped my wishful thinking cap and and my wish of Labor winning has been granted. Phew! I can relax now.
[she turned a “defensive black colour”,]
Maybe she wanted to camouflage herself as his heart!
BH. We need a lot more to think like your eldest. Let’s hope that is the case.
[But the octopus’s reaction to conservative opposition leader Tony Abbott’s photo was less enthusiastic — she turned a “defensive black colour”, the paper said.]
So Abbott’s problem with women crosses species?
confessions. Lol!
Arbitrary coincidences are favouring Gillard more than Abbott. It’s all over! 😉
confessions,
The pot plants aren’t happy either.
Crabb struggling to appear as a serious journalist.
i would say Julia will set the agenda not the morgan poll.
???
Kroger is a sour puss in more ways than one.
Pebbles,
When even the hypotheticals trend against the Libs, you know they are in trouble.
[a leak from inside the ALP that will bring down the Govt]
Gossip and mudraking. What a surprise…
[But the octopus’s reaction to conservative opposition leader Tony Abbott’s photo was less enthusiastic — she turned a “defensive black colour”, the paper said.]
Frank, thanks. The Octopussy was not impressed with his dongle then?
Slynews is saying at moment that Labor need to do more in area of mental health. I don’t agree much with what they say, but on this issue, I do.
Well I’ve put a big John Curtin pic up at my facebook page, so the election had better be on 21 August, or I’ll have to take it down again.
[Slynews is saying at moment that Labor need to do more in area of mental health. I don’t agree much with what they say, but on this issue, I do.]
and undoubtedly they will an it will be more than the Abbott announcement
Psephos. You will know in about 15 mins.
[Well I’ve put a big John Curtin pic up at my facebook page, so the election had better be on 21 August, or I’ll have to take it down again.]
Please remind me – if it’s the 21st when do the rolls close?
[Please remind me – if it’s the 21st when do the rolls close?]
8PM Monday 19th.
Hmm, cant let the Octopussy gets all the limelight. Must organise the DolPHIN’s Choice like this:
she decided to sign on to twitter and wants to join a chorus of dissent against the media and Abbott.
She said ‘how long has the media thought it owned democracy. Why can’t they just report the news instead of telling us what we should think.’ I said you haven’t really noticed enough because you only listen to sound bites on the news.
Interesting point – this is the first Federal election held where Twitter and Facebook are “mainstream”.
And now for the important question: Who will be the first leader to trip and fall during the campaign?
It’s not even the right bloody octupus, it’s one those latte sippers down at SMH found.
Slynews is replaying Abbotts speech to kick of campaign. I can’t listen. I have a real aversion. Is it just me?
BIG LETTERS HELP
I JOINED TWITTER BUT I CANNOT GET TO THE JULIA TWEETS AND OTHERs HOW DO I DO this.
i put my password in ect and says thats not me wtte i would really like to be able to do this.
do you get tweets from the people you select to join, i was in Kev’s but never got a tweet.
proably have not described this well
should i start again but if i do the system will recognise my email address and say it s taken etc. screeeeeeeeem
[Slynews is replaying Abbotts speech to kick of campaign. I can’t listen. I have a real aversion. Is it just me?]
god help us if he was pm i would never ever watch the news again
You know and i think mean that, i would be sick
Oh, According to Abbott that “mortgage stress” is not a focus group’s phrase. What a dongle.
I have just seen 5 minutes of Abbott’s presser of this morning. I don’t know how I’m going to survive five weeks of him.
my say. John Howard did not have the same effect on me, no matter how distasteful I found him. What is that all about? I don’t understand.