The latest fortnightly Morgan face-to-face poll has Labor’s two-party lead at 57.5-42.5, up from 56.5-43.5 last time. Labor are up a point to 47 per cent on the primary vote, while the Coalition are down one to 37 per cent.
It’s all happening in New South Wales:
• Bernard Keane of Crikey reports David Clarke is believed likely to survive tonight’s preselection challenge from David Elliott with moderate support. (UPDATE: Clarke wins 50-36) Some interesting background detail from Keane: “The Campbell-Hawke assault on Clarke had its origins in a swift and cleverly executed turnover of delegates in Clarke’s preselection in late 2008 by Hawke, with most of the targets under the belief that Hawke was operating with Clarke’s imprimatur. Instead, Hawke removed or displaced nine preselectors and installed his own nominees, delivering an 18-vote turnaround that transformed Clarke’s preselection from comfortable to very challenging.” Deborah Snow of the Sydney Morning Herald reports former Opposition Leader Peter Collins has come out swinging at Clarke in support of David Elliott, saying Clarke was paying the price for blocking Elliott in federal Mitchell and state Riverstone.
• The quid pro quo for moderates supporting David Clarke is said to include the dropping of a preselection challenge against moderate incumbent Greg Pearce by Richard Quinn, and a smoothing of the way for Robyn Parker in the marginal seat of Maitland in lieu of her failure to retain her upper house position. Whoever gets the nod in Maitland will have things made easier by the announcement this week that Labor member Frank Terenzini will not seek another term.
• Bevan Shields of the Lithgow Mercury reports Orange councillor Sam Romano will challenge Nationals MP John Cobb for preselection in Calare.
• Caryn Metcalfe of the Penrith Press reports Hawkesbury mayor Bart Bassett has been preselected as state Liberal candidate for Londonderry.
• Macarthur preselection victim Pat Farmer reckons the people of Camden are begging for him to represent them in state parliament. According to Matthew Ward of the Macarthur Chronicle, his main rivals for Liberal preselection would be Camden councillor Michael Cottrell and former Camden councillor Rob Elliott, with “possible candidates” including Camden mayor Chris Patterson or, if Patterson, won’t run, Citi Cycle Classic organiser Paul Hillbrick. Reports suggests it is Patterson’s for the taking if he wants it.
• Hamish Coffee in comments advises Brent Thomas has defeated Right faction colleague Greg Holland for Labor preselection in Hughes.
• Not sure how much it was in doubt, but the ABC reports Damian Hale will seek another term in Solomon.
OK Troofy, Here’s your chance to make sense…Please. LOL
If Rudd has to endure any more public humiliations like 57.5/42.5 it’ll finish him off. Clearly the people who were polled had no idea there is a groundswell of anti-Ruddism out there.
Ahhh Good ol’ Morgan.
When Labors in the dumps, who do you call? MORGAN!
When Labors on the slopes, who do you call? MORGAN!
When Labors got the croaks, who do you call? MORGAN!
They are going the complete opposite direction of every other poll in the country, what a joke!
One for the road Fulvio?
Truthy
Morgan is following Newspoll – both show a swing to Labor in their recent polls.
Sad for you I realise – but it is the Truth and it Hurts, 😉
[They are going the complete opposite direction of every other poll in the country]
err the ALP vote increased by 1%, just like the most recent Newspoll…
[err the ALP vote increased by 1%, just like the most recent Newspoll…]
To 57.5% Two Party Preferred?!
BULLSHIT!
In today’s Canberra Times: “Jenny Hargreaves is expected to be the front runner as the Labor candidate for Canberra.” Jenny is “the wife of former ACT Labor minister John Hargreaves.”
John Hargreaves, in my opinion, was not a success as a minister.
There are now serious questions emerging that demand answers, a number of reports from multiple sources stated that Opposition Leader Tony Abbott’s recent near miss was in part caused by a minibus full of nubile young Abbott groupies.
Calm down TTH. Remember Morgan was closest to the result at the last election 😉
[There are now serious questions emerging that demand answers, a number of reports from multiple sources stated that Opposition Leader Tony Abbott’s recent near miss was in part caused by a minibus full of nubile young Abbott groupies.]
They were rumoured to be coveting his ass.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/justin/
I told Tony it wouldn’t work: you cannot control who your daughters associate with.
# 11
ROFL 😀
[In today’s Canberra Times: “Jenny Hargreaves is expected to be the front runner as the Labor candidate for Canberra.” Jenny is “the wife of former ACT Labor minister John Hargreaves.”]
I’m sure any candidate for a safe seat will be top notch quality.
My question is to the Prime Minister. Could the Prime Minister explain to the House why a member of this House should not dress up as Borat in a Comcar? Can the Prime Minister point out any instances where such behaviour has had near tragic consequences for the member and for any nearby nubiles?
Bit of a shock yesterday as the Fed put up its rate. Must have been asleep to miss it.
[Asia Stocks, Oil Drop; Dollar Gains as Fed Raises Discount Rate
The Fed’s move to raise the discount rate from 0.5 percent to 0.75 percent marks another step by the Fed in a gradual retreat from its unprecedented actions to halt the deepest financial crisis since the Great Depression. ]
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=afIez7dMV3KA&pos=2
Troofy @ 3 & 7
Them’s are the breaks!!
…suck it UP. LOL
Poor old truthy. You can just visualise the eyes bulging and mouth frothing because the data doesn’t match his prejudices.
Spewing his abusive ignorance is all he’s got left.
Hey Truthy check out.
http://www.abc.net.au/elections/federal/2010/calculator/?swing=national&national=4.8&nsw=0&vic=0&qld=0&wa=0&sa=0&tas=0&act=0&nt=0&retiringfactor=1
You must be happy – Wentworth goes to Labor. 😉
[‘Game of Chicken’ With Greece May Hurt Recovery, Kleinwort Says
“Greece and the European Union is the world’s biggest game of chicken” since the Cuban missile crisis in 1962, Beckwith said in an interview at the wealth manager’s Edinburgh office. “It’s an effective tightening of policy that we were not expecting a few weeks ago. It’s quite worrying.” ]
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601110&sid=aP.RjmaZATDw
The ABC has change their “virgin” headline. ROFL.
[Calm down TTH. Remember Morgan was closest to the result at the last election]
Only because they altered their poll a week before election day.
Take a morgan poll 1 month… 2 month… or 3 months before the 2007 election and look at the absolutely breath taking pro-Labor bias.
A Google news search for Belinda Neal produces this –
‘Unelectable’ Neal faces annihilation say Labor insiders
Express Advocate Gosford – Denice Barnes – ?11 hours ago?
EMBATTLED Robertson Federal Labor MP Belinda Neal is under siege and the enemy is within. Ms Neal has again made national news as Central Coast rank and …
BUT clicking on the link produces a wrong page result – {well it did a few minutes ago}- but now it produces<a href="http://express-advocate-gosford.whereilive.com.au/news/story/unelectable-neal-faces-annihilation-say-labor-insiders/" the article .
The article may also be accessed on page 6 of the <a href="http://digitaledition.expressadvocate.com.au/" digital edition published on 19 February.
[Oils ain’t oils]
Norty Autie ABC using a Castrol Ad in their headline.
“Olive association fights fake ‘virgin’ products”.
Is this ‘Virginity” thingo one of those gifts that keeps on giving. Is that what Abbott was rattling on about the other day?
Thomas Paine
Fed did keep the Fed Funds Rate (nearest of our equivalent to cash rate) the same though (at about zero).
No doubt this is a bit of a sign though – hence Hong Kong this morning
OOps = links fro above—
1. Web article
2. digital edition published on 19 February.
Hasn’t happened just yet?
[bob]
Greens up 0.5% !!!1!1!
Take that Adam! The Greens are going to win Calare this year!!!1!!1oneoneone
[/bob]
ROFL. That formatting totally screwed up. Hopefully y’all get the gist.
[Only because they altered their poll a week before election day.]
They did? How did they alter it?
Abbott , mark latham mark 11 , with an anti female antenna
I luv ladies , apart from othr reasons , because they do hav a “sense” that intuitions thingy of things , and so am not suprised Abbotts lack of suport is about net 5% worse with women than males vs 2007
As said before , th 2010 electon is over with Abbotts W/C ideas vs Govts GFC econamic plus But in additon my sense is that most womens intuitions sense of being repeled by th guy himself personally is labors reserve secret womens busines weapon , to guarantee Abbotts loss anyway
We can’t trust these voters at all. They appear to have a consistently pro-Labor bias.
[They did? How did they alter it?]
By counting Pakistanis disguised as Afghans. Is that correct Truthy? 🙂
OK some more detail here.
[Fed Raises Discount Rate by Quarter-Point to 0.75% (Update4)
Feb. 18 (Bloomberg) — The Federal Reserve Board raised the discount rate charged to banks for direct loans by a quarter point to 0.75 percent and said the move will encourage financial institutions to rely more on money markets rather than the central bank for short-term liquidity needs. ]
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aF3MA4o41hNA&pos=1
Truthy
You are as bad as the Labor welded ons. Your conspiracy is as bad as the conspiracy
[They did? How did they alter it?]
Easy it went a bit like this:
*RING* *RING* *RING* *RING*
Bimbo Receptionist: “Hello, Morgan Polling this is Candy.”
Gary Morgan: “Hi Candy, this is Gary Morgan”
Bimbo: “Hi Sir, how can I help you”
Gary Morgan: “Whats our latest polling showing?”
Bimbo: “Sir it’s showing Labor winning in a landslide with a 60% Two Part Preferred”
Gary Morgan: “Oh crap, I don’t want to have another predicted Mark Latham landslide win embarrassment on my hands, get the blokes down in the editing department to shave off 7%, we’ll really give it to Newspoll this election. The bastards laughed at me last election, I won’t be able to live it down if we balls it up YET AGAIN”
Bimbo: “I’ll get right onto that Sir”
I see TTH. Thanks for your thoughtful analysis.
Truthy
That is probably the dumbest thing you have ever posted. Do you realise what you are insinuating?
Love the hypocrites herewith claiming that Truth is a conspiracy theorist, when nearly everyone hear cannot stop foaming at the mouth about supposed pro-Coalition bias at the ABC. Tin foil hats, anyone?
7 – TheTruthHurts
When you swear I know you are filled with rage. Keep it up.
23 – PY
You are obsessed
GP
I think it is flak-jacket time for NSW Libs – any goss on WW3?
[ Do you realise what you are insinuating?]
To be fair on TTH, I’ve seen similar insinuations about Newspoll… which are equally as ludicrous.
No 41
Meh, WW3. Give me a break.
Truthy as a conspiracy theorist?
Na. He just an Aussie Tea Partiest … You know .. A sort of Nescafe Noobiest!
No 44
Nescafe isn’t real coffee.
Tom Hawkins – #40
[23 – PY
You are obsessed ]
Which diagnostic tool or method did you use to discover that “fact”.
[Nescafe Noobiest]
Is that a redneck latte drinker? I actually think he’s a 4Xist and consumes far too many while posting on this site.
[Which diagnostic tool or method did you use to discover that “fact”.
I’ve read your posts. That’s evidence enough for me.
Australia and the NoCanWinDies are playing to an unpacked MCG.
Real coffee GP?
What like a Latte sipping Elite would drink?
Bit hard to have an espresso machine on the Tinny when your sorting the Pakistanies from the Afghans
Truthy is more your cardigan and a thermos style of nutter