The Australian reports the latest fortnightly Newspoll has Labor’s two-party lead at 53-47, up from 52-48 last time. Both parties have dropped a point on the primary vote, Labor to 39 per cent and the Coalition to 40 per cent, with the Greens steady on 12 per cent. Kevin Rudd’s personal ratings are now those of a political mortal: his approval is steady on 50 per cent, but his disapproval has crept up another two points to 40 per cent. Tony Abbott’s dicey ratings have improved, his approval up three to 44 per cent and disapproval down two to 37 per cent. Rudd’s lead as preferred prime minister is down from 58-26 to 55-27, equalling a poll conducted during Malcolm Turnbull’s brief honeymoon as the narrowest margin since the government was elected. Further questions on other leadership options and climate change produce results consistent with what we’re seeing elsewhere. Full tables here.
Scarpat
Posted Monday, February 15, 2010 at 10:59 pm | Permalink
“What was the result in the 2007 poll? ”
Libs/Nats prim vote now is 40%
Libs/Nats prim vote 2007 almost 42%
Scarpat , what a drongo like bob 123456 doea not relize seeing he does not undrstand what th Poll IS for …is that EITHER Labor or Libs/Nat will form Govt !
based on poll vs 2007 , Libs/nats ar worse off than 2007 , and they lost then
[I also think Tanner should have made the point that a flat tax is not only unfair but is in fact a regressive tax]
He did. You weren’t listening.
[I honestly believe a majority of Australians are conservative, down to earth and unidealistic. ]
Then what are they doing leaning towards Liberals? Abbott is not conservative but a populist radical. Enough to scare the bejesus out of any sane, rational thinking, *true* conservative IMO.
[Sorry, is this 53-47 result an election or a poll?
A POLL]
So why all your LInES?
[What was the result in the 2007 poll?
Sorry, is this 53-47 result an election or a poll?
A POLL]
The only poll that people are really concerned about is the election.
[Then what are they doing leaning towards Liberals? Abbott is not conservative but a populist radical. Enough to scare the bejesus out of any sane, rational thinking, *true* conservative IMO.]
Enough to scare even Pauline away.
What was the PPM nunbers?
What part of 53-47 being a narrowing from the 56-60% 2PP days do people not understand?
Ohhhhhhhhhh. In denial. Sorry. I forgot how insecure Labor rusteds are. My deepest apologies.
🙂
vera,
55 – 27 (down 3 up 1). Plus 28 ain’t bad.
[55 – 27 (down 3 up 1). Plus 28 ain’t bad.]
Not so hot if you are sitting on 27
[Enough to scare even Pauline away.]
Hanson is a leftist compared to this coalition lot.
obvous , again , bob 123456 still does not understand polls
there has been no narrowing at all
if YOU thought Labor couild get th poll figures of 58/42 or 59/41 given history of 50 years electon results , you ar a complete poll moron
there has been no narrowing at all
Of course there has been a narrowing. Baghdad Bob. The polls do not measure what the election result will be, they measure current voter sentiment. Clearly there has been a move back towards the Coalition, all the polls are showing movement that way, the government is still in front but the polls have shifted, there is no point denying that.
[you ar a complete poll moron]
Ron, you are a bit over the top there – poll was totally unnecessary
Seven News
reports
Libs are making ground
Yeah let em dirt,dirteaters
😉
[Libs are making ground]
LOL, negative ground
Thanks for that VP
Pauline would fit right back into today’s Liberal party.
She could sit beside Barnyard and ask him “Please Explain”
Oh dear Tanner must have done a good job if this is the result:
[Ohhhhhhhhhh. In denial. Sorry. I forgot how insecure Labor rusteds are. My deepest apologies.]
And the same name calling and non message keeps spewing forth. Boring.
Well, if TA is up and govt is increasing its lead then the Liberals who are not TA must be losing ground.
It’s a lie.
Seven News
reports
Libs are making ground
Yeah let em dirt,dirteaters
I think the government will find they have bribed the commercial networks for nothing, and wonder why they ever tried to suck up to their bullies at all when they continue to punch them.
Gus, I’m not here 😉
Scarpat
Posted Monday, February 15, 2010 at 11:15 pm | Permalink
you ar a complete poll moron
“Ron, you are a bit over the top there – ‘poll’ was totally unnecessary”
appologies Scarpat
will try harder
[there has been no narrowing at all]
Ron: last year Labor’s primary vote was in the 40s and the Liberals in the 30s. That isn’t the case now, something is happening. Whether it is the Green vote going haywire, the coalition stopping their infighting, or whether it represents a genuine recalibration of the so-called Lib ‘base’, time will tell with the figures. I don’t like it, especially as it’s Tone who has brought this change: he was meant to represent the unelectable, but on the poll numbers has tightened the race. Whatever the government’s strategy is against him clearly isn’t working.
Two totally different stories from Q&A:
[Oh dear Tanner must have done a good job if this is the result]
Yup 🙂
7 news probably just read Shamofaman’s OO piece.
He made it sound like the libs gained ground
[if YOU thought Labor couild get th poll figures of 58/42 or 59/41 given history of 50 years electon results , you ar a complete poll moron]
Errrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr it was ME that was constantly saying Labor could not achieve a 55-60% 2PP at an election, and it was the Labor rusteds that kept abusing me saying it was complete crap and that the coalition would be completely annihilated at the next poll. It was ME that kept saying Labor would be re-elected at the next election with a reduced vote.
BUT, if the polls have narrowed from the 55-60% 2PP days to 52-53% 2PP, that IS a swing away from the government in terms of mid-term popularity.
But considering your lingual skills, I really shouldn’t blame you for such an interpretation abomination.
Ron,
Don’t try any harder: you don’t want to induce paroxysms in that lot.
I don’t like it, especially as it’s Tone who has brought this change: he was meant to represent the unelectable, but on the poll numbers has tightened the race. Whatever the government’s strategy is against him clearly isn’t working.
It’s really quite simple, Tony Abbott is John Howard reborn, his style, his every move is almost identical.
[I don’t like it, especially as it’s Tone who has brought this change: he was meant to represent the unelectable, but on the poll numbers has tightened the race.]
This simply cannot be true, the Labor rusteds say so.
Oh how sweet it is to be constantly proven right and the Labor rusteds constantly proven wrong 🙂
This Newspool is still good for Labor according to Antony’s Calculator:
[there has been no narrowing at all]
You’re spot on, Ron.
All the same, would like to hear anyone opine what happened to the “surge” in the polls from the ongoing hugely favourable newspaper coverage of MySchool, which many in here insist is a vote winner?
[This Newspool is still good for Labor according to Antony’s Calculator:]
Any Newspoll above 50-50 is still good for Labor. But it’s far less preferable to say, 55-45 or 60-40. 😉
It was ME that kept saying Labor would be re-elected at the next election with a reduced vote.
Problem is that Labor Can’t afford to lose much support, it has to remain steady or get an increase, a swing of just 2% against the government will be enough to deliver the Coalition a very slim majority.
confessions,
The government doesn’t have to try right now. Once the election has been called they ‘ll throw heaps at the opposition, and they have plenty of performers, issues and money.
[ was meant to represent the unelectable, but on the poll numbers has tightened the race. Whatever the government’s strategy is against him clearly isn’t working.]
Confessions
If and I stress IF Tone had broken thru,then a poll result of 51-49 would be realistic
The fact that it is 53-47 is a slap in the face to the Fibocracy
Long live the peoples voice!
ps the green vote is worthy of some introspection,as it seems a solid cohort is going to deliver labor a 2nd pref
In short:
SNAFU
[Problem is that Labor Can’t afford to lose much support, it has to remain steady or get an increase, a swing of just 2% against the government will be enough to deliver the Coalition a very slim majority.]
But according to the Labor rusteds, nothing has changed?
Denial is a female dog.
Is there usually anything remarkable about a company subcontracting out work that it is not itself qualified to do, to a fully qualified subcontractor?
ABC top story posted 2 hours 40 minutes ago
http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2010/02/15/2820395.htm
[But considering your lingual skills, I really shouldn’t blame you for such an interpretation abomination.]
I remember the person who said this telling me to not to get personal and that it is a sign of losing an argument. I think he was right. Pity he can’t take his own advice. What a hypocrite.
[The government doesn’t have to try right now.]
However they must be seen as setting the agenda.
Frank,
A gain of only seven seats? They really must be worried, not.
[If and I stress IF Tone had broken thru,then a poll result of 51-49 would be realistic
The fact that it is 53-47 is a slap in the face to the Fibocracy]
But there’s only 2% difference between the two, as opposed to 55-45 to 60-40 results.
I could blather on about the MoE but i’ll leave that up to the insecure Labor rusteds.
[It’s really quite simple, Tony Abbott is John Howard reborn, his style, his every move is almost identical.]
Dewgong: that’s what makes this all the more unbelievable. Graham Morris was on Sky News tonight suggesting that a number of Labor MPs would be ‘one termers’, ie Maxine McKew. It isn’t simple, there’s something else happening here to effect a turnaround in primary vote.
Scarpat,
The backroom boys are working on that right now, betcha.
[Is there usually anything remarkable about a company subcontracting out work that it is not itself qualified to do, to a fully qualified subcontractor?]
If it can be twisted to fit up Garrett, apparently yes
[55-45]
You mean like the Essential Research Poll?
[Graham Morris was on Sky News tonight suggesting that a number of Labor MPs would be ‘one termers’, ie Maxine McKew.]
LOL
graham “we can win johnny” morris
Give me a break
[It isn’t simple, there’s something else happening here to effect a turnaround in primary vote.]
Calm down. The election isn’t today, next week, or next month.
I am not a rusted laborite Bob, i actually think the Greens should have a split ticket at the State and Federal Elections.
It would make Labor look closer at the Greens instead of constantly ignoring them.