I have lately gotten into the habit of providing a bulletin of recent electoral news along with the regular Friday Roy Morgan poll, but for whatever reason Morgan failed to come to the party last week. This is also an off-week for Newspoll, so the following will have to make do on their own:
In lieu of a poll on voting intention, Morgan gave us a survey on support for a republic showing 45 per cent of respondents would prefer a republic with an elected president to a monarchy, versus 42 per cent against. Put Prince Charles on the throne, and the results are 56 per cent and 33 per cent. Respondents is in quotation marks because they have gone to the trouble of asking people as young as 14, and have provided separate but near-identical figures for electors.
An in-house poll of federal voting intention conducted by the Adelaide Advertiser shows Labor with 50 per cent of the South Australian primary vote against 31 per cent for the Coalition, translating into 61-39 after preferences. The comparable figures at last year’s election were 43.2 per cent and 41.8 per cent, and 52.4-47.6.
The Queensland Nationals and Liberals will hold a joint convention in three weeks to decide whether to proceed with plans to merge as the Liberal-Nationals. While the proposal will bring the parties together under the existing Liberal structure, former state Liberal vice-president Graham Young says the dice will be loaded in the Nationals’ favour through the creation of 10 heavily malapportioned regions. Young does not like the plan’s chances of being approved by the Liberal rank-and-file, but says the party’s Senators have been won over through a deal giving them the top three Senate positions at the next election. This will reduce Barnaby Joyce to the number four position, but he will then fill a casual vacancy created by Ron Boswell’s retirement.
Greg Chijoff, the only member of the Lindsay pamphlet five to plead guilty, was last week convicted on a charge of distributing unauthorised election material and fined $750 out of a possible $1000. The case against the three who pleaded not guilty will be heard later in the month (the remaining member had the charge against him dismissed).
The AEC has now published both public suggestions regarding the redistribution of Tasmanian electoral boundaries (which uniquely have effect at both federal and state level) and comments on the suggestions. We are presumably not too far away from seeing proposed boundaries for the Western Australian federal and Queensland state redistributions.
This Friday is the deadline for submissions to the Joint Standing Committee on Electoral Matters’ Inquiry into the 2007 Federal Election. Hats off to whichever straight-talker decided to junk the past practice of naming it the Inquiry into the Conduct of the 2007 Federal Election and Matters Related Thereto”.