Newspoll: Turnbull 34, Nelson 18

The standout finding of a very interesting post-election Newspoll survey of 1125 voters is a question on preferred Liberal leader: 34 per cent responded for Turnbull, just 18 per cent for Nelson and 14 per cent for Julie Bishop, with the optimistic Tony Abbott on 9 per cent. Rudd predictably is streets ahead of Brendan Nelson as preferred prime minister, leading 61 per cent to 14 per cent (91 per cent to 1 per cent among Labor voters).

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,259 comments on “Newspoll: Turnbull 34, Nelson 18”

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  1. Mr Squiggle says:
    “Doesn’t that make it just 11 seats for Nelson/Bishop to win in 2010?

    With the act-of-Howard-removal out of the way, surely there will be some swing back to LNP in previoulsy safe seats like Dawson and Page

    I just don’t know how to fill in the time until it happens”

    Easy Mr S, just keep practising your self-delusion, that should pass the time!

  2. Poor Kevin Andrews. He has missed out on a Shadow Ministry!

    Never mind, he still has an opportunity to regain the public spotlight. The AFR reported that one of the outcomes from yesterday’s Cabinet meeting was that there would be a judicial inquiry into the Dr Haneef affair. Hurray! At last the selfless Mr Andrews will get a chance to put his case in public without being hindered by national security reasons. His actions will be judged by a lawyer, with the evidence out in the open. I bet he’s looking forward to that 🙂

    Funnily enough, after having been threatened with disbarrment for the crime of defending his client, I suspect Dr Haneef’s lawyer is too.

  3. Greeensborough Growler Says:
    December 7th, 2007 at 12:18 am

    Ron @ 1202,

    All the DLP nutters are now in the Liberal party. God bless them!

    I would say they are all in the ALP. Wasnt the rightwing SDA a big part of the DLP?

  4. Bill you are spot on. Along with people from the Institute of Public Affairs. The Labor Party believes in nothing but economic rationalist tosh, look at New South Wales State Party now selling Electricity, fair dinkum where do these idoits get off, here in Victoria we have done the same and you get knocks on door and phone calls during dinner spruiking competition which is just plain incorrect their is none, because when you adjust the certain offers they generally equal the same costs. The sale is about helping the rich again, whilst in New South Wales Labor will head to a crushing defeat next time, and put simply they will deserve it.

  5. marky marky… Laming is in front by 94, not 7.

    PeterOf Malvern it looks like they’ve completed counting in McEwen. If a recount found a draw (and that’s very unlikely) they’d have to hold a by-election.

    Someone here mentioned the Coalition being a shoe-in to win the next election with only 11 seats to regain? Not necessarily true at all. Each election is an election in itself and noone can say with certainty what will happen. Will the Liberal Party be able to present themselves as something electable? Will Labor make any huge stuff ups (think WorkChoices)? I’m perfectly happy in the fact that we’ve gotten rid of this lot of jokers and have at least 3 years without having to worry about what new policy they’ll enact.

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