Sky News and Seven exit polls: 53-47

Sky News exit poll has Labor leading 53-47. That’s in 31 selected marginal seats. Apparently it suggests 54-46 overall. Howard trails 53-47 in Bennelong. Labor 58-42 ahead in Eden-Monaro.

UPDATE: Channel Seven exit poll says 53-47 nationally, 53.5-46.5 in Bennelong, 8 per cent swing to Labor in Bass, 6 per cent swing in Braddon.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

287 comments on “Sky News and Seven exit polls: 53-47”

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  1. 10 Flash- if you are sad enough to be like us glued to the screen, you would already have voted. And anyway, they would want to back a winner. The Fat Lady is warming up!!

  2. Dear God , I want only 3 things for Christmas. 1. A Rudd Government 2. John Howard looses Bennelong and 3. Kerrie Tucker wins the ACT Senate seat for the Greens.

  3. Real or dodgy, this should certainly help the vote in those lineball WA seats. It’s much better, pork wise, to have a government member as your MP.

  4. Oh wow oh wow oh wow…be still my heart…oh wow!

    Oh this is too much. Bring on 6 pm and let the party begin – Liberal Armageddon is about to begin and I have the chips, some drinks and parked in front of the telly to fully appreciate the carnage.

    Bring it on!

  5. Greeting all from sunny Johannesburg. I have been waiting 11 long years for this day (like a few others) – am about to fire up abc coverage. Anticipating 80 seats, hoping for 85 and dreaming of 90 – exit polling sounds encouraging. Wonder if we’re in for a UK 97 style evening?

    Qld/NSW should tell us plenty and hopefully earlyish…

  6. Brissonden on ABC news just said that the Libs think they are in deep deep trouble in NSW.

    Queues 500-600 deep at polling booths and they think that doesn’t bode well.

    15 minutes to the count ๐Ÿ™‚

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