Morgan: 53.5-46.5

Out of bed now, so I’m a bit late with the news that Morgan has completed a hat-trick of polls that have produced their closest result for the year just in time for polling day. Conducted last night, it has Labor ahead 53.5-46.5, their primary vote at 43.5 per cent (the lowest since January) and the Coalition’s at 41.5 per cent (highest since last November). The odd pollster out, ACNielsen, conducted its poll much earlier in the week.

In administrative news, I just did cleared out a huge volume of comments from moderation, so apologies to those who were held up there. Most of you were first timers – you should be able to comment freely now. I’m off to perform my civic duty, and will have a think about how to handle the election night traffic on my return. I’m much preferring IRC to Meebo (see “Dress Rehearsal 3” post below) and beginning to think that alone should be enough to divert enough blog comment traffic to prevent my server from melting down.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

595 comments on “Morgan: 53.5-46.5”

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  1. 478 James this election is feeling mroe and more like 1972. The anticipation and then the sense of the Nation finally going foward was brilliant.

  2. Bruce Baird just thinks there are still some votes to pick up before 6. I’d say after 6 he’ll loosen up and drop the party lines – you’d hope so anyway

  3. Hawker just said they (OZ public) This time have COMPREHENSIVELY accepted that Labour can handle the economy. I could be wrong but he seems to be trying to keep a lid on it till the polls close.

  4. they are talking as if it is all over for Howard – someone has some good early feedback
    you normally only talk like this after the result is known not before counting start – AMAZING
    even that loser german architect come journo David Albert Speer

  5. Pollster says the 56/47 exit poll was taken in 31(?) most marginal seats. Swings will be bigger in safe seats. Margin of error was 2%.

  6. “open handed slap”

    ~an apology does not equal sorry
    ~non-core promises
    ~never, ever GST

    what is it with these people! Do they think that words do not have meanings?

  7. I don’t know about running the streets naked if Howard loses Bennelong, but after 35 years of lapsedness, I’ll go back to my Catholic roots and do the Novena

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