Today’s Roy Morgan poll suggests that voters have, er, reacted sympathetically to Kevin Rudd’s tax gaffe. Or perhaps been driven insane by the onslaught of government advertising on television. Either way, they’ve published a headline figure of 54 per cent for Labor’s primary vote, which seems to have been enough to have caused their server to crash. More details as they come to hand.
UPDATE: Crikey email reports a two-party split of 60.5-39.5. The Coalition primary vote is down from 39.5 per cent to 36 per cent (for those interested, the Nationals vote is down from 3 per cent to 2.5 per cent). Labor’s primary vote in the previous survey was 49.5 per cent. This was a face-to-face survey with a sample of 972.
Wow!!! Made my day but bet it won’t be reported. Incredible!!
Is this for real?
What makes the server crap itself is people like you who sit there refreshing the link every 2 seconds.
And, it must be said, people like me.
… so was that leadership issue *really* settled the Tuesday before last, folks?
it is a mistake, morgan has labor 54 on 2pp, which is a coalition win when bias is factored. Dream on hippies/stalinists!
maybe morgan is just playing with us
hehehehehehe
Good result. Will be compounded if article in SMH re inflation tipped to top 3.1% is correct. This will definitely put a lot of pressure on Reserve bank to raise interest rates again in November. Kirribilli Coconut may have lost his big gamble in delaying the election.
http://www.smh.com.au/news/business/rates-pressure-rises/2007/09/28/11904
William did you block my earlier post about Liberal candidates because Mark Maj*wski’s name has the J-word embedded in it, or some other reason?
Holy moley!
Hey, I guess this another one of those many “rogue” polls that stubbornly refuse to show a swing back to the Government – January poll anyone?
Still time to make predictions on the TPP – I reckon 61-39.
One word sums up this result well actually five…
Weak…seriously weak you guys….
I am betting the Nat vote is 1% or lower as i made that prediction a week ago…i wonder how low the primaries are for the Libs what about 33% or something along those lines…
I wouldnt be taking too much out of this poll because we dont know sample size but also if the Coalition had 54% id be calling it bull butter but hey it keeps with the trend i guess that Labor are clearly ahead and the Libs are clearly the underdogs.
Nostro is BACK!
The Canberra Press Gallery won’t leave this Morgan alone as they usually do. It will be swamped by the GF’s this weekend – but will be prominent enough and linked into the Howard Bennelong story already running in the MSM.
Lord D in previous thread, the reason Glen still hangs out here, is that his understanding of what is going on is far removed from the harsh political reality out there.
And just as one-eyed as ever.
As I said on the other thread, you show courage, Glen, by showing up for disastrous polls.
🙁 ………… Our family is moving in January, if this comes to pass, DH and I will need to do one of those special votes for when you aren’t in your own electorate on polling day. Our move will take place in that instance between close of roll and polling day.
Glen #11,
why didn’t you just copy and paste my comment at #9 – would have saved you typing?
Glen: ‘I wouldnt be taking too much out of this poll’. hahahahaha. I bet you aren’t
Glen we all know Morgan polls are not exactly kosher (can I use that word?), but if you trot out this stupid argument about under-counting the Nationals again, you will merely invite more ridicule.
There isn’t much for him to take is there? :):):)
it is a misprint only you leftards would be fooled by – howard will win
Oh I wish it were true, how do you write up a 54% PRIMARY vote for labor as a definite coalition win …. surely you can’t.
Adam, you are correct about the nature of my moderation block, which I have now loosened a little.
Nostro – what about the part that says “Highest under Rudd”?
William put his finger on it, IMO. People are feeling tormented by the torrent of government advertising. While meanwhile Ratty refuses to call the election to put a stop to the torture and the waste of public money.
If there is any justice the electorate will emphatically punish the Coalition for this, come election day.
OK thanks William – here it is again, although with everone in a Morganatic frenzy, I doubt anyone will care.
No sooner do I make a sarcastic comment about the NSW Liberals’ missing candidates, than they are announced – most of them anyway.
* John La Mela, Barton
* Mark Majewski, Blaxland
* Lindsay Paterson, Charlton
* Colin Fowler, Cunningham
* Daniel Caffery, Grayndler
* Krysia Walker, Newcastle
* Lily Arthur, Prospect
* Ronney Oueik, Reid
* Philip Mansour, Watson
* Rose Torossian, Fowler (not at the NSW Libs website yet, but I know she is running)
Still missing: Banks, Shortland, Sydney and Werriwa, plus Batman and Scullin in Vic.
If anyone knows any occupational details about these candidates, please let me know. As in the state election, the Lebanese community is obviously the source of last resort for candidates in unwinnable seats (Oueik, Mansour and Torossian).
Sounds good to me, the last one was 49.5/56.5 and that was a difference of 7.
Gary, no doubt the dreaded “Labor soft vote” 🙂
therese rein rudd’s hypocrisy in england is labor’s final nail of their electoral coffin and hehehehe har har!!!!!
labor are 54 2pp this poll not primary
Some seem to have descended from the chimpanzee much later than others.
The last morgan phone was 60/40 with ALP primary @ 51%
Morgan is an extremely volatile series and the phone polls tend to be inconsistent with other published polls.
54% Labor primary will be around 62% 2PP
Nostra in full swing and denial, good to see.
What was the name of that nasty little kid who got de-selected for the Libs in Maribyrnong? Anyone?
[labor are 54 2pp this poll not primary]
Where does it say that?
Great to see you back Nostra, you really brighten up my day. 🙂
Hamish Jones
After all those centuries in a coffin, it’s hardly surprising that he’s a little unhinged.
Thanks Adam, knew you’d be first in.
Just wondering if Hamish goes by any nicknames……..perhaps Glen or Nortrodamus?
“Morgan is an extremely volatile series and the phone polls tend to be inconsistent with other published polls.”
Well yes, but it’s so much fun.
hamish jones he was a brilliant officer at melb uni student union a few years back.
ShowsOn @ 37
Nowhere. It’s wishful thinking.
hehehe – I rest my case.
Let it End @ 32, …and some just haven’t been game to take the leap…
I do recall making and seeing made predictions that the longer Howard left the election the more people will be convinced to jump ship.
Nice to have a positive rogue for a change and to dream that it is reality.
Dead right Kina. The longer he leaves it, the worse it will get.
under the golden two term stewardship of scott crawford one of the few half decent guys in labor
They also disendorsed Cam Nation in Gorton after he posted videos of himself roaring drunk on his own website – no doubt he was a whiz in the Young Libs as well.