Alan Carpenter’s year-old WA government faces its first electoral test tomorrow with the by-election for Peel, the seat vacated after Corruption and Crime Commission hearings blew the lid off Small Business Minister Norm Marlborough’s remarkable dealings with former Premier Brian Burke. As usual, this site will provide live commentary as the booth results come in from about 6.30pm Perth time, complete with up-to-the-minute figures adjusted to take individual booth swings into account. Media reports a fortnight ago suggested Labor polling showed it facing a 12 per cent swing in a seat it holds by 13.5 per cent; in today’s Australian, Amanda O’Brien reports that the Liberals consider themselves a "strong chance". Labor state secretary Bill Johnston has told The West Australian that "anything less than 8 per cent would be an excellent result, anything above 8 per cent would be above average". Some noteworthy campaign developments from the past few weeks:
Chief among the government’s announcements seeking to limit the damage has been a $600,000 promise to free up police from desk jobs to provide security on the forthcoming Mandurah to Perth line, which Robert Taylor of The West Australian says is expected to be swamped by "young hoods from Rockingham, Kwinana and Mandurah".
Comments on the Poll Bludger’s earlier by-election thread indicate a degree of hostility about the Waikiki electricity substation development, which is said to be on land originally set aside for a school. More than one noted that the zoning amendment was made after a number of people had bought properties in the area. Among those campaigning against the development was Greens candidate Dawn Jecks.
Labor has also had to deal with criticism from one of its own preselection aspirants, Kwinana mayor and Police Union lawyer Carol Adams, over neglect of the local area in respect to police numbers and intervention services for domestic violence and drug and alcohol abuse.
Below is a map showing the location of the electorate’s 15 polling booths, and a table showing the individual results from the 2005 election. No changes have been made to the booth arrangements from the state election. Note the clear trend of progressively weaker support for Labor from north to south.
|1. Golden Bay C’ty Centre||50.2||33.3||6.5||58.4||3.7|
|2. Hillman PS||61.3||24.2||5.0||68.8||5.2|
|3. Koorana PS||54.5||29.9||6.2||63.9||9.6|
|4. Leda PS||66.6||16.5||7.1||75.8||5.9|
|5. Port Kennedy PS||57.2||29.9||5.5||64.1||11.3|
|6. Rockingham Baptist||55.0||24.7||5.6||67.0||2.3|
|7. Rockingham Lakes PS||54.8||32.7||3.9||62.5||3.8|
|8. Secret Harbour PS||49.9||34.5||5.3||57.2||7.2|
|9. Singleton C’ty Hall||53.1||28.3||7.7||63.7||4.4|
|10. Tranby College||45.6||38.2||6.0||52.6||7.1|
|11. Warnbro C’ty HS||55.9||27.6||7.2||64.5||10.9|
|12. Calista PS||61.4||19.1||9.4||71.4||1.9|
|13. Charthouse PS||53.7||30.6||7.2||62.4||3.6|
|14. Cooloongup PS||61.8||22.5||4.6||69.9||3.8|
|15. Safety Bay SHS||52.1||29.8||5.0||61.6||1.1|